Football Stats Hub

Colorado Rapids crestColorado Rapids
v
San Jose Earthquakes crestSan Jose Earthquakes

Major League Soccer | Sun 11 Oct, 02:30

Colorado Rapids v San Jose Earthquakes Stats

Data last updated: Sun 11 Oct 2026, 13:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

San Jose Earthquakes arrive with strong momentum, having secured 11 points recently compared to Colorado Rapids' 5. The Earthquakes boast a more potent attack, averaging 2 goals per game, and a tighter defense conceding 1.2 goals per match. Colorado Rapids have struggled defensively, allowing 2 goals per game and scoring less frequently. This clash features a San Jose side aiming to consolidate their higher league position, leveraging their attacking efficiency and recent form against a Colorado team seeking to regain stability.

BT4Y best bet

San Jose Earthquakes to Win

  • San Jose Earthquakes have earned 11 points recently, outpacing Colorado Rapids' 5 points.
  • Earthquakes average 2 goals per game with a solid defense conceding 1.2 goals.
  • Colorado Rapids concede 2 goals per game and score less, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals, supporting attacking play.
  • Judd leads with 15 goals and 1.85 shots on target per 90 minutes, highlighting their offensive threat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors San Jose Earthquakes to win due to their superior recent form, stronger attack, and more resilient defense compared to Colorado Rapids. San Jose's 70% reflects in their ability to capitalize on Colorado's defensive weaknesses. The Earthquakes' offensive leaders, including P. Werner, provide consistent goal threats, while Colorado's defensive frailties increase the likelihood of a San Jose victory. No price warnings apply, making this a solid value selection based on current data.

Recent form advantageSan Jose with 11 points vs. Colorado's 5
Strong positive
Attacking efficiencySan Jose scores 2 goals/game vs. Colorado's 1.4
Strong positive
Defensive soliditySan Jose concedes 1.2 goals/game vs. Colorado's 2
Positive
Key player impactP. Judd's 15 goals and 1.85 SOT/90
Strong positive
Value edge40.6% model chance vs 25.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

San Jose Earthquakes' recent form and attacking firepower make them the favored side to win this encounter. Their ability to convert chances, led by P. Judd, combined with a more stable defense, provides a tactical and statistical edge over Colorado Rapids, who have struggled defensively and lack consistent goal-scoring.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view

“San Jose's offensive consistency and defensive improvements position them well to secure victory, especially against a Colorado side showing defensive vulnerabilities and less attacking threat.”

Key Data Signals

San Jose Earthquakes to Win evidence

San Jose Earthquakes have earned 11 points recently, outpacing Colorado Rapids' 5 points.

Earthquakes average 2 goals per game with a solid defense conceding 1.2 goals.

Colorado Rapids concede 2 goals per game and score less, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals, supporting attacking play.

What To Watch In The Data

San Jose Earthquakes to Win notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals per match stand at 2.1, with both teams showing a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent games.
  • This trend indicates a moderately open fixture with potential for multiple goals, driven by San Jose's attacking strength and Colorado's defensive lapses.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Colorado Rapids1.4
Avg goals scored
San Jose Earthquakes2
Colorado Rapids2
Avg goals conceded
San Jose Earthquakes1.2
Colorado Rapids60%
BTTS rate
San Jose Earthquakes80%
Colorado Rapids60%
Over 2.5 goals
San Jose Earthquakes60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with San Jose averaging 2 goals per game and Colorado 1.4. San Jose's attacking prowess and Colorado's defensive concessions suggest a match likely to feature multiple goals and a high BTTS probability, supporting an open game scenario.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSan Jose Earthquakes to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
San Jose Earthquakes Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The 40.6% for San Jose Earthquakes to Win sits against roughly 25.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). San Jose Earthquakes have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 5 for Colorado Rapids.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Major League Soccer fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Colorado Rapids

LDWDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
27 Sep 2026A Los Angeles Galaxy2-3
20 Sep 2026H Seattle Sounders3-3
13 Sep 2026H CF Montreal1-0
10 Sep 2026A Austin1-1
06 Sep 2026A Columbus Crew0-3

San Jose Earthquakes

WDWWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
27 Sep 2026H Portland Timbers3-1
20 Sep 2026H Los Angeles FC2-2
13 Sep 2026H Houston Dynamo1-0
10 Sep 2026A San Diego3-2
06 Sep 2026A Austin1-1
Market aligned with main pickSan Jose Earthquakes to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
San Jose Earthquakes Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
San Jose Earthquakes have accumulated 11 points in recent matches, showcasing improved attacking output and defensive resilience. Colorado Rapids' 5 points reflect struggles in maintaining form and defensive solidity, reinforcing San Jose's advantage in momentum and heading into this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Colorado Rapids Over 2.5
60%San Jose Earthquakes Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals per match stand at 2.1, with both teams showing a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent games. This trend indicates a moderately open fixture with potential for multiple goals, driven by San Jose's attacking strength and Colorado's defensive lapses.

Loading deeper match data…