Celje

Ararat-Armenia

UEFA Champions League | Tue 11 Aug, 19:15

Celje v Ararat-Armenia Stats

Data last updated: Mon 10 Aug 2026, 07:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Champions League qualifier between Ararat-Armenia and Celje is a pivotal first leg at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, where both teams seek to edge closer to the group stage milestone. Ararat-Armenia have leveraged strong home performances with attacking firepower but remain vulnerable defensively, while Celje have shown resilience through high-scoring draws and penalty shootout success. Both sides possess dynamic forward lines and defensive frailties, setting the stage for an open, competitive match where midfield control and tactical discipline will be crucial in shaping the outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

Ararat-Armenia have scored in 6 consecutive matches, averaging 2 goals per game.
Celje have seen both teams score in 7 straight fixtures across all competitions.
Five of Ararat-Armenia's last 7 matches featured goals at both ends.
Both teams display attacking quality but defensive vulnerabilities, supporting BTTS.
Recent European qualifiers for both sides often end with both teams scoring.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick reflects the strong attacking trends and defensive vulnerabilities of Ararat-Armenia and Celje. Ararat-Armenia average two goals per game with frequent concessions, while Celje consistently score and concede around two goals per match. The model assigns a 76% chance to BTTS, well above the 60% implied by , indicating clear value. Both sides' recent matches show persistent goal threats and open play, making BTTS a fitting selection despite the need for defensive improvements.

Ararat-Armenia scoring consistency6 consecutive matches with goals, 2.0 goals per game

Strong positive

Celje BTTS rate7 consecutive matches with both teams scoring

Strong positive

Defensive vulnerabilitiesBoth teams concede regularly, inviting goals

Positive

Model chance vs implied odds76% model chance vs 60% implied odds

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams bring attacking prowess and defensive lapses into this crucial qualifier, making Both Teams to Score a logical choice. Ararat-Armenia's home firepower and Celje's persistent goal-scoring form suggest an open game with goals at both ends. The data supports this tactical outlook, highlighting frequent BTTS outcomes in recent matches for both sides.

Main risk

Both sides possess attacking quality but defensive imbalances, making a competitive 2-2 stalemate a logical outcome.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“Ararat-Armenia's home strength combined with Celje's resilience and goal-scoring consistency sets up a fixture ripe for goals at both ends, making BTTS a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Ararat-Armenia have scored in 6 consecutive matches, averaging 2 goals per game.

Celje have seen both teams score in 7 straight fixtures across all competitions.

Five of Ararat-Armenia's last 7 matches featured goals at both ends.

Both teams display attacking quality but defensive vulnerabilities, supporting BTTS.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

Over the last six matches, both teams average around two goals per game with frequent BTTS occurrences.
Celje's seven consecutive BTTS matches and Ararat-Armenia's six straight scoring games suggest a high-tempo, open style likely to produce multiple goals, supporting an Over 2.5 goals trend alongside BTTS.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Celje1.67

Avg goals scored

Ararat-Armenia1.8

Celje2

Avg goals conceded

Ararat-Armenia1.2

Celje100%

BTTS rate

Ararat-Armenia60%

Celje67%

Over 2.5 goals

Ararat-Armenia60%

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Both teams have demonstrated consistent scoring ability alongside defensive lapses, with Ararat-Armenia scoring in six straight matches and Celje featuring BTTS in seven consecutive games. This match is likely to continue that trend, as both sides possess attacking quality and defensive fragility, supporting a high probability of goals at both ends.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

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Ararat-Armenia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 39%

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

Ararat-Armenia to WinBetfred guide price · model 28%

7.5

Check odds @ 7.5

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

DrawBetfred guide price · model 19%

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Celje Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.23

Check odds @ 1.23

The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.67 with an implied probability of 60%, while the model estimates a 76% chance, indicating positive value. This discrepancy reflects the strong attacking and defensive patterns of both teams, making the BTTS market an attractive option without major price sensitivity.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Celje-

Avg corners for

Ararat-Armenia2

Celje-

Avg total corners

Ararat-Armenia4

Celje-

Avg yellow cards

Ararat-Armenia3

Celje-

Avg shots

Ararat-Armenia6

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 29%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Ararat-Armenia average 6 shots and 3 shots on target per game, indicating active attacking play, while Celje's attacking pressure is reflected in their consistent goal scoring. Ararat-Armenia's average of 2 corners and 3 yellow cards per game suggests a competitive and physical match environment, likely to generate set-piece opportunities and sustained pressure.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Celje

LDD

Last 50W 2D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 2D 1L

04 Aug 2026A Ararat-Armenia1-2

28 Jul 2026H Egnatia Rrogozhinë1-1

22 Jul 2026A Egnatia Rrogozhinë3-3

Ararat-Armenia

WLWLW

Last 53W 0D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 0D 2L

04 Aug 2026H Celje2-1

28 Jul 2026A Shamrock Rovers1-2

21 Jul 2026H Shamrock Rovers2-0

14 Jul 2026A Riga2-3

07 Jul 2026H Riga2-0

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

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Ararat-Armenia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 39%

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

Ararat-Armenia to WinBetfred guide price · model 28%

7.5

Check odds @ 7.5

DrawBetfred guide price · model 19%

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

Celje Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.23

Check odds @ 1.23

Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%

1.07

Check odds @ 1.07

Celje to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Recent form data shows Ararat-Armenia with 9 points and an average of 1.8 goals scored per game, conceding 1.2, while Celje have 2 points with 1.67 goals scored and 2 conceded per game. Both teams have high BTTS rates, with Celje at 100% and Ararat-Armenia at 60%, reinforcing the likelihood of goals from both sides in this fixture.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Celje wins

0Draws

2Ararat-Armenia wins

04 Aug 2026Ararat-Armenia v Celje2-1

24 Sep 2020Ararat-Armenia v Celje1-0

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

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Ararat-Armenia to WinBetfred guide price · model 28%

7.5

Check odds @ 7.5

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

DrawBetfred guide price · model 19%

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

Celje to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

The limited head-to-head sample of two matches shows an average of two goals per game, indicating moderately open contests. While the sample is small, it aligns with both teams' recent attacking patterns and supports the expectation of goals from both sides in this qualifier.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Celje3

Played

Ararat-Armenia5

Celje2.3

Avg goals for

Ararat-Armenia1.8

Celje2.3

Avg goals against

Ararat-Armenia1.2

Celje0

Clean sheets

Ararat-Armenia2

Best odds for this sectionArarat-Armenia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

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Ararat-Armenia to WinBetfred guide price · model 28%

7.5

Check odds @ 7.5

Celje Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.23

Check odds @ 1.23

Celje to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Season-long stats reveal both teams average around two goals scored and conceded per match, indicating open play and defensive vulnerabilities. Celje's 100% BTTS rate this season and Ararat-Armenia's 60% rate align with the BTTS pick, reflecting consistent attacking output and defensive lapses that favor both teams scoring.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%Celje Over 2.5

60%Ararat-Armenia Over 2.5

2H2H avg goals

Over the last six matches, both teams average around two goals per game with frequent BTTS occurrences. Celje's seven consecutive BTTS matches and Ararat-Armenia's six straight scoring games suggest a high-tempo, open style likely to produce multiple goals, supporting an Over 2.5 goals trend alongside BTTS.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Celje v Ararat-Armenia Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Celje

Ararat-Armenia

Next step

Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

Celje v Ararat-Armenia Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Celje

Ararat-Armenia

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