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CRB crestCRB
v
Vila Nova crestVila Nova

Serie B | Mon 27 Jul, 23:30

CRB v Vila Nova Stats

Data last updated: Tue 18 Aug 2026, 22:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

CRB face Vila Nova in Serie B on Mon 27 Jul, 23:30. CRB come in with 10 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while Vila Nova have 6 points and 1 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

CRB to Win

  • At 1.9, CRB to Win implies roughly 53%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
  • CRB have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Vila Nova.
  • Vila Nova have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the CRB to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • CRB sit 9 in the table, while Vila Nova sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 60% for CRB to Win sits against roughly 53% implied by the current price. CRB have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Vila Nova.

Model chance vs price60% model chance against roughly 53% implied
Positive
CRB have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Vila Nova have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: CRB Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers CRB have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Vila Nova. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

CRB to Win evidence

CRB have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Vila Nova.

Vila Nova have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the CRB Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

CRB sit 9 in the table, while Vila Nova sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

CRB to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    CRB5.6
    Avg corners for
    Vila Nova4
    CRB10.4
    Avg total corners
    Vila Nova9.25
    CRB2.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Vila Nova1.5
    CRB16
    Avg shots
    Vila Nova10.75
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
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    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 57%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    full betting preview for CRB v Vila Novacorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    CRB1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Vila Nova1
    CRB1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Vila Nova1.4
    CRB40%
    BTTS rate
    Vila Nova60%
    CRB60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Vila Nova60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 51%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCRB to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 53% · edge +7.7 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    CRB Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 51%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 57%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    CRB to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    CRB

    WWDLW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    22 Jul 2026A Ceara1-0
    17 Jul 2026H Nautico Recife2-1
    12 Jul 2026H Goias2-2
    04 Jul 2026A Londrina0-5
    01 Jul 2026A Botafogo SP1-0

    Vila Nova

    WLLWL
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 0D 4L
    22 Jul 2026H Fortaleza EC2-1
    18 Jul 2026A Criciuma0-2
    10 Jul 2026A Juventude0-1
    06 Jul 2026H São Bernardo2-1
    26 Jun 2026A Novorizontino1-2
    Market aligned with main pickCRB to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 53% · edge +7.7 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 85%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    CRB Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4CRB wins
    2Draws
    4Vila Nova wins
    21 Mar 2026Vila Nova v CRB2-2
    15 Nov 2025CRB v Vila Nova2-0
    23 Jul 2025Vila Nova v CRB2-0
    05 Sep 2024Vila Nova v CRB1-0
    17 May 2024CRB v Vila Nova1-0
    03 Sep 2023Vila Nova v CRB0-1
    Market aligned with main pickCRB to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 53% · edge +7.7 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 51%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    The head-to-head sample gives context for CRB to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Serie B

    CRB22
    Played
    Vila Nova22
    CRB1.5
    Avg goals for
    Vila Nova1.3
    CRB1.5
    Avg goals against
    Vila Nova1.1
    CRB6
    Clean sheets
    Vila Nova5
    Market aligned with main pickCRB to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 53% · edge +7.7 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    CRB Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Season data supports CRB to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3Vila Nova372211474
    9CRB33229670
    CRB sit in position 9, while Vila Nova sit in position 3, so table pressure belongs in the CRB to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%CRB Over 2.5
    60%Vila Nova Over 2.5
    1.6H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: CRB sit at 60% and Vila Nova sit at 60% with the H2H average at 1.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    CRB v Vila Nova prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

    full betting preview for CRB v Vila Novacorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hub

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    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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