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Bulgaria crestBulgaria
v
Montenegro crestMontenegro

Friendlies | Mon 01 Jun, 17:00

Bulgaria v Montenegro Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 17:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bulgaria face Montenegro in Friendlies on Mon 01 Jun, 17:00. A general look at recent structural adjustments across both squads highlights shifting consistency patterns heading into this fixture. Bulgaria have conceded goals in nine of their last ten fixtures, showing persistent defensive vulnerabilities despite recent wins.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score (Yes) Montenegro pose a regular attacking threat despite travelling without veteran presence and team leader Stevan Jovetic

  • At 11/2, Both Teams To Score (Yes) Montenegro pose a regular attacking threat despite travelling without veteran presence and team leader Stevan Jovetic implies roughly 15%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Bulgaria have conceded goals to their opponents in nine of their last ten competitive and friendly match appearances.
  • Montenegro have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Bulgaria.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 27% for Both Teams To Score (Yes) Montenegro pose a regular attacking threat despite travelling without veteran presence and team leader Stevan Jovetic sits against roughly 15% implied by the current price. Montenegro have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Bulgaria. Bulgaria have conceded goals to their opponents in nine of their last ten competitive and friendly match appearances.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 15% implied
Positive
Montenegro have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points.Visible data support
Positive
Bulgaria have conceded goals to their opponents in nine.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Bulgaria Win is the preferred angle because bulgaria have conceded goals to their opponents in nine of their last ten competitive and friendly match appearances. Montenegro have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Bulgaria. However, there remains a significant caveat.

Main risk

However, there remains a significant caveat.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score (Yes) Montenegro pose a regular attacking threat despite travelling without veteran presence and team leader Stevan Jovetic evidence

Bulgaria have conceded goals to their opponents in nine of their last ten competitive and friendly match appearances.

Montenegro have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Bulgaria.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score (Yes) Montenegro pose a regular attacking threat despite travelling without veteran presence and team leader Stevan Jovetic notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBulgaria to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 36% · edge -8.7 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Bulgaria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.02
    Check odds @ 2.02
    Bulgaria to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Bulgaria-
    Avg goals scored
    Montenegro2
    Bulgaria-
    Avg goals conceded
    Montenegro1.5
    Bulgaria-
    BTTS rate
    Montenegro50%
    Bulgaria-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Montenegro50%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 63%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Bulgaria

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Bulgaria yet.

    Montenegro

    LW
    Last 51W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 1L
    31 Mar 2026H Slovenia2-3
    27 Mar 2026H Andorra2-0
    Market aligned with main pickBulgaria to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 36% · edge -8.7 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Bulgaria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.02
    Check odds @ 2.02
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 51%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Bulgaria-
    Avg corners for
    Montenegro9
    Bulgaria-
    Avg total corners
    Montenegro10
    Bulgaria-
    Avg yellow cards
    Montenegro0
    Bulgaria-
    Avg shots
    Montenegro0
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Bulgaria wins
    2Draws
    2Montenegro wins
    10 Sep 2023Montenegro v Bulgaria2-1
    24 Mar 2023Bulgaria v Montenegro0-1
    11 Oct 2019Montenegro v Bulgaria0-0
    22 Mar 2019Bulgaria v Montenegro1-1
    Market aligned with main pickBulgaria to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 36% · edge -8.7 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Bulgaria to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Bulgaria2
    Played
    Montenegro4
    Bulgaria1
    Avg goals for
    Montenegro1.8
    Bulgaria1.5
    Avg goals against
    Montenegro1.3
    Bulgaria0
    Clean sheets
    Montenegro2
    Market aligned with main pickBulgaria to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 36% · edge -8.7 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Bulgaria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.02
    Check odds @ 2.02
    Season data supports Bulgaria to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Bulgaria Over 2.5
    50%Montenegro Over 2.5
    1.5H2H avg goals
    Bulgaria have conceded goals to their opponents in nine of their last ten competitive and friendly match appearances.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Bulgaria v Montenegro prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre