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Serie B | Thu 08 Oct, 00:30

CRB v Atletico Goianiense Stats

Data last updated: Wed 07 Oct 2026, 08:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Atletico Goianiense visits CRB in a Serie B clash where both teams are pushing for higher table positions. Atletico Goianiense currently sits 6th with 52 points, slightly ahead of 8th-placed CRB with 48 points, adding competitive edge to this fixture. Atletico Goianiense's recent form shows stronger momentum with 12 points in their last matches, compared to CRB's 6 points. Defensively solid with only 0.4 goals conceded per game, Atletico Goianiense aims to exploit CRB's leaky defense that concedes 1.6 goals on average. This match could hinge on Atletico Goianiense's tactical discipline and clinical finishing away from home.

BT4Y best bet

Atletico Goianiense to Win

  • Atletico Goianiense holds a 70% to win with strong value at 4.33 .
  • CRB concedes 1.6 goals per game, while Atletico Goianiense concedes just 0.4, highlighting defensive advantage.
  • Atletico Goianiense has collected double the recent points of CRB, indicating better form.
  • CRB averages more shots and corners but struggles defensively, suggesting Atletico Goianiense can capitalize on counterattacks.
  • Key Atletico Goianiense attackers like Gustavo Coutinho and Léo Jacó show strong goal threat metrics supporting the win pick.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Atletico Goianiense to win due to their superior recent form, defensive solidity, and efficient attack. Despite CRB's higher shot and corner counts, Atletico Goianiense's low goals conceded rate (0.4 per game) and better points haul (12 vs 6) underpin a strong away win chance. The at 4.33 offer significant value given the model's 70% . The attacking duo of Gustavo Coutinho and Léo Jacó provide a reliable goal threat, complementing the team's tactical discipline. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Recent FormAtletico Goianiense 12 points vs CRB 6 points
Strong positive
Defensive StrengthAtletico Goianiense concedes 0.4 goals per game
Strong positive
Attacking ThreatGustavo Coutinho and Léo Jacó have high goal threat indexes
Positive
Price Value41.3% model chance vs 26.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
CRB Defensive WeaknessCRB concedes 1.6 goals per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Atletico Goianiense's superior defensive record and recent form make them the tactical favorite to secure victory. Their ability to absorb pressure and capitalize on chances, combined with CRB's defensive vulnerabilities, supports backing Atletico Goianiense to win in this competitive Serie B fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Atletico Goianiense's disciplined defense and efficient attack create a compelling case for an away win despite CRB's home pressure. Their recent momentum and key attackers' form provide a solid foundation for this pick.”

Key Data Signals

Atletico Goianiense to Win evidence

Atletico Goianiense holds a 70% to win with strong value at 4.33 .

CRB concedes 1.6 goals per game, while Atletico Goianiense concedes just 0.4, highlighting defensive advantage.

Atletico Goianiense has collected double the recent points of CRB, indicating better form.

CRB averages more shots and corners but struggles defensively, suggesting Atletico Goianiense can capitalize on counterattacks.

What To Watch In The Data

Atletico Goianiense to Win notes

  • In the last 10 meetings between these teams, the average goals per match is 3, indicating a relatively open fixture historically.
  • However, Atletico Goianiense's recent matches show a trend towards tighter defensive games with fewer goals conceded.
  • This trend suggests an Over 2.5 goals outcome is possible but tempered by Atletico Goianiense's defensive discipline, favoring a controlled tempo with selective attacking bursts.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

CRB1.2
Avg goals scored
Atletico Goianiense1.8
CRB1.6
Avg goals conceded
Atletico Goianiense0.4
CRB40%
BTTS rate
Atletico Goianiense20%
CRB80%
Over 2.5 goals
Atletico Goianiense40%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 82% · edge -3.9 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Goal trends suggest a moderate scoring environment with CRB's high over 2.5 goals rate at 80% contrasting Atletico Goianiense's 40%. BTTS rates are low for both sides, especially Atletico Goianiense at 20%, indicating a likelihood of a low-scoring game with a single winning side rather than both teams scoring. Atletico Goianiense's strong defense supports a win with limited goals conceded.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAtletico Goianiense to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
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Atletico Goianiense Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The 41.3% for Atletico Goianiense to Win sits against roughly 26.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Atletico Goianiense have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 6 for CRB.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

CRB

LWLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
02 Oct 2026A São Bernardo1-3
27 Sep 2026H Cuiaba3-0
20 Sep 2026A Ponte Preta0-1
16 Sep 2026H Sport Recife2-1
10 Sep 2026A Operario-PR0-3

Atletico Goianiense

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
03 Oct 2026H America Mineiro2-0
26 Sep 2026A Goias1-0
19 Sep 2026A São Bernardo0-1
13 Sep 2026H Criciuma4-0
10 Sep 2026H Ceara2-1
Market aligned with main pickAtletico Goianiense to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
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Atletico Goianiense Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Atletico Goianiense's recent form is notably stronger, accumulating 12 points compared to CRB's 6 in recent matches. This momentum reflects better tactical execution and , especially defensively conceding only 0.4 goals per game. CRB's form is less consistent, with fewer points and a leaky defense, suggesting Atletico Goianiense is better placed to secure a win in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%CRB Over 2.5
40%Atletico Goianiense Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings between these teams, the average goals per match is 3, indicating a relatively open fixture historically. However, Atletico Goianiense's recent matches show a trend towards tighter defensive games with fewer goals conceded. This trend suggests an Over 2.5 goals outcome is possible but tempered by Atletico Goianiense's defensive discipline, favoring a controlled tempo with selective attacking bursts.

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