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Coritiba crestCoritiba
v
Cruzeiro crestCruzeiro

Serie A | Fri 31 Jul, 01:30

Coritiba v Cruzeiro Stats

Data last updated: Thu 30 Jul 2026, 04:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Coritiba and Cruzeiro face off in a Serie A clash where both sides have shown contrasting attacking and defensive traits. Coritiba averages 4 corners per game while Cruzeiro is more aggressive with 6.5 corners on average, reflecting their intent to press and create chances from wide areas. Recent form shows Coritiba with a higher rate of over 2.5 goals matches, suggesting open play, while Cruzeiro's defensive solidity contrasts with their attacking pressure. This fixture promises territorial battles and set-piece opportunities, setting the stage for a high corner count encounter under the lights.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • Coritiba averages 4 corners per match, Cruzeiro 6.5, combining for a strong corner volume.
  • Recent matches show Coritiba's openness leading to more set-piece chances.
  • Cruzeiro's attacking style generates sustained pressure and wide deliveries.
  • Both teams have players with high shot volumes indicating attacking intent near the box.
  • Historical data indicates a competitive match with territorial exchanges favoring corners.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 75% chance for over 8.5 corners based on both teams' attacking patterns and corner averages. Cruzeiro's 6.5 corners per game and Coritiba's 4 combine to surpass the threshold comfortably. The teams' styles involve wide play and frequent fouls near the box, increasing corner opportunities. The model is strong, supported by player roles that emphasize crossing and set-piece involvement. No price warning is needed, making this a solid standard stake selection for corner markets.

Coritiba average corners4 per game
Positive
Cruzeiro average corners6.5 per game
Strong positive
Model corner chance75%
Strong positive
Player attacking rolesHigh shot and crossing involvement
Positive
Price sensitivityNo warning required
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively contest with both teams pushing wide and contesting possession aggressively, leading to numerous corner opportunities. Cruzeiro's higher corner average combined with Coritiba's openness suggests the match will feature sustained pressure and set-piece chances, making over 8.5 corners a tactically and statistically sound pick.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market rationale

“This fixture's corner potential is driven by Cruzeiro's wide attacking approach and Coritiba's vulnerability to sustained pressure, creating a fertile ground for numerous corners.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Coritiba averages 4 corners per match, Cruzeiro 6.5, combining for a strong corner volume.

Recent matches show Coritiba's openness leading to more set-piece chances.

Cruzeiro's attacking style generates sustained pressure and wide deliveries.

Both teams have players with high shot volumes indicating attacking intent near the box.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals stand at 1.7, indicating moderately open games.
  • Over recent matches, both teams have shown tendencies for over 2.5 goals, suggesting tempo and attacking transitions that often lead to corners through quick wide plays and defensive gaps.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Coritiba1.4
Avg goals scored
Cruzeiro1.2
Coritiba1.6
Avg goals conceded
Cruzeiro1
Coritiba40%
BTTS rate
Cruzeiro80%
Coritiba80%
Over 2.5 goals
Cruzeiro40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
4
Check odds @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Coritiba's matches have an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, while Cruzeiro's is 40%, showing contrasting scoring trends. Both teams have moderate BTTS rates, with Cruzeiro at 80%, suggesting open play and attacking intent that often leads to set-piece situations like corners.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Cruzeiro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Coritiba to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Cruzeiro to WinBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Coritiba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The over 8.5 corners market is priced without a clear but aligns well with the combined corner averages of both teams. The 75% supports a standard stake approach, with no significant price sensitivity detected, indicating a balanced market reflecting the match dynamics.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Coritiba3.8
Avg corners for
Cruzeiro7
Coritiba9.2
Avg total corners
Cruzeiro10.6
Coritiba1
Avg yellow cards
Cruzeiro3.4
Coritiba10.8
Avg shots
Cruzeiro15.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 62% · edge -2.1 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Cruzeiro averages 3.25 yellow cards per game, indicating a physical style that often results in fouls near the box and subsequent corners. Coritiba's lower card average contrasts with their 4 corners per game, reflecting a more measured approach but still contributing to corner opportunities through sustained pressure and shot volume.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Coritiba

DLLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
26 Jul 2026A RB Bragantino0-0
22 Jul 2026H Palmeiras1-3
30 May 2026A Flamengo0-3
26 May 2026H Bahia3-2
17 May 2026A Santos3-0

Cruzeiro

LWDWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
26 Jul 2026H Botafogo0-1
23 Jul 2026A Internacional2-1
01 Jun 2026H Fluminense1-1
24 May 2026H Chapecoense-sc2-1
17 May 2026A Palmeiras1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 60% · edge +5.6 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Cruzeiro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Coritiba to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Cruzeiro to WinBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Coritiba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Recent form data highlights Coritiba's tendency for matches with multiple goals and corners, reflected in their 80% over 2.5 goals rate. Cruzeiro's more conservative scoring but high BTTS rate suggests matches with open phases and attacking pressure, conducive to corner accumulation above 8.5.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Coritiba wins
3Draws
3Cruzeiro wins
06 Feb 2026Cruzeiro v Coritiba1-2
11 Nov 2023Coritiba v Cruzeiro1-0
16 Jul 2023Cruzeiro v Coritiba0-0
09 Oct 2021Coritiba v Cruzeiro0-3
06 Jul 2021Cruzeiro v Coritiba0-0
18 Oct 2017Coritiba v Cruzeiro1-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Coritiba to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Cruzeiro to WinBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 1.7 goals per game, indicating moderately open contests. While not directly corner-focused, these meetings suggest balanced play with opportunities for set pieces, supporting the corner market as a relevant angle for this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Coritiba20
Played
Cruzeiro20
Coritiba1.3
Avg goals for
Cruzeiro1.3
Coritiba1.4
Avg goals against
Cruzeiro1.5
Coritiba6
Clean sheets
Cruzeiro4
Best odds for this sectionCruzeiro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 53% · edge +4 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Coritiba to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Cruzeiro to WinBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Coritiba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Season-long corner stats show Cruzeiro as a corner-heavy team with 6.5 per match, while Coritiba contributes 4, combining for a robust corner count. Their attacking and defensive styles create frequent wide attacks and fouls, supporting the likelihood of surpassing 8.5 corners in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Coritiba2720767-2
11Cruzeiro2720767-4
Both teams sit mid-table with equal points, reducing pressure for ultra-defensive tactics. This positioning encourages open play and risk-taking to climb the table, which typically results in increased attacking actions and set-piece opportunities such as corners.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Coritiba Over 2.5
40%Cruzeiro Over 2.5
1.7H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals stand at 1.7, indicating moderately open games. Over recent matches, both teams have shown tendencies for over 2.5 goals, suggesting tempo and attacking transitions that often lead to corners through quick wide plays and defensive gaps.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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