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AFC Wimbledon crestAFC Wimbledon

League One | Mon 07 Sep, 20:00

Bromley v AFC Wimbledon Stats

Data last updated: Sun 06 Sep 2026, 08:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bromley and AFC Wimbledon meet in a League One fixture where both teams have shown moderate attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Bromley has struggled defensively, conceding over three goals per game recently, while AFC Wimbledon has a slightly better defensive record. Both sides have similar points tallies and are positioned near the lower end of the table, adding competitive tension. The match is likely to feature sustained pressure and territorial battles, with both teams seeking to capitalize on set-piece opportunities and wide play to create chances.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Bromley averages 2.25 corners per game, AFC Wimbledon 6, combining for over 8 on average.
  • Both teams have a 50% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating open play.
  • AFC Wimbledon’s J. Stockley averages 2.64 shots per 90 minutes, suggesting attacking pressure.
  • Adeboyejo is a key attacking threat with 3 goals and 1.84 shots on target per 90 minutes.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a value bet with a 61.6% chance against an implied market chance of 55.6%, supported by both teams' attacking styles and corner statistics. AFC Wimbledon’s higher corner average and Bromley’s willingness to attack and concede set pieces create a fertile environment for corners. The rating of 68% reflects a solid statistical basis without overreliance on limited data, making this a sensible selection with standard stake guidance.

Model Chance61.6%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance55.6%
Positive
Value Edge6%
Strong positive
Confidence Level68%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with frequent wide attacks and set-piece situations, as AFC Wimbledon’s attacking players like J. Stockley generate significant pressure leading to corners. Bromley’s defensive struggles and their attackers’ involvement in creating shooting opportunities also contribute to a high corner count. This tactical and statistical combination supports the Over 9.5 Corners selection as a strong market choice.

Main risk

Monday offers an unusually useful test of that concern because Wimbledon are hardly arriving with a flourishing attack.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“The corner count is likely to be elevated given AFC Wimbledon’s aggressive wing play and Bromley’s defensive vulnerabilities, which often lead to forced clearances and set-piece situations.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Bromley averages 2.25 corners per game, AFC Wimbledon 6, combining for over 8 on average.

Both teams have a 50% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating open play.

AFC Wimbledon’s J. Stockley averages 2.64 shots per 90 minutes, suggesting attacking pressure.

Adeboyejo is a key attacking threat with 3 goals and 1.84 shots on target per 90 minutes.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals per game stand at 2.25, indicating moderately open contests.
  • This trend suggests a tempo conducive to multiple attacking phases and transitions, which typically generate corners.
  • The Over 2.5 Goals trend panel supports an active game environment favoring set-piece accumulation.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Bromley2
Avg corners for
AFC Wimbledon5
Bromley7
Avg total corners
AFC Wimbledon14
Bromley1
Avg yellow cards
AFC Wimbledon4
Bromley8
Avg shots
AFC Wimbledon13
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 56% · edge +0.2 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
AFC Wimbledon averages 6 corners per game, significantly higher than Bromley’s 2.25, indicating sustained pressure and wide play from Wimbledon. Both teams average around two yellow cards per game, reflecting a moderately physical contest likely to feature fouls leading to set pieces and corners. Shot volumes from both sides further suggest active offensive phases.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bromley1
Avg goals scored
AFC Wimbledon0.5
Bromley3.25
Avg goals conceded
AFC Wimbledon1.75
Bromley50%
BTTS rate
AFC Wimbledon25%
Bromley50%
Over 2.5 goals
AFC Wimbledon50%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 56% · edge -1.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Both teams have a 50% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating openness and attacking intent. Bromley concedes over three goals per game recently, while AFC Wimbledon’s moderate scoring rate suggests chances for both sides. This attacking dynamic supports a game with multiple goal attempts and set-piece opportunities.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
AFC Wimbledon to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
AFC Wimbledon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Bromley Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Bromley to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively at 1.8 with a 6% , reflecting a higher than the implied market probability. This suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of a high corner count, making it a positive value bet with no current price warnings.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bromley

LLDW
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
01 Sep 2026H Leyton Orient0-5
29 Aug 2026A Sheffield Wednesday2-7
22 Aug 2026H Cambridge United1-1
15 Aug 2026A Barnsley1-0

AFC Wimbledon

LWDL
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
02 Sep 2026A Burton Albion1-4
30 Aug 2026H Wigan1-0
22 Aug 2026H Reading0-0
15 Aug 2026A Huddersfield0-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.2 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
AFC Wimbledon to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
AFC Wimbledon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Bromley Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Bromley to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Recent form shows both teams earning 4 points in their last matches, with Bromley conceding more goals but maintaining a 50% rate of matches over 2.5 goals. AFC Wimbledon’s lower goals conceded and similar over 2.5 rate suggest a balanced but open game. Corner averages align with this, supporting the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners as both teams push forward.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Bromley wins
0Draws
2AFC Wimbledon wins
11 Nov 2025Bromley v AFC Wimbledon1-2
01 Mar 2025AFC Wimbledon v Bromley0-1
17 Aug 2024Bromley v AFC Wimbledon2-0
13 Aug 2024Bromley v AFC Wimbledon1-2
Best odds for this sectionAFC Wimbledon to WinBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 35% · edge +10.3 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Bromley to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The four recent meetings between Bromley and AFC Wimbledon have averaged 2.25 goals per game, reflecting moderately open matches. While the sample is limited, these encounters suggest a balanced contest with opportunities for both sides, supporting a game scenario where corners are likely to accumulate due to attacking exchanges and defensive pressure.
Season team stats

League One

Bromley4
Played
AFC Wimbledon4
Bromley1
Avg goals for
AFC Wimbledon0.5
Bromley3.3
Avg goals against
AFC Wimbledon1.8
Bromley1
Clean sheets
AFC Wimbledon2
Best odds for this sectionAFC Wimbledon to WinBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 35% · edge +10.3 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
AFC Wimbledon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Bromley Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Bromley to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Season-long data reveals AFC Wimbledon’s strong corner average of 6 per game, complemented by Bromley’s 2.25, combining for a robust total. Both teams’ attacking and defensive profiles indicate frequent wide play and set-piece situations, reinforcing the probability of a high corner count in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
19AFC Wimbledon44112-5
21Bromley44112-9
Both Bromley and AFC Wimbledon sit near the lower end of the League One table with 4 points each, adding competitive urgency. This positioning encourages attacking play to secure points, likely increasing corner opportunities as teams seek to break deadlocks through wide and set-piece plays.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Bromley Over 2.5
50%AFC Wimbledon Over 2.5
2.25H2H avg goals
In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals per game stand at 2.25, indicating moderately open contests. This trend suggests a tempo conducive to multiple attacking phases and transitions, which typically generate corners. The Over 2.5 Goals trend panel supports an active game environment favoring set-piece accumulation.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Bromley v AFC Wimbledon prediction

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