Football Stats Hub

Celta Vigo crestCelta Vigo
v
Osasuna crestOsasuna

La Liga | Thu 27 Aug, 19:30

Celta Vigo v Osasuna Stats

Data last updated: Thu 08 Oct 2026, 17:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Celta Vigo face Osasuna in La Liga on Thu 27 Aug, 19:30. Osasuna lost 13 of 19 away league matches last season, making their travelling record the clearest vulnerability in this fixture. Celta’s home stability and Osasuna’s poor away form create a clear advantage.

BT4Y match pick

Celta Vigo to win and Over 2

  • At 1.95, Celta Vigo to win and Over 2 implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 47%.
  • Celta Vigo vs Osasuna: Home Strength Meets a Serious Away Problem.
  • Celta Vigo have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Celta Vigo to win and Over 2 angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Celta Vigo sit 14 in the table, while Osasuna sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 47% for Celta Vigo to win and Over 2 sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. Celta Vigo have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Celta Vigo to win and Over 2 angle more than a raw possession edge. Celta Vigo vs Osasuna: Home Strength Meets a Serious Away Problem.

Model chance vs price47% model chance against roughly 51% implied
Negative
Celta Vigo have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Celta Vigo sit 14 in the table, while Osasuna sit.Visible data support
Positive
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna: Home Strength Meets a Serious.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Celta Vigo Win is the preferred angle because celta Vigo vs Osasuna: Home Strength Meets a Serious Away Problem. Celta Vigo have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Celta Vigo Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Match Result (1X2): Focuses solely on whether Celta Vigo, Osasuna, or the draw occurs after 90 minutes, removing the goal-count requirement but generally offering a shorter price for the favourite.

Main risk

Match Result (1X2): Focuses solely on whether Celta Vigo, Osasuna, or the draw occurs after 90 minutes, removing the goal-count requirement but generally offering a shorter price for the favourite.

Key Data Signals

Celta Vigo to win and Over 2 evidence

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna: Home Strength Meets a Serious Away Problem.

Celta Vigo have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Celta Vigo Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Celta Vigo sit 14 in the table, while Osasuna sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Celta Vigo to win and Over 2 notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Celta Vigo0
    Avg goals scored
    Osasuna0
    Celta Vigo0
    Avg goals conceded
    Osasuna0
    Celta Vigo0%
    BTTS rate
    Osasuna0%
    Celta Vigo0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Osasuna0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 56% · edge +12.4 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 32%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Celta Vigo

    D
    Last 50W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 0L
    22 Aug 2026A Valencia0-0

    Osasuna

    D
    Last 50W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 0L
    24 Aug 2026H Levante0-0
    Market aligned with main pickCelta Vigo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 51% · edge -4.8 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Celta Vigo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCelta Vigo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 51% · edge -4.8 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 70%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 64%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Celta Vigo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 32%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Celta Vigo to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Celta Vigo Over 2.5
    0%Osasuna Over 2.5
    2.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Celta Vigo sit at 0% and Osasuna sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Loading deeper match data…