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Chicago Fire crestChicago Fire
v
New York City FC crestNew York City FC

Major League Soccer | Sat 10 Oct, 19:30

Chicago Fire v New York City FC Stats

Data last updated: Sun 11 Oct 2026, 13:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

New York City FC host Chicago Fire in a pivotal Eastern Conference clash at Yankee Stadium, where both teams bring contrasting but potent attacking profiles. New York City FC aim to leverage their technical control and possession control, despite recent defensive vulnerabilities at home. Chicago Fire arrive with strong away form and a high shot volume, posing a significant threat through quick transitions and sustained pressure. Both sides have shown consistent scoring ability, setting the stage for an open, high-tempo contest likely decided by midfield battles and defensive discipline.

BT4Y match pick

Both Teams to Score

  • New York City FC average 2.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per home league match, indicating attacking strength but defensive lapses.
  • Chicago Fire have scored in 12 consecutive MLS matches, maintaining a potent and consistent offensive output.
  • Chicago Fire average 14.06 shots per match, surpassing New York City FC's 11.11, reflecting greater offensive pressure.
  • Both teams focus heavily on central penetration, with nearly 70% of shots taken from inside the penalty area.
  • Recent matches show both teams scoring frequently, with six of Chicago Fire's last seven fixtures featuring goals from both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick aligns with strong attacking data from both sides and their recent scoring consistency. New York City FC's high home goal average is tempered by defensive vulnerabilities, while Chicago Fire's superior shot volume and dangerous attacks suggest they will find opportunities despite playing away. The model notes a slight price sensitivity, recommending cautious stakes, but the tactical context of open play and transition threats supports the likelihood of goals at both ends.

Home Attack and Defence2.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game
Positive
Chicago Fire Offensive Pressure14.06 shots per match, 48.35 dangerous attacks
Strong positive
Recent Scoring ConsistencyChicago Fire scored in 12 consecutive matches
Strong positive
Shot Location Focus~70% shots from inside penalty area for both teams
Positive
Price Sensitivity63.3% model chance vs 65.4% implied (-2.1 pts)
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have demonstrated consistent scoring ability and attacking intent, making a goalscoring contest highly probable. New York City FC's home vulnerabilities combined with Chicago Fire's prolific shot volume suggest both sides will find the net. This pick reflects the tactical battle between possession control and penetration, supported by recent form and attacking statistics.

Main risk

The four-point gap is significant, but hardly decisive.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture promises open play with both teams possessing the firepower and tactical impetus to score. The combination of New York City's home attacking output and Chicago's relentless shot volume makes Both Teams to Score a compelling selection.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

New York City FC average 2.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per home league match, indicating attacking strength but defensive lapses.

Chicago Fire have scored in 12 consecutive MLS matches, maintaining a potent and consistent offensive output.

Chicago Fire average 14.06 shots per match, surpassing New York City FC's 11.11, reflecting greater offensive pressure.

Both teams focus heavily on central penetration, with nearly 70% of shots taken from inside the penalty area.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.3, with recent meetings producing four goals and BTTS outcomes.
  • This trend over a meaningful sample supports the likelihood of multiple goals and both teams scoring in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Chicago Fire1.2
Avg goals scored
New York City FC1
Chicago Fire1.4
Avg goals conceded
New York City FC1
Chicago Fire60%
BTTS rate
New York City FC40%
Chicago Fire60%
Over 2.5 goals
New York City FC40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 65% · edge -2.1 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 41%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams have shown strong scoring trends, with New York City FC averaging 2.38 home goals and Chicago Fire scoring in 12 straight matches. Both sides focus attacks centrally, taking nearly 70% of shots inside the box, supporting a high likelihood of goals at both ends.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Major League Soccer hubChicago Fire v New York City FC predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 65% · edge -2.1 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Chicago Fire Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
New York City FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 33%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Chicago Fire to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
The 63.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 65.4% implied by the current price (-2.1 pts). Chicago Fire show a 60% BTTS rate and New York City FC show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Chicago Fire

WWLLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
07 Oct 2026H Vancouver Whitecaps3-1
27 Sep 2026A Charlotte1-0
20 Sep 2026A Nashville SC0-3
13 Sep 2026H New England Revolution1-2
10 Sep 2026H Inter Miami1-1

New York City FC

DLWLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 5D 4L
27 Sep 2026A Atlanta United FC2-2
19 Sep 2026H New York Red Bulls0-1
13 Sep 2026A Real Salt Lake2-0
10 Sep 2026H New England Revolution1-2
05 Sep 2026H Nashville SC0-0
Best odds for this sectionChicago Fire Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 50% · edge +10.5 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
New York City FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 33%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Chicago Fire to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
New York City FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Recent form shows Chicago Fire scoring 1.2 goals per game with a 60% Over 2.5 rate and 60% BTTS rate, reflecting offensive consistency. New York City FC have scored 1 goal per game with 40% rates for Over 2.5 and BTTS, indicating slightly lower but still significant scoring trends supporting a BTTS outcome.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Chicago Fire Over 2.5
40%New York City FC Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.3, with recent meetings producing four goals and BTTS outcomes. This trend over a meaningful sample supports the likelihood of multiple goals and both teams scoring in this fixture.

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