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Coritiba crestCoritiba
v
Palmeiras crestPalmeiras

Serie A | Wed 22 Jul, 23:30

Coritiba v Palmeiras Stats

Data last updated: Sun 16 Aug 2026, 11:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Coritiba face Palmeiras in Serie A on Wed 22 Jul, 23:30. Palmeiras' unbeaten streak and Coritiba's mixed recent form set the tone for the fixture. Seven victories, five draws and six defeats have kept Coritiba in the top half, while their total of 24 goals shows that they are capable of causing problems in attack.

BT4Y best bet

SE Palmeiras Win & Both Teams to Score

  • At 7/2, SE Palmeiras Win & Both Teams to Score implies roughly 22%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 30%.
  • Coritiba’s recurring defensive lapses invite Palmeiras to attack with .
  • Palmeiras have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Coritiba.
  • Coritiba sit 9 in the table, while Palmeiras sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 30% for SE Palmeiras Win & Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 22% implied by the current price. Palmeiras have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Coritiba. Coritiba’s recurring defensive lapses invite Palmeiras to attack with .

Model chance vs price30% model chance against roughly 22% implied
Positive
Palmeiras have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points.Visible data support
Positive
Coritiba sit 9 in the table, while Palmeiras sit 1.Visible data support
Positive
Coritiba’s recurring defensive lapses invite Palmeiras to attack.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Coritiba Win is the preferred angle because coritiba’s recurring defensive lapses invite Palmeiras to attack with . Palmeiras have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Coritiba. That balance tells a clear story: the Coxa have generally scored enough to remain competitive, but they have not consistently controlled matches without the ball.

Main risk

That balance tells a clear story: the Coxa have generally scored enough to remain competitive, but they have not consistently controlled matches without the ball.

Key Data Signals

SE Palmeiras Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Coritiba’s recurring defensive lapses invite Palmeiras to attack with .

Palmeiras have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Coritiba.

Palmeiras have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Coritiba Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Coritiba sit 9 in the table, while Palmeiras sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

SE Palmeiras Win & Both Teams to Score notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Coritiba3.4
    Avg corners for
    Palmeiras8
    Coritiba8.4
    Avg total corners
    Palmeiras13
    Coritiba0.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Palmeiras3
    Coritiba9
    Avg shots
    Palmeiras14.33
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 65% · edge -2.2 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 69%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    Serie A hubfull betting preview for Coritiba v Palmeirascorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Coritiba1.8
    Avg goals scored
    Palmeiras1.4
    Coritiba2.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Palmeiras0.6
    Coritiba60%
    BTTS rate
    Palmeiras60%
    Coritiba100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Palmeiras20%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCoritiba to WinBetUK guide price · Model 30% vs implied 21% · edge +8.5 pts
    4.75
    Check odds @ 4.75
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Coritiba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.85
    Check odds @ 2.85
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 69%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Coritiba to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Coritiba

    LWWDL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 4D 3L
    30 May 2026A Flamengo0-3
    26 May 2026H Bahia3-2
    17 May 2026A Santos3-0
    09 May 2026H Internacional2-2
    02 May 2026A Vitoria1-4

    Palmeiras

    WWDDD
    Last 52W 3D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 4D 0L
    31 May 2026H Chapecoense-sc1-0
    24 May 2026A Flamengo3-0
    17 May 2026H Cruzeiro1-1
    10 May 2026A Remo1-1
    02 May 2026H Santos1-1
    Market aligned with main pickCoritiba to WinBetUK guide price · Model 30% vs implied 21% · edge +8.5 pts
    4.75
    Check odds @ 4.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Coritiba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.85
    Check odds @ 2.85
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Coritiba wins
    1Draws
    6Palmeiras wins
    22 Oct 2023Coritiba v Palmeiras0-2
    04 Jun 2023Palmeiras v Coritiba3-1
    06 Oct 2022Palmeiras v Coritiba4-0
    12 Jun 2022Coritiba v Palmeiras0-2
    17 Feb 2021Coritiba v Palmeiras1-0
    14 Oct 2020Palmeiras v Coritiba1-3
    Market aligned with main pickCoritiba to WinBetUK guide price · Model 30% vs implied 21% · edge +8.5 pts
    4.75
    Check odds @ 4.75
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Coritiba to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Serie A

    Coritiba23
    Played
    Palmeiras23
    Coritiba1.2
    Avg goals for
    Palmeiras1.7
    Coritiba1.3
    Avg goals against
    Palmeiras0.8
    Coritiba6
    Clean sheets
    Palmeiras9
    Market aligned with main pickCoritiba to WinBetUK guide price · Model 30% vs implied 21% · edge +8.5 pts
    4.75
    Check odds @ 4.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Coritiba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.85
    Check odds @ 2.85
    Season data supports Coritiba to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Palmeiras4823146321
    9Coritiba3123878-2
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Coritiba Over 2.5
    20%Palmeiras Over 2.5
    2.6H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Coritiba sit at 100% and Palmeiras sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Coritiba v Palmeiras prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

    Serie A hubSerie A hubfull betting preview for Coritiba v Palmeirascorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hub

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    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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