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Aberdeen crestAberdeen

Premiership | Wed 02 Sep, 19:45

Celtic v Aberdeen Stats

Data last updated: Tue 22 Sep 2026, 09:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Celtic face Aberdeen in Premiership on Wed 02 Sep, 19:45. Celtic's average over 3.5 expected goals per league game and Aberdeen's occasional scoring in cup matches support this outcome, though defensive absences make this prediction fragile to clean sheets or extra goals. Celtic's perfect recent wins contrast with Aberdeen's single victory in three matches.

BT4Y best bet

Celtic to win and both teams to score

  • Celtic to win and both teams to score is rated around 51% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Celtic's perfect start with 10.6 expected goals and eight scored shows sustained attacking quality.
  • Celtic need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Celtic on 9 and Aberdeen on 3.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 67% for Celtic and 33% for Aberdeen.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Celtic to win and both teams to score around 51% on the latest available numbers. Celtic need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Celtic on 9 and Aberdeen on 3. Celtic's perfect start with 10.6 expected goals and eight scored shows sustained attacking quality.

Celtic need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Celtic's perfect start with 10.6 expected goals and eight.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Celtic Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because celtic's perfect start with 10.6 expected goals and eight scored shows sustained attacking quality. Celtic need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Celtic on 9 and Aberdeen on 3. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Celtic to win and both teams to score evidence

Celtic's perfect start with 10.6 expected goals and eight scored shows sustained attacking quality.

Celtic need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Celtic on 9 and Aberdeen on 3.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 67% for Celtic and 33% for Aberdeen.

Celtic Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2.67 for Celtic and 0.67 for Aberdeen are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Celtic to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Celtic7.33
Avg corners for
Aberdeen4.67
Celtic11.33
Avg total corners
Aberdeen10.33
Celtic0.67
Avg yellow cards
Aberdeen4
Celtic23.33
Avg shots
Aberdeen10
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 55% · edge +13.8 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 69%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Celtic2.67
Avg goals scored
Aberdeen0.67
Celtic0.67
Avg goals conceded
Aberdeen1.33
Celtic67%
BTTS rate
Aberdeen33%
Celtic67%
Over 2.5 goals
Aberdeen33%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 46%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCeltic to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 79% · edge -4.7 pts
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Celtic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Celtic to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Celtic

WWW
Last 53W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 0L
29 Aug 2026H Falkirk2-1
09 Aug 2026A Kilmarnock5-1
03 Aug 2026H Dundee1-0

Aberdeen

LLW
Last 51W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 2L
30 Aug 2026H Rangers0-1
08 Aug 2026A Dundee0-2
01 Aug 2026H Heart Of Midlothian2-1
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 86% vs implied 94% · edge -8.3 pts
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
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Celtic to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Celtic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7Celtic wins
3Draws
0Aberdeen wins
04 Mar 2026Aberdeen v Celtic1-2
21 Dec 2025Celtic v Aberdeen3-1
10 Aug 2025Aberdeen v Celtic0-2
24 May 2025Aberdeen v Celtic1-1
14 May 2025Aberdeen v Celtic1-5
25 Feb 2025Celtic v Aberdeen5-1
Market aligned with main pickCeltic to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 79% · edge -4.7 pts
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The head-to-head sample gives context for Celtic to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Premiership

Celtic7
Played
Aberdeen7
Celtic2
Avg goals for
Aberdeen1
Celtic0.6
Avg goals against
Aberdeen1.1
Celtic3
Clean sheets
Aberdeen2
Market aligned with main pickCeltic to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 79% · edge -4.7 pts
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Load more odds for this section
Celtic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Season data supports Celtic to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Celtic18760110
7Aberdeen87223-1
Celtic sit in position 1, while Aberdeen sit in position 7, so table pressure belongs in the Celtic to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%Celtic Over 2.5
33%Aberdeen Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Celtic sit at 67% and Aberdeen sit at 33% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Celtic v Aberdeen prediction

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