Football Stats Hub

Celtic crestCeltic
v
Lask Linz crestLask Linz

UEFA Champions League | Wed 19 Aug, 20:00

Celtic v Lask Linz Stats

Data last updated: Wed 09 Sep 2026, 15:43 UK time
BT4Y lean · price warning

Over 2

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 64%, above the 50% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 4/7, Over 2 implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • It covers scorelines like 1-1 which lose in the Over 2.5 Goals market, but trades away payouts on one-sided blowouts like 3-0 or 4-0.
Price warning

Over 2 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 64% while the model sits nearer 50% (-13.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Lask Linz Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 3.3.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 50% for Over 2 sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. It covers scorelines like 1-1 which lose in the Over 2.5 Goals market, but trades away payouts on one-sided blowouts like 3-0 or 4-0.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Negative
It covers scorelines like 1-1 which lose in the.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -13.6 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because it covers scorelines like 1-1 which lose in the Over 2.5 Goals market, but trades away payouts on one-sided blowouts like 3-0 or 4-0. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

It covers scorelines like 1-1 which lose in the Over 2.5 Goals market, but trades away payouts on.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Celtic-
Avg goals scored
Lask Linz-
Celtic-
Avg goals conceded
Lask Linz-
Celtic-
BTTS rate
Lask Linz-
Celtic-
Over 2.5 goals
Lask Linz-
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 59% · edge -8.8 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 59% · edge -8.8 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Lask Linz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Lask Linz to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Celtic to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Champions League hubrelated match predictionplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Celtic

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Celtic yet.

Lask Linz

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Lask Linz yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Lask Linz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Lask Linz to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Celtic to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Celtic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Celtic wins
0Draws
0Lask Linz wins
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 59% · edge -8.8 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Lask Linz to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Celtic to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Over 2.5 Goals, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Celtic2
Played
Lask Linz3
Celtic2
Avg goals for
Lask Linz1.7
Celtic2.5
Avg goals against
Lask Linz1.7
Celtic1
Clean sheets
Lask Linz0
Best odds for this sectionLask Linz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +15 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Lask Linz to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Celtic to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Celtic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Season data supports Lask Linz Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
35Lask Linz01001-1
UEFA Champions League standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Celtic Over 2.5
-Lask Linz Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
It covers scorelines like 1-1 which lose in the Over 2.5 Goals market, but trades away payouts on one-sided blowouts like 3-0 or 4-0.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Celtic v Lask Linz prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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