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Como crestComo
v
Parma crestParma

Serie A | Mon 14 Sep, 17:30

Como v Parma Stats

Data last updated: Mon 05 Oct 2026, 04:00 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Como face Parma in Serie A on Mon 14 Sep, 17:30. With only one league goal to show for them, they need considerably more attacking influence than they have produced so far. Como vs Parma: In-form hosts face an attack still searching for answers.

BT4Y best bet

Como to win and both teams to score

  • At 21/10, Como to win and both teams to score implies roughly 32%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 44%.
  • Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
  • Como need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Como on 7 and Parma on 1.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Como and 33% for Parma.
  • Como to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2.33 for Como and 0.33 for Parma are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 44% for Como to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 32% implied by the current price. Como need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Como on 7 and Parma on 1. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Model chance vs price44% model chance against roughly 32% implied
Positive
Como need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Read on for all our free predictions and betting.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Como Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because read on for all our free predictions and betting tips. Como need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Como on 7 and Parma on 1. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Como to win and both teams to score evidence

Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Como need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Como on 7 and Parma on 1.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Como and 33% for Parma.

Como Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2.33 for Como and 0.33 for Parma are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Como to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Como2.33
Avg goals scored
Parma0.33
Como1
Avg goals conceded
Parma1.33
Como100%
BTTS rate
Parma33%
Como67%
Over 2.5 goals
Parma0%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Serie A fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickComo to WinBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 82% · edge -8 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Como Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Como to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Como

WWD
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
04 Sep 2026A Genoa4-1
30 Aug 2026A Napoli2-1
22 Aug 2026A Udinese1-1

Parma

DLL
Last 50W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 2L
06 Sep 2026H Monza1-1
29 Aug 2026A Juventus0-2
22 Aug 2026H Cagliari0-1
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 86% vs implied 97% · edge -11.1 pts
1.03
Check odds @ 1.03
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Como to WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Como Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%Como Over 2.5
0%Parma Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Como sit at 67% and Parma sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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