China
PalestineFriendlies | Fri 02 Oct, 12:35
China v Palestine Stats
Data last updated: Thu 01 Oct 2026, 09:15 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
China faces Palestine in a friendly match where both teams have shown moderate scoring and defensive records recently. China averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, while Palestine has slightly higher scoring at 1.6 goals but concedes similarly at 1.2. Both sides have mixed recent form with China earning 8 points and Palestine 7 in their last matches. The tactical setup and cautious approach typical of friendlies suggest a controlled game with limited goal-scoring chances, making a low-scoring match plausible.
BTTS No
- China concedes an average of 1.2 goals per game, indicating defensive solidity.
- Palestine's matches see Both Teams To Score 60% of the time, but China only 40%, suggesting a lower BTTS likelihood.
- China averages nearly 10 corners per game, showing attacking pressure but not necessarily goals.
- Recent form shows China and Palestine have similar defensive records, supporting a cautious game.
- Historical head-to-head matches average 2 goals, indicating moderate scoring potential.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors BTTS No with a 47.3% chance, higher than the implied market chance of 38.2%, indicating value in expecting a clean sheet or a shutout. Both teams have moderate goal-scoring but also concede at similar rates, and recent form data shows China has a lower BTTS rate (40%) compared to Palestine (60%). The match context of a friendly often leads to conservative tactics, reducing goal-scoring opportunities. This combination supports the likelihood of one team failing to score, making BTTS No a sensible selection.
Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · BTTS No rationale
“This fixture’s friendly status and balanced defensive records point to a match where one side may fail to score, making BTTS No a compelling angle despite Palestine’s occasional attacking bursts.”
Key Data Signals
BTTS No evidence
China concedes an average of 1.2 goals per game, indicating defensive solidity.
China averages nearly 10 corners per game, showing attacking pressure but not necessarily goals.
Recent form shows China and Palestine have similar defensive records, supporting a cautious game.
What To Watch In The Data
BTTS No notes
- In the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored were 2, indicating moderate scoring levels.
- China’s 80% Over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Palestine’s 60%, but the low BTTS rate for China suggests goals may come from one side only.
- The trend points to a match with goal opportunities but a reasonable chance that both teams will not score.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
China
Palestine
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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