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Catanzaro crestCatanzaro
v
Monza crestMonza

Serie B | Sun 24 May, 19:00

Catanzaro v Monza Stats

Data last updated: Wed 24 Jun 2026, 11:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Catanzaro face Monza in Serie B on Sun 24 May, 19:00. Monza are an intimidating force at home, carrying a remarkable 17-match unbeaten streak at the U-Power Stadium, winning 13 times. Monza are unbeaten in their last 17 home matches, making them heavy favourites against a struggling Catanzaro road outfit.

BT4Y best bet

Catanzaro Win

  • At 7/1, Catanzaro Win implies roughly 13%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 36%.
  • Monza One Step Away: Can Catanzaro Produce a Playoff Final Comeback?
  • Monza have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Catanzaro.
  • Catanzaro have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Catanzaro Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Catanzaro sit 5 in the table, while Monza sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 36% for Catanzaro Win sits against roughly 13% implied by the current price. Monza have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Catanzaro. Monza One Step Away: Can Catanzaro Produce a Playoff Final Comeback?

Model chance vs price36% model chance against roughly 13% implied
Strong positive
Monza have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points.Visible data support
Positive
Catanzaro have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Monza One Step Away: Can Catanzaro Produce a Playoff.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Catanzaro Win is the preferred angle because monza One Step Away: Can Catanzaro Produce a Playoff Final Comeback? Monza have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Catanzaro. Monza have scored at least twice in all but one of their last eight matches, while Catanzaro continue to carry attacking threat despite the recent blanks.

Main risk

Monza have scored at least twice in all but one of their last eight matches, while Catanzaro continue to carry attacking threat despite the recent blanks.

Key Data Signals

Catanzaro Win evidence

Monza One Step Away: Can Catanzaro Produce a Playoff Final Comeback?

Monza have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Catanzaro.

Catanzaro have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Catanzaro Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Catanzaro sit 5 in the table, while Monza sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Catanzaro Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Catanzaro2
    Avg goals scored
    Monza1.8
    Catanzaro1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Monza1.6
    Catanzaro40%
    BTTS rate
    Monza80%
    Catanzaro80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Monza80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 59% · edge +14.5 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 82%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCatanzaro to WinBet365 guide price · Model 36% vs implied 36% · edge +0.4 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Catanzaro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 43%
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    Catanzaro to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Catanzaro4.8
    Avg corners for
    Monza5.6
    Catanzaro8
    Avg total corners
    Monza7.8
    Catanzaro1
    Avg yellow cards
    Monza2
    Catanzaro13.8
    Avg shots
    Monza15.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 43%
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 37%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 5.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Catanzaro

    LWWLL
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 4D 3L
    20 May 2026A Palermo0-2
    17 May 2026H Palermo3-0
    12 May 2026H Avellino3-0
    08 May 2026H Bari2-3
    01 May 2026A Palermo2-3

    Monza

    WDDLW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 5D 1L
    19 May 2026H Juve Stabia2-1
    16 May 2026A Juve Stabia2-2
    08 May 2026H Empoli2-2
    01 May 2026A Mantova2-3
    24 Apr 2026H Modena1-0
    Market aligned with main pickCatanzaro to WinBet365 guide price · Model 36% vs implied 36% · edge +0.4 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
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    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Catanzaro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Catanzaro wins
    1Draws
    1Monza wins
    06 Apr 2026Catanzaro v Monza1-1
    04 Oct 2025Monza v Catanzaro2-1
    Market aligned with main pickCatanzaro to WinBet365 guide price · Model 36% vs implied 36% · edge +0.4 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Catanzaro to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Serie B

    Catanzaro43
    Played
    Monza42
    Catanzaro1.6
    Avg goals for
    Monza1.6
    Catanzaro1.3
    Avg goals against
    Monza0.9
    Catanzaro12
    Clean sheets
    Monza17
    Market aligned with main pickCatanzaro to WinBet365 guide price · Model 36% vs implied 36% · edge +0.4 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Catanzaro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Season data supports Catanzaro to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3Monza76382210629
    5Catanzaro59381514911
    Catanzaro sit in position 5, while Monza sit in position 3, so table pressure belongs in the Catanzaro Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Catanzaro Over 2.5
    80%Monza Over 2.5
    2.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Catanzaro sit at 80% and Monza sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.