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Cerezo Osaka crestCerezo Osaka
v
Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund

Friendlies Clubs | Wed 29 Jul, 11:00

Cerezo Osaka v Borussia Dortmund Stats

Data last updated: Tue 28 Jul 2026, 05:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cerezo Osaka face Borussia Dortmund in Friendlies Clubs on Wed 29 Jul, 11:00. Cerezo Osaka come in with 3 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Borussia Dortmund have 3 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Over 2.5 Goals is rated around 76% by the current BT4Y model.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Cerezo Osaka and 100% for Borussia Dortmund, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Borussia Dortmund are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Cerezo Osaka at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 50% for Cerezo Osaka and 100% for Borussia Dortmund show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals around 76% on the latest available numbers. The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Cerezo Osaka and 100% for Borussia Dortmund, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Cerezo Osaka.Visible data support
Positive
Borussia Dortmund are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Cerezo Osaka and 100% for Borussia Dortmund, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Cerezo Osaka and 100% for Borussia Dortmund, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Borussia Dortmund are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Cerezo Osaka at 1.

BTTS rates of 50% for Cerezo Osaka and 100% for Borussia Dortmund show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cerezo Osaka1
Avg goals scored
Borussia Dortmund2
Cerezo Osaka1
Avg goals conceded
Borussia Dortmund1.5
Cerezo Osaka50%
BTTS rate
Borussia Dortmund100%
Cerezo Osaka50%
Over 2.5 goals
Borussia Dortmund100%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cerezo Osaka

WL
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
15 Jul 2026H Tochigi City1-0
08 Feb 2026H TIAMO Hirakata1-2

Borussia Dortmund

LW
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
25 Jul 2026A Fortuna Düsseldorf1-2
18 Jul 2026A Rot-weiss Oberhausen3-1

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Cerezo Osaka wins
0Draws
1Borussia Dortmund wins
24 Jul 2024Cerezo Osaka v Borussia Dortmund2-3

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Cerezo Osaka3
Played
Borussia Dortmund3
Cerezo Osaka1
Avg goals for
Borussia Dortmund1.3
Cerezo Osaka0.7
Avg goals against
Borussia Dortmund1.3
Cerezo Osaka2
Clean sheets
Borussia Dortmund0

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Cerezo Osaka Over 2.5
100%Borussia Dortmund Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Cerezo Osaka sit at 50% and Borussia Dortmund sit at 100% with the H2H average at 5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.