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Como crestComo
v
Parma crestParma

Serie A | Sun 17 May, 11:00

Como v Parma Stats

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.3, Under 2.5 Goals is priced at roughly 44% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 65%, so the current line is showing a +21.3-point value edge.
  • Como are at 40% for Over 2.5 in their last-five sample, Parma are at 20%, and the H2H goal average is 2.22.
  • The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Como have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Parma have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.3, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 16% · edge +32.1 pts
6.25
Bet HERE @ 6.25
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
13
Bet HERE @ 13
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

40%Como Over 2.5
20%Parma Over 2.5
2.22H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Como

WDWLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
10 May 2026A Hellas Verona1-0
02 May 2026H Napoli0-0
26 Apr 2026A Genoa2-0
17 Apr 2026A Sassuolo1-2
12 Apr 2026H Inter3-4

Parma

LLWWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
10 May 2026H AS Roma2-3
03 May 2026A Inter0-2
25 Apr 2026H Pisa1-0
18 Apr 2026A Udinese1-0
12 Apr 2026H Napoli1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 16% · edge +32.1 pts
6.25
Bet HERE @ 6.25
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
13
Bet HERE @ 13
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 67%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.06
Bet HERE @ 1.06
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.12
Bet HERE @ 1.12
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Como1.4
Avg goals scored
Parma1
Como1.2
Avg goals conceded
Parma1.2
Como40%
BTTS rate
Parma40%
Como40%
Over 2.5 goals
Parma20%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 44% · edge +21.3 pts
2.3
Bet HERE @ 2.3
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 47%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

2Como wins
4Draws
3Parma wins
25 Oct 2025Parma v Como0-0
03 May 2025Parma v Como0-1
19 Oct 2024Como v Parma1-1
24 Feb 2024Como v Parma1-1
20 Oct 2023Parma v Como2-1
18 Mar 2023como v Parma2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetUK guide price · Model 38% vs implied 8% · edge +30.3 pts
13
Bet HERE @ 13
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Como4.4
Avg corners for
Parma4.2
Como7.8
Avg total corners
Parma11.2
Como2.2
Avg yellow cards
Parma1.2
Como14.2
Avg shots
Parma8.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 56% · edge +12.7 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleN. Paz Anytime GoalscorerN. Paz · 12 goals · 1.5 SOT/90
81/100
Bet HERE
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A. Belotti 1+ Shot On TargetA. Belotti · 2.45 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
A. Belotti 2+ ShotsA. Belotti · 3.67 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
M. Baturina To Assist / Key Pass AngleM. Baturina · 3 assists · 3.35 key passes/90
76/100
Bet HERE
Assane Diao To Be FouledAssane Diao · 3.34 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
L. Mazzitelli Card RiskL. Mazzitelli · 1 yellows · 2.37 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
N. Paz
N. PazComo · Midfielder
Goal threat78/100
Shots /902.68
SOT /901.5
A. Belotti
A. BelottiComo · Attacker
Goal threat73/100
Shots /903.67
SOT /902.45
T. Douvikas
T. DouvikasComo · Attacker
Goal threat71/100
Shots /901.87
SOT /901.15
M. Đurić
M. ĐurićParma · Attacker
Goal threat12/100
Shots /902.67
SOT /900
L. Mazzitelli
L. MazzitelliComo · Midfielder
Goal threat3/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
M. Troilo
M. TroiloParma · Defender
Goal threat18/100
Shots /900.37
SOT /900.12
A. N'Diaye
A. N'DiayeParma · Defender
Goal threat10/100
Shots /900.72
SOT /900
Season team stats

Serie A

Como36
Played
Parma36
Como1.7
Avg goals for
Parma0.8
Como0.8
Avg goals against
Parma1.3
Como18
Clean sheets
Parma12
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 16% · edge +32.1 pts
6.25
Bet HERE @ 6.25
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
13
Bet HERE @ 13
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.12
Bet HERE @ 1.12
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Como65361811732
13Parma4236101214-18

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.