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Celta de Vigo II crestCelta de Vigo II
v
Real Sociedad II crestReal Sociedad II

Segunda División | Sat 10 Oct, 20:00

Celta de Vigo II v Real Sociedad II Stats

Data last updated: Sun 11 Oct 2026, 13:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Celta de Vigo II and Real Sociedad II meet in a Segunda División clash where both sides have shown moderate scoring ability but also defensive vulnerabilities. Each team has collected 8 points so far, reflecting a balanced contest. Real Sociedad II's attacking play is slightly more potent, with a higher BTTS rate and goal average, while Celta de Vigo II have struggled defensively but maintain a decent shot volume. This fixture promises open play with both teams likely to find opportunities, making goal-scoring from both sides a realistic prospect under current form and tactical setups.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 60%, with Real Sociedad II at 80%
  • Celta de Vigo II averages 13.8 shots per game, indicating attacking intent
  • Real Sociedad II concedes 1.8 goals per game, suggesting defensive frailty
  • Recent form shows both teams scoring in most matches
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2, supporting goal-scoring chances

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a strong 73.3% probability to both teams scoring, reflecting consistent offensive output and defensive lapses from both sides. Real Sociedad II's high BTTS rate of 80% and Celta de Vigo II's active attacking metrics, including 13.8 shots per game, underpin this . The at 1.62 offer positive value with an 11.6% edge, making this a compelling selection. The data quality is solid, with no limitations, ensuring reliable statistical support for this pick.

Model Probability73.3% model chance vs 63.7% implied (+9.6 pts)
Strong positive
BTTS RateReal Sociedad II 80%, Celta de Vigo II 40%
Positive
Shot VolumeCelta de Vigo II 13.8 avg shots per game
Positive
Defensive WeaknessReal Sociedad II concedes 1.8 goals per game
Positive
Value Edge73.3% model chance vs 63.7% implied (+9.6 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, making a Both Teams to Score outcome tactically plausible. Real Sociedad II's consistent goal-scoring form combined with Celta de Vigo II's offensive pressure supports this pick. The statistical data aligns well with the tactical context, indicating a high chance of goals from both sides in this Segunda División fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“The attacking profiles and defensive records of both teams suggest an open game where both sides are likely to find the net. Real Sociedad II's higher BTTS rate and Celta de Vigo II's shot volume create a strong case for goals at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 60%, with Real Sociedad II at 80%

Celta de Vigo II averages 13.8 shots per game, indicating attacking intent

Real Sociedad II concedes 1.8 goals per game, suggesting defensive frailty

Recent form shows both teams scoring in most matches

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, both teams have contributed to a 50% over 2.5 goals rate combined, with Real Sociedad II showing a 60% rate.
  • The head-to-head average of 2 goals per game in four meetings indicates a moderate tempo and goal frequency, supporting the expectation of multiple goals and an open game.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Celta de Vigo II1
Avg goals scored
Real Sociedad II1.4
Celta de Vigo II2
Avg goals conceded
Real Sociedad II1.8
Celta de Vigo II40%
BTTS rate
Real Sociedad II80%
Celta de Vigo II40%
Over 2.5 goals
Real Sociedad II60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.6 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have demonstrated goal-scoring ability with Real Sociedad II boasting an 80% BTTS rate and Celta de Vigo II contributing to a combined 60% over 2.5 goals rate. The head-to-head average of 2 goals per match further supports a fixture where goals at both ends are likely, driven by attacking intent and defensive gaps.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.6 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Real Sociedad II to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
3
Check odds @ 3
Real Sociedad II Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Celta de Vigo II to WinBetUK guide price · model 39%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
The 73.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 63.7% implied by the current price (+9.6 pts). Celta de Vigo II show a 40% BTTS rate and Real Sociedad II show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Celta de Vigo II

LDLLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 4L
04 Oct 2026A Sporting Gijon2-3
26 Sep 2026H Sabadell1-1
20 Sep 2026A Almeria0-2
14 Sep 2026H Eibar0-4
05 Sep 2026A AD Ceuta FC2-0

Real Sociedad II

LLLWD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 4L
04 Oct 2026H Granada CF2-3
26 Sep 2026A AD Ceuta FC1-3
19 Sep 2026H Mallorca0-1
12 Sep 2026A FC Andorra3-1
05 Sep 2026H Tenerife1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 64% · edge +10.1 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Real Sociedad II to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
3
Check odds @ 3
Real Sociedad II Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Celta de Vigo II to WinBetUK guide price · model 39%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Celta de Vigo II Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Recent form shows both teams scoring in their last matches, with Real Sociedad II maintaining a higher BTTS rate of 80% compared to Celta de Vigo II's 40%. Both teams have scored roughly one goal per game recently, indicating offensive capabilities that align with the Both Teams to Score prediction.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Celta de Vigo II Over 2.5
60%Real Sociedad II Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, both teams have contributed to a 50% over 2.5 goals rate combined, with Real Sociedad II showing a 60% rate. The head-to-head average of 2 goals per game in four meetings indicates a moderate tempo and goal frequency, supporting the expectation of multiple goals and an open game.

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