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Cruz Azul crest

Cruz Azul

v

Puebla crest

Puebla

Liga MX | Wed 22 Jul, 02:00

Cruz Azul v Puebla Stats

Data last updated: Tue 18 Aug 2026, 20:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cruz Azul face Puebla in Liga MX on Wed 22 Jul, 02:00. Cruz Azul are unbeaten in their last 11 Liga MX matches, while 20 of their previous 22 home league encounters have ended without defeat.

BT4Y best bet

Kicks, cards and numerical disadvantages

At 2/1, Kicks, cards and numerical disadvantages implies roughly 33%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 48%.
Cruz Azul’s recurring defensive lapses invite Puebla to attack with .
Puebla have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Kicks, cards and numerical disadvantages angle more than a raw possession edge.
Cruz Azul sit 10 in the table, while Puebla sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 48% for Kicks, cards and numerical disadvantages sits against roughly 33% implied by the current price. Puebla have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Kicks, cards and numerical disadvantages angle more than a raw possession edge. Cruz Azul’s recurring defensive lapses invite Puebla to attack with .

Model chance vs price48% model chance against roughly 33% implied

Positive

Puebla have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per.Visible data support

Positive

Cruz Azul sit 10 in the table, while Puebla sit.Visible data support

Positive

Cruz Azul’s recurring defensive lapses invite Puebla to attack.Article support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Cruz Azul Win is the preferred angle because cruz Azul’s recurring defensive lapses invite Puebla to attack with . Puebla have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Cruz Azul Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Cruz Azul carry the stronger scoring threat, but Puebla must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

Cruz Azul carry the stronger scoring threat, but Puebla must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

Kicks, cards and numerical disadvantages evidence

Cruz Azul’s recurring defensive lapses invite Puebla to attack with .

Puebla have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Cruz Azul Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Cruz Azul sit 10 in the table, while Puebla sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Kicks, cards and numerical disadvantages notes

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Cruz Azul4

Avg corners for

Puebla7

Cruz Azul8

Avg total corners

Puebla12

Cruz Azul1

Avg yellow cards

Puebla1

Cruz Azul20

Avg shots

Puebla13

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 54% · edge -0.1 pts

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

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Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 60%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Cruz Azul v Puebla prediction corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cruz Azul3

Avg goals scored

Puebla1

Cruz Azul2

Avg goals conceded

Puebla0

Cruz Azul100%

BTTS rate

Puebla0%

Cruz Azul100%

Over 2.5 goals

Puebla0%

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 71%

1.18

Check odds @ 1.18

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCruz Azul to WinBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 74% · edge -25.5 pts

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 60%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

Cruz Azul Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%

1.18

Check odds @ 1.18

Cruz Azul to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cruz Azul

W

Last 51W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 0L

18 Jul 2026A Atletico San Luis3-2

Puebla

W

Last 51W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 0L

18 Jul 2026A FC Juarez1-0

Market aligned with main pickCruz Azul to WinBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 74% · edge -25.5 pts

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 77%

1.1

Check odds @ 1.1

Cruz Azul Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%

1.18

Check odds @ 1.18

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Cruz Azul wins

3Draws

2Puebla wins

18 Jan 2026Cruz Azul v Puebla1-0

01 Nov 2025Puebla v Cruz Azul0-3

25 Jan 2025Cruz Azul v Puebla1-1

19 Oct 2024Puebla v Cruz Azul1-2

13 Apr 2024Puebla v Cruz Azul0-1

13 Nov 2023Cruz Azul v Puebla1-2

Market aligned with main pickCruz Azul to WinBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 74% · edge -25.5 pts

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

The head-to-head sample gives context for Cruz Azul to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Season team stats

Liga MX

Cruz Azul4

Played

Puebla4

Cruz Azul2

Avg goals for

Puebla1.5

Cruz Azul2

Avg goals against

Puebla1.3

Cruz Azul0

Clean sheets

Puebla1

Market aligned with main pickCruz Azul to WinBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 74% · edge -25.5 pts

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

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Cruz Azul Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%

1.18

Check odds @ 1.18

Season data supports Cruz Azul to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
7	Puebla	7	4	2	1	1	1
10	Cruz Azul	6	4	2	0	2	0

Cruz Azul sit in position 10, while Puebla sit in position 7, so table pressure belongs in the Kicks, cards and numerical disadvantages assessment.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Cruz Azul Over 2.5

0%Puebla Over 2.5

2.7H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Cruz Azul sit at 100% and Puebla sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

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