Football Stats Hub

Colorado Rapids crestColorado Rapids
v
Austin crestAustin

Major League Soccer | Sun 02 Aug, 02:30

Colorado Rapids v Austin Stats

Data last updated: Sat 01 Aug 2026, 06:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Colorado Rapids host Austin in a Major League Soccer clash where both teams are seeking to climb the standings. Colorado Rapids have shown more defensive resilience recently, conceding fewer goals than Austin, who have struggled at the back. Offensively, both sides average less than a goal per game, indicating a cautious approach. The Rapids' home advantage and slightly better recent form suggest they will push for a win, while Austin's attacking threat remains a factor to watch. Tactical discipline and set-piece effectiveness could be decisive in this closely matched encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Colorado Rapids to Win

  • Colorado Rapids have a 64.7% to win, reflecting solid home form and defensive stability.
  • Austin concedes an average of 2.8 goals per game, compared to Colorado Rapids' 1.0, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Both teams average under one goal scored per game, suggesting a tight contest with limited scoring.
  • Colorado Rapids average more corners per game (4.4) than Austin (3.8), indicating slightly better territorial control.
  • Key Rapids attacker Rafael Navarro has scored 8 goals this season, providing a reliable goal threat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Colorado Rapids to win due to their stronger defensive record and home advantage, combined with Austin's higher goals conceded rate. Despite both teams having low scoring averages, Colorado's ability to limit opposition chances and capitalize on set pieces gives them an edge. The model is solid at 64.7%, reflecting a balanced but favorable outlook for the Rapids. No significant data limitations affect this prediction, and the price is considered standard without warning flags.

Defensive StrengthColorado Rapids concede 1.0 goals per game vs Austin's 2.8
Strong positive
Home AdvantageColorado Rapids have better home form and more corners per game
Positive
Goal ThreatRafael Navarro leads Rapids with 8 goals and 1.4 shots on target per 90
Positive
Austin's Defensive WeaknessAustin concedes high goals, increasing Rapids' chances
Positive
Low Scoring TrendBoth teams average under 1 goal per game, suggesting a tight match
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Colorado Rapids' defensive solidity and home advantage give them a tactical and statistical edge over Austin. Their ability to control territory and limit Austin's attacking opportunities should translate into a narrow but decisive victory. The Rapids' key attackers, especially Rafael Navarro, provide the necessary goal threat to capitalize on Austin's defensive lapses.

Main risk

Colorado have not been consistently convincing, but Dick’s Sporting Goods Park has given them a stronger platform than they have found elsewhere.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view

“Colorado Rapids combine disciplined defending with effective set-piece and attacking options, making them the favored side to edge out Austin in a tight MLS fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Colorado Rapids to Win evidence

Colorado Rapids have a 64.7% to win, reflecting solid home form and defensive stability.

Austin concedes an average of 2.8 goals per game, compared to Colorado Rapids' 1.0, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Both teams average under one goal scored per game, suggesting a tight contest with limited scoring.

Colorado Rapids average more corners per game (4.4) than Austin (3.8), indicating slightly better territorial control.

What To Watch In The Data

Colorado Rapids to Win notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.4 per game, suggesting moderate scoring.
  • Colorado Rapids' Over 2.5 Goals rate is 40%, while Austin's is 100%, indicating Austin's matches often see more goals, possibly due to defensive vulnerabilities.
  • This trend suggests potential for goals but also a controlled Rapids defense.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Colorado Rapids4.4
Avg corners for
Austin3.8
Colorado Rapids9
Avg total corners
Austin7.8
Colorado Rapids3.4
Avg yellow cards
Austin1.8
Colorado Rapids8
Avg shots
Austin9.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 56% · edge -12.2 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Colorado Rapids average slightly more corners (4.4) than Austin (3.8), indicating marginally better territorial control. Austin's lower yellow card average (1.8) compared to Rapids (3.2) suggests a less aggressive approach, while shot data shows Austin generates more shots but with less accuracy, reflecting a less efficient attack.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Colorado Rapids0.8
Avg goals scored
Austin0.8
Colorado Rapids1
Avg goals conceded
Austin2.8
Colorado Rapids40%
BTTS rate
Austin40%
Colorado Rapids40%
Over 2.5 goals
Austin100%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 79% vs implied 83% · edge -4 pts
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Both teams average less than one goal per game, and their BTTS rates are moderate at 40%, indicating a cautious game with limited scoring. Austin's defensive frailty contrasts with their low scoring output, suggesting goals may come from set pieces or isolated chances rather than open play.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickColorado Rapids to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 57% · edge +7.6 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Colorado Rapids Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The market for Colorado Rapids to win is aligned with the model's 64.7% chance, reflecting a fair price without significant or warning flags. The likely reflect the Rapids' home advantage and defensive strength, making this a sensible selection rather than a speculative value bet.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Colorado Rapids

LWLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
26 Jul 2026A St. Louis City0-1
23 Jul 2026H San Diego1-0
24 May 2026H FC Dallas1-2
17 May 2026A Real Salt Lake1-2
14 May 2026A Minnesota United FC1-0

Austin

LWLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
26 Jul 2026A Houston Dynamo0-3
23 Jul 2026H Seattle Sounders3-1
23 May 2026A St. Louis City0-3
17 May 2026H Sporting Kansas City1-2
14 May 2026A San Diego0-5
Market aligned with main pickColorado Rapids to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 57% · edge +7.6 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Colorado Rapids Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Recent form data shows Colorado Rapids have earned 6 points in their last matches compared to Austin's 3, reflecting better momentum. The Rapids' ability to concede fewer goals recently supports their defensive , while Austin's higher goals conceded rate points to ongoing defensive issues that could be exploited.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Colorado Rapids wins
2Draws
3Austin wins
08 Jun 2025Colorado Rapids v Austin0-2
09 Mar 2025Austin v Colorado Rapids0-1
20 Oct 2024Austin v Colorado Rapids3-2
16 Jun 2024Colorado Rapids v Austin2-0
01 Oct 2023Colorado Rapids v Austin1-0
26 Mar 2023Austin v Colorado Rapids1-1
Market aligned with main pickColorado Rapids to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 57% · edge +7.6 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 2.4 goals per game, indicating moderately open contests historically. However, the Rapids' recent defensive improvements and home advantage provide a tactical edge, making previous meetings a useful but not definitive guide for this fixture.
Season team stats

Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids17
Played
Austin17
Colorado Rapids1.5
Avg goals for
Austin1.3
Colorado Rapids1.5
Avg goals against
Austin2.1
Colorado Rapids4
Clean sheets
Austin4
Market aligned with main pickColorado Rapids to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 57% · edge +7.6 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Colorado Rapids Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Over the season, Colorado Rapids have maintained a stronger defensive record, conceding an average of 1 goal per game, while Austin concedes nearly 3. This defensive disparity underpins the Rapids' edge in this matchup, despite both teams having modest scoring records, emphasizing the importance of defensive solidity.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
13Colorado Rapids191761101
14Austin1717458-13
Colorado Rapids sit just above Austin in the MLS standings, with 19 points to Austin's 17, indicating a tight competition for mid-table positioning. This proximity adds competitive tension but does not decisively favor either side beyond the Rapids' slight home advantage and better defensive stats.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Colorado Rapids Over 2.5
100%Austin Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.4 per game, suggesting moderate scoring. Colorado Rapids' Over 2.5 Goals rate is 40%, while Austin's is 100%, indicating Austin's matches often see more goals, possibly due to defensive vulnerabilities. This trend suggests potential for goals but also a controlled Rapids defense.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.