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Celtic crestCeltic
v
AC Milan crestAC Milan

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 25 Jul, 15:00

Celtic v AC Milan Stats

Data last updated: Tue 18 Aug 2026, 01:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Celtic face AC Milan in Friendlies Clubs on Sat 25 Jul, 15:00. They have already played three summer friendlies, while Milan are preparing for their first official pre-season fixture. Celtic’s superior match sharpness and consistent scoring in 12 consecutive matches underpin this tip.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 2.55, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 39%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 49%.
  • That sequence suggests their games have become too open, with attacking intent frequently accompanied by defensive vulnerability.
  • Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 2 points from the sample compared with 0 for AC Milan.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 49% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 39% implied by the current price. Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 2 points from the sample compared with 0 for AC Milan. That sequence suggests their games have become too open, with attacking intent frequently accompanied by defensive vulnerability.

Model chance vs price49% model chance against roughly 39% implied
Positive
Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 2 points.Visible data support
Positive
That sequence suggests their games have become too open.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Celtic Win is the preferred angle because that sequence suggests their games have become too open, with attacking intent frequently accompanied by defensive vulnerability. Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 2 points from the sample compared with 0 for AC Milan. Milan’s attack shows promise but lacks the consistency of Celtic.

Main risk

Milan’s attack shows promise but lacks the consistency of Celtic.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

That sequence suggests their games have become too open, with attacking intent frequently accompanied by defensive vulnerability.

Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 2 points from the sample compared with 0 for AC Milan.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCeltic to WinBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 39% · edge +9.7 pts
    2.55
    Check odds @ 2.55
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Celtic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Celtic to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Celtic1
    Avg goals scored
    AC Milan-
    Celtic2
    Avg goals conceded
    AC Milan-
    Celtic100%
    BTTS rate
    AC Milan-
    Celtic33%
    Over 2.5 goals
    AC Milan-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 29%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Celtic

    DLD
    Last 50W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 2D 1L
    18 Jul 2026H Middlesbrough1-1
    14 Jul 2026A Sporting CP1-4
    07 Jul 2026A Shelbourne1-1

    AC Milan

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for AC Milan yet.

    Market aligned with main pickCeltic to WinBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 39% · edge +9.7 pts
    2.55
    Check odds @ 2.55
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 77%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Celtic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Celtic wins
    0Draws
    4AC Milan wins
    03 Dec 2020AC Milan v Celtic4-2
    22 Oct 2020Celtic v AC Milan1-3
    26 Nov 2013Celtic v AC Milan0-3
    18 Sep 2013AC Milan v Celtic2-0
    Market aligned with main pickCeltic to WinBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 39% · edge +9.7 pts
    2.55
    Check odds @ 2.55
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Celtic to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Celtic4
    Played
    AC Milan4
    Celtic1.3
    Avg goals for
    AC Milan1.8
    Celtic2
    Avg goals against
    AC Milan2
    Celtic0
    Clean sheets
    AC Milan0
    Market aligned with main pickCeltic to WinBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 39% · edge +9.7 pts
    2.55
    Check odds @ 2.55
    Load more odds for this section
    Celtic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Season data supports Celtic to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    33%Celtic Over 2.5
    -AC Milan Over 2.5
    3.75H2H avg goals
    That sequence suggests their games have become too open, with attacking intent frequently accompanied by defensive vulnerability.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.