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Cambuur crestCambuur
v
Excelsior crestExcelsior

Eredivisie | Fri 07 Aug, 19:00

Cambuur v Excelsior Stats

Data last updated: Thu 06 Aug 2026, 05:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cambuur face Excelsior in Eredivisie on Fri 07 Aug, 19:00. A 1-3 scoreline reflects Excelsior’s potent attack and Cambuur’s defensive struggles, including conceding in 15 of 17 league games. Excelsior arrive on an 11-match unbeaten run with strong attacking players like Gyan de Regt and Irakli Yegoian, while Cambuur’s defence has conceded frequently.

BT4Y best bet

Excelsior to win and both teams to score

  • At 16/5, Excelsior to win and both teams to score implies roughly 24%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 39%.
  • Cambuur’s consistent scoring at home and Excelsior’s high goal output suggest this exact score mirrors their contrasting strengths and vulnerabilities.
  • Cambuur sit 1 in the table, while Excelsior sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 39% for Excelsior to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 24% implied by the current price. Cambuur sit 1 in the table, while Excelsior sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Cambuur’s consistent scoring at home and Excelsior’s high goal output suggest this exact score mirrors their contrasting strengths and vulnerabilities.

Model chance vs price39% model chance against roughly 24% implied
Strong positive
Cambuur sit 1 in the table, while Excelsior sit 15.Visible data support
Positive
Cambuur’s consistent scoring at home and Excelsior’s high goal.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Cambuur Win is the preferred angle because cambuur’s consistent scoring at home and Excelsior’s high goal output suggest this exact score mirrors their contrasting strengths and vulnerabilities. Cambuur sit 1 in the table, while Excelsior sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Their opening assignment, however, is far from gentle.

Main risk

Their opening assignment, however, is far from gentle.

Key Data Signals

Excelsior to win and both teams to score evidence

Cambuur’s consistent scoring at home and Excelsior’s high goal output suggest this exact score mirrors their contrasting strengths.

Cambuur sit 1 in the table, while Excelsior sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Excelsior to win and both teams to score notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCambuur to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 39% · edge +3.8 pts
    2.55
    Check odds @ 2.55
    Load more odds for this section
    Cambuur Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Cambuur to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Cambuur-
    Avg goals scored
    Excelsior-
    Cambuur-
    Avg goals conceded
    Excelsior-
    Cambuur-
    BTTS rate
    Excelsior-
    Cambuur-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Excelsior-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 42% · edge +12 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 39%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Cambuur

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Cambuur yet.

    Excelsior

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Excelsior yet.

    Market aligned with main pickCambuur to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 39% · edge +3.8 pts
    2.55
    Check odds @ 2.55
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Cambuur Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6Cambuur wins
    0Draws
    4Excelsior wins
    04 Jul 2026Excelsior v Cambuur3-2
    02 Aug 2025Cambuur v Excelsior0-1
    17 Jan 2025Cambuur v Excelsior1-0
    26 Oct 2024Excelsior v Cambuur0-1
    19 Mar 2023Excelsior v Cambuur4-1
    06 Aug 2022Cambuur v Excelsior0-2
    Market aligned with main pickCambuur to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 39% · edge +3.8 pts
    2.55
    Check odds @ 2.55
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Cambuur to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Eredivisie

    Cambuur0
    Played
    Excelsior0
    Cambuur0
    Avg goals for
    Excelsior0
    Cambuur0
    Avg goals against
    Excelsior0
    Cambuur0
    Clean sheets
    Excelsior0
    Market aligned with main pickCambuur to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 39% · edge +3.8 pts
    2.55
    Check odds @ 2.55
    Load more odds for this section
    Cambuur Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    Season data supports Cambuur to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Cambuur000000
    15Excelsior000000
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Cambuur Over 2.5
    -Excelsior Over 2.5
    3.3H2H avg goals
    Cambuur’s consistent scoring at home and Excelsior’s high goal output suggest this exact score mirrors their contrasting strengths and vulnerabilities.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.