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CRB crestCRB
v
Cuiaba crestCuiaba

Serie B | Sun 27 Sep, 20:00

CRB v Cuiaba Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 08:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

CRB and Cuiaba meet in a Serie B clash where both teams have shown attacking intent and recent goal-scoring form. CRB averages 1.4 goals per game with a strong 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while Cuiaba contributes 1.8 goals per game and a 60% over 2.5 rate. Both sides have solid offensive outputs and moderate defensive concessions, setting the stage for an open contest with multiple scoring opportunities. The mid-table standings reflect competitive balance, adding incentive for both teams to push forward and secure vital points.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • CRB has an 80% rate of matches over 2.5 goals this season.
  • Cuiaba averages 1.8 goals per game, indicating attacking strength.
  • Recent form shows both teams scoring and conceding at least 1.4 goals per match.
  • H2H meetings average 2.6 goals per game, supporting a goal-rich encounter.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model sees Over 2.5 Goals as a positive value bet with a 57.4% chance against a 46.5% implied market chance, offering a 10.9% . Both teams demonstrate strong attacking metrics, with CRB averaging nearly 23 shots and 7.6 on target per game, while Cuiaba also maintains decent shot volume. The historical average goals of 2.6 in their last 10 meetings further supports the likelihood of multiple goals. This combination of attacking pressure and prior results underpins the model's in a high-scoring match.

Model Chance57.4% model chance vs 46.5% implied (+10.9 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance57.4% model chance vs 46.5% implied (+10.9 pts)
Positive
Value Edge57.4% model chance vs 46.5% implied (+10.9 pts)
Strong positive
CRB Shots per Game22.8
Strong positive
Cuiaba Shots per Game15
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both CRB and Cuiaba pushing forward given their recent scoring trends and offensive capabilities. The data highlights a strong likelihood of multiple goals, supported by their average goals per game and historical head-to-head results. This match should provide chances at both ends, making Over 2.5 Goals a sensible selection.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“CRB and Cuiaba's attacking profiles and recent goal-scoring rates suggest this fixture is ripe for a high-scoring encounter, with both sides likely to create and convert chances.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

CRB has an 80% rate of matches over 2.5 goals this season.

Cuiaba averages 1.8 goals per game, indicating attacking strength.

Recent form shows both teams scoring and conceding at least 1.4 goals per match.

H2H meetings average 2.6 goals per game, supporting a goal-rich encounter.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches between CRB and Cuiaba have averaged 2.6 goals, highlighting a historical trend towards goal-rich encounters.
  • This sample, combined with recent form and season stats, suggests a tempo and style conducive to multiple scoring opportunities, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals trend for this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

CRB1.4
Avg goals scored
Cuiaba1.8
CRB1.4
Avg goals conceded
Cuiaba0.8
CRB60%
BTTS rate
Cuiaba40%
CRB80%
Over 2.5 goals
Cuiaba60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 47% · edge +10.9 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams have demonstrated consistent goal-scoring and conceding patterns, with CRB scoring and conceding 1.4 goals per game and Cuiaba scoring 1.8 while conceding 0.8. The head-to-head average of 2.6 goals per match further supports the expectation of multiple goals. BTTS rates differ but the overall goal volume suggests a lively attacking game with chances for both sides.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 47% · edge +10.9 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Cuiaba Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Cuiaba to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
CRB Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
CRB to WinBetUK guide price · model 33%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 57.4% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 46.5% implied by the current price (+10.9 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for CRB and 60% for Cuiaba, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

CRB

LWLWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
20 Sep 2026A Ponte Preta0-1
16 Sep 2026H Sport Recife2-1
10 Sep 2026A Operario-PR0-3
05 Sep 2026H America Mineiro3-1
30 Aug 2026H Criciuma2-1

Cuiaba

WDWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 4D 1L
22 Sep 2026H Nautico Recife3-0
13 Sep 2026A Novorizontino1-1
09 Sep 2026H Athletic Club3-0
04 Sep 2026A Criciuma0-2
29 Aug 2026A Botafogo SP2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Cuiaba Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Cuiaba to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
CRB Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
CRB to WinBetUK guide price · model 33%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Recent form data shows CRB has accumulated 9 points with an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while Cuiaba has 10 points with a 60% over 2.5 rate. Both teams have been involved in matches with multiple goals, reflecting attacking momentum and a tendency for open play, which supports the likelihood of a high-scoring fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%CRB Over 2.5
60%Cuiaba Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches between CRB and Cuiaba have averaged 2.6 goals, highlighting a historical trend towards goal-rich encounters. This sample, combined with recent form and season stats, suggests a tempo and style conducive to multiple scoring opportunities, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals trend for this fixture.

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