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Coventry crestCoventry
v
Hull City crestHull City

Premier League | Sat 29 Aug, 15:00

Coventry v Hull City Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 21:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Coventry face Hull City in Premier League on Sat 29 Aug, 15:00. Coventry City’s first Premier League home match in 25 years arrives with a rather more useful test of their level than the opening trip to Arsenal. Lampard's unbeaten record against Hull adds further backing.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Coventry City to win

  • At 20/23, Coventry City to win implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 47%.
  • Coventry City vs Hull City: Home Strength Meets Hull’s Early Momentum.
  • Hull City have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Coventry.
  • Hull City have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Coventry City to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Coventry sit 18 in the table, while Hull City sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Coventry City to win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 54% while the model sits nearer 47% (-6.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: BTTS No shows a +15 pts edge at 1.95.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 47% for Coventry City to win sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. Hull City have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Coventry. Coventry City vs Hull City: Home Strength Meets Hull’s Early Momentum.

Model chance vs price47% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Negative
Hull City have the stronger recent points return, taking 3.Visible data support
Positive
Hull City have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Coventry City vs Hull City: Home Strength Meets Hull’s.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Coventry Win is the preferred angle because coventry City vs Hull City: Home Strength Meets Hull’s Early Momentum. Hull City have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Coventry. Haji Wright remains out with a thigh injury, but Taiwo Awoniyi scored three minutes into his Coventry debut at Plymouth and is pushing Ellis Simms for a starting place.

Main risk

Haji Wright remains out with a thigh injury, but Taiwo Awoniyi scored three minutes into his Coventry debut at Plymouth and is pushing Ellis Simms for a starting place.

Key Data Signals

Coventry City to win evidence

Coventry City vs Hull City: Home Strength Meets Hull’s Early Momentum.

Hull City have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Coventry.

Hull City have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Coventry Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Coventry sit 18 in the table, while Hull City sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Coventry City to win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Coventry2
    Avg corners for
    Hull City1
    Coventry10
    Avg total corners
    Hull City7
    Coventry1
    Avg yellow cards
    Hull City2
    Coventry4
    Avg shots
    Hull City8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 46% · edge +5 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
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    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 49%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Coventry0
    Avg goals scored
    Hull City2
    Coventry3
    Avg goals conceded
    Hull City0
    Coventry0%
    BTTS rate
    Hull City0%
    Coventry100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Hull City0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCoventry to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 56% · edge -8.7 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Coventry Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Coventry to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Coventry

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    21 Aug 2026A Arsenal0-3

    Hull City

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    22 Aug 2026H Manchester United2-0
    Market aligned with main pickCoventry to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 56% · edge -8.7 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
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    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Coventry Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Coventry wins
    5Draws
    3Hull City wins
    06 Apr 2026Hull City v Coventry0-0
    09 Aug 2025Coventry v Hull City0-0
    14 Apr 2025Hull City v Coventry1-1
    14 Dec 2024Coventry v Hull City2-1
    24 Apr 2024Coventry v Hull City2-3
    15 Sep 2023Hull City v Coventry1-1
    Market aligned with main pickCoventry to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 56% · edge -8.7 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Coventry to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premier League

    Coventry5
    Played
    Hull City5
    Coventry0.2
    Avg goals for
    Hull City1.2
    Coventry2
    Avg goals against
    Hull City0.8
    Coventry1
    Clean sheets
    Hull City3
    Market aligned with main pickCoventry to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 56% · edge -8.7 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Coventry Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Season data supports Coventry to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    8Hull City852212
    18Coventry35104-9
    Coventry sit in position 18, while Hull City sit in position 8, so table pressure belongs in the Coventry City to win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Coventry Over 2.5
    0%Hull City Over 2.5
    2.2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Coventry sit at 100% and Hull City sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.