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Columbus Crew crestColumbus Crew
v
CF Montreal crestCF Montreal

Major League Soccer | Thu 20 Aug, 00:30

Columbus Crew v CF Montreal Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 02:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Columbus Crew hosts CF Montreal in a Major League Soccer clash where both teams seek to improve their mid-table standing. Columbus Crew has shown more attacking intent recently, averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to Montreal's 0.6, while conceding at a similar rate. Montreal's defensive discipline and lower scoring output contrast with Columbus's more aggressive style, making this a contest of offensive ambition versus defensive resilience. The match carries significance for playoff positioning, adding tactical urgency to both sides' approaches.

BT4Y best bet

Columbus Crew to Win

  • Columbus Crew has a 64.3% to win, with a positive at 1.65 .
  • Columbus averages 1.6 goals per game and has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating attacking strength.
  • CF Montreal scores less (0.6 goals per game) and has a lower BTTS rate (40%) than Columbus (80%).
  • Columbus Crew averages more shots (15) and corners (5.5) per game, showing territorial and offensive pressure.
  • Key Columbus attackers like Chase Adams and W. Abou Ali have strong shot volumes and goal threat metrics.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Columbus Crew to win due to their superior recent attacking form, averaging 1.6 goals per match and creating more shots and corners than CF Montreal. Columbus's 64.3% win probability reflects their home advantage and offensive edge, supported by players like Chase Adams who average 3.7 shots per 90 minutes. Montreal's lower scoring rate and less frequent BTTS occurrences reduce their chances. The data quality is solid, with no limitations noted, making this a confident selection with standard stake guidance.

Model Win Probability64.3%
Strong positive
Goal Scoring Rate (Columbus)1.6 goals/game
Strong positive
Shots per Game (Columbus)15 shots/game
Strong positive
BTTS Rate (Montreal)40%
Negative
Data QualityComplete data for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Columbus Crew's recent offensive momentum and home advantage make them the likely winners in this matchup. Their higher shot volume and goal-scoring consistency contrast with Montreal's more conservative approach, providing a tactical and statistical edge that supports backing Columbus to win.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking edge and player influence

“Columbus Crew's attacking players, particularly Chase Adams and W. Abou Ali, have been instrumental in creating chances and converting opportunities, which should be decisive against a defensively cautious Montreal side.”

Key Data Signals

Columbus Crew to Win evidence

Columbus Crew has a 64.3% to win, with a positive at 1.65 .

Columbus averages 1.6 goals per game and has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating attacking strength.

CF Montreal scores less (0.6 goals per game) and has a lower BTTS rate (40%) than Columbus (80%).

Columbus Crew averages more shots (15) and corners (5.5) per game, showing territorial and offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Columbus Crew to Win notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.8, supporting the likelihood of an open game.
  • Columbus's 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches further suggests a trend toward higher scoring encounters in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Columbus Crew1.6
Avg goals scored
CF Montreal0.6
Columbus Crew1.6
Avg goals conceded
CF Montreal1
Columbus Crew80%
BTTS rate
CF Montreal40%
Columbus Crew80%
Over 2.5 goals
CF Montreal20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 62% · edge +8.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Columbus Crew's high Over 2.5 Goals rate at 80% and BTTS rate at 80% indicate open games with multiple scoring chances. In contrast, CF Montreal's lower scoring and BTTS rates suggest a more defensive setup. This disparity points to a likely match with goals, primarily driven by Columbus's offensive pressure.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickColumbus Crew to WinBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 61% · edge +3.7 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Columbus Crew Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The current of 1.65 for Columbus Crew to win reflect a slight undervaluation compared to the model's 64.3% win probability, offering a modest positive . This pricing aligns with Columbus's home form and attacking statistics, making the market price-sensitive but still favorable for a standard stake.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Columbus Crew6.67
Avg corners for
CF Montreal6.33
Columbus Crew8.67
Avg total corners
CF Montreal10.33
Columbus Crew1.33
Avg yellow cards
CF Montreal0.67
Columbus Crew16.67
Avg shots
CF Montreal14
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 61% vs implied 50% · edge +10.8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Columbus Crew averages 5.5 corners and 15 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Their higher yellow card average (1.75) compared to Montreal (0.75) suggests a more physical style, which could influence game tempo and set-piece opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Columbus Crew

LDWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
16 Aug 2026A Charlotte1-3
02 Aug 2026A Inter Miami2-2
26 Jul 2026H FC Cincinnati2-1
23 Jul 2026H New York City FC1-2
24 May 2026H Atlanta United FC2-0

CF Montreal

DDLLD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 5D 4L
16 Aug 2026H DC United1-1
02 Aug 2026H New England Revolution2-2
26 Jul 2026H Inter Miami0-1
23 Jul 2026A Nashville SC0-1
17 Jul 2026H Toronto FC0-0
Market aligned with main pickColumbus Crew to WinBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 61% · edge +3.7 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Columbus Crew Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Columbus Crew's recent form shows 7 points gained with an average of 1.6 goals scored and conceded per game, reflecting balanced but effective play. Montreal's 3 points and lower scoring rate highlight offensive struggles. This recent momentum favors Columbus's chances to secure a home win.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Columbus Crew wins
4Draws
1CF Montreal wins
15 May 2025CF Montreal v Columbus Crew1-1
06 Apr 2025Columbus Crew v CF Montreal2-1
16 May 2024CF Montreal v Columbus Crew1-3
28 Apr 2024Columbus Crew v CF Montreal0-0
22 Oct 2023Columbus Crew v CF Montreal2-1
03 Sep 2023CF Montreal v Columbus Crew2-4
Market aligned with main pickColumbus Crew to WinBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 61% · edge +3.7 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The 10 previous meetings between Columbus Crew and CF Montreal have averaged 2.8 goals per game, indicating a moderately open scoring environment. While past results provide some context, current form and player availability are more decisive for this match's outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew20
Played
CF Montreal20
Columbus Crew1.4
Avg goals for
CF Montreal1.4
Columbus Crew1.7
Avg goals against
CF Montreal1.9
Columbus Crew3
Clean sheets
CF Montreal4
Market aligned with main pickColumbus Crew to WinBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 61% · edge +3.7 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
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Columbus Crew Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over the season, Columbus Crew has maintained a stronger attack with 1.6 goals per game and a high Over 2.5 Goals rate, while conceding similarly to Montreal. Montreal's lower scoring output and BTTS rate suggest a more cautious style, reinforcing Columbus's advantage in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12Columbus Crew20205510-5
14CF Montreal20205510-10
Columbus Crew sits 11th with 20 points, slightly ahead of Montreal in 14th with 17 points. Both teams are outside playoff spots, adding pressure to gain points. Columbus's marginally better position and home advantage provide a competitive edge in this context.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Columbus Crew Over 2.5
20%CF Montreal Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.8, supporting the likelihood of an open game. Columbus's 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches further suggests a trend toward higher scoring encounters in this fixture.

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Fixture links

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