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Coritiba crestCoritiba
v
Cruzeiro crestCruzeiro

Serie A | Fri 31 Jul, 01:30

Coritiba v Cruzeiro Stats

Data last updated: Tue 25 Aug 2026, 16:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Coritiba face Cruzeiro in Serie A on Fri 31 Jul, 01:30. There is something wonderfully frustrating about a fixture like this. Coritiba and Cruzeiro arrive with similar form, leaving fine margins likely to decide the result. Coritiba vs Cruzeiro: Midfield Control Could Decide a Tight Brasileiro Battle.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 91/100, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Coritiba show a 40% BTTS rate and Cruzeiro show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Coritiba average 1.4 goals scored and Cruzeiro average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. Coritiba show a 40% BTTS rate and Cruzeiro show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Strong positive
Coritiba show a 40% BTTS rate and Cruzeiro show a.Visible data support
Positive
Coritiba average 1.4 goals scored and Cruzeiro average 1.2, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Coritiba show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Cruzeiro show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Cruzeiro, meanwhile, welcome important creative players back but continue searching for greater defensive security.

Main risk

Cruzeiro, meanwhile, welcome important creative players back but continue searching for greater defensive security.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Coritiba show a 40% BTTS rate and Cruzeiro show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Coritiba average 1.4 goals scored and Cruzeiro average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Coritiba1.4
Avg goals scored
Cruzeiro1.2
Coritiba1.6
Avg goals conceded
Cruzeiro1
Coritiba40%
BTTS rate
Cruzeiro80%
Coritiba80%
Over 2.5 goals
Cruzeiro40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Serie A analysisrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Cruzeiro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Cruzeiro to WinBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Coritiba to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Coritiba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Coritiba4
Avg corners for
Cruzeiro7
Coritiba10
Avg total corners
Cruzeiro10.6
Coritiba0.75
Avg yellow cards
Cruzeiro3.4
Coritiba11.25
Avg shots
Cruzeiro15.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 62% · edge +7.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Coritiba

DLLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
26 Jul 2026A RB Bragantino0-0
22 Jul 2026H Palmeiras1-3
30 May 2026A Flamengo0-3
26 May 2026H Bahia3-2
17 May 2026A Santos3-0

Cruzeiro

LWDWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
26 Jul 2026H Botafogo0-1
23 Jul 2026A Internacional2-1
01 Jun 2026H Fluminense1-1
24 May 2026H Chapecoense-sc2-1
17 May 2026A Palmeiras1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 75% · edge -0.3 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Cruzeiro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Cruzeiro to WinBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Coritiba to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Coritiba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Coritiba wins
3Draws
3Cruzeiro wins
06 Feb 2026Cruzeiro v Coritiba1-2
11 Nov 2023Coritiba v Cruzeiro1-0
16 Jul 2023Cruzeiro v Coritiba0-0
09 Oct 2021Coritiba v Cruzeiro0-3
06 Jul 2021Cruzeiro v Coritiba0-0
18 Oct 2017Coritiba v Cruzeiro1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Cruzeiro to WinBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Coritiba to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Coritiba24
Played
Cruzeiro0
Coritiba1.3
Avg goals for
Cruzeiro-
Coritiba1.3
Avg goals against
Cruzeiro-
Coritiba6
Clean sheets
Cruzeiro-
Best odds for this sectionCruzeiro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 53% · edge +3.4 pts
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Load more odds for this section
Cruzeiro to WinBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Coritiba to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Coritiba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Season data supports Cruzeiro Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Cruzeiro392411671
8Coritiba3424978-1
Coritiba sit in position 8, while Cruzeiro sit in position 5, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Coritiba Over 2.5
40%Cruzeiro Over 2.5
1.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Coritiba sit at 80% and Cruzeiro sit at 40% with the H2H average at 1.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Coritiba v Cruzeiro prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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