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Bromley crestBromley
v
AFC Wimbledon crestAFC Wimbledon

League One | Mon 07 Sep, 20:00

Bromley v AFC Wimbledon Stats

Data last updated: Mon 12 Oct 2026, 04:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bromley face AFC Wimbledon in League One on Mon 07 Sep, 20:00. Bromley have conceded 12 goals in their last two League One matches, after allowing only one across their opening two. Bromley and AFC Wimbledon have each won 1 of their last 4 matches, indicating balanced recent form.

BT4Y match pick

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 3/4, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 57%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.
  • Bromley’s ability to score despite conceding heavily and Wimbledon’s modest scoring record make both teams scoring a plausible outcome, though Wimbledon’s limited attack is.
  • Bromley show a 50% BTTS rate and AFC Wimbledon show a 25% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Bromley average 1 goals scored and AFC Wimbledon average 0.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 57% implied by the current price. Bromley show a 50% BTTS rate and AFC Wimbledon show a 25% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Bromley’s ability to score despite conceding heavily and Wimbledon’s modest scoring record make both teams scoring a plausible outcome, though Wimbledon’s limited attack is.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 57% implied
Neutral
Bromley show a 50% BTTS rate and AFC Wimbledon show.Visible data support
Positive
Bromley average 1 goals scored and AFC Wimbledon average 0.5.Visible data support
Positive
Bromley’s ability to score despite conceding heavily and Wimbledon’s.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because bromley’s ability to score despite conceding heavily and Wimbledon’s modest scoring record make both teams scoring a plausible outcome, though Wimbledon’s limited attack is the main risk to this pick. Bromley show a that shared-scoring rate rate and AFC Wimbledon show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Monday offers an unusually useful test of that concern because Wimbledon are hardly arriving with a flourishing attack.

Main risk

Monday offers an unusually useful test of that concern because Wimbledon are hardly arriving with a flourishing attack.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Bromley’s ability to score despite conceding heavily and Wimbledon’s modest scoring record make both teams scoring a plausible.

Bromley show a 50% BTTS rate and AFC Wimbledon show a 25% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Bromley average 1 goals scored and AFC Wimbledon average 0.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bromley1
Avg goals scored
AFC Wimbledon0.5
Bromley3.25
Avg goals conceded
AFC Wimbledon1.75
Bromley50%
BTTS rate
AFC Wimbledon25%
Bromley50%
Over 2.5 goals
AFC Wimbledon50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 57% · edge -2.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price: the BTTS rates are 50% for Bromley and 25% for AFC Wimbledon, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 57% · edge -2.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
AFC Wimbledon to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
AFC Wimbledon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Bromley Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bromley

LLDW
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
01 Sep 2026H Leyton Orient0-5
29 Aug 2026A Sheffield Wednesday2-7
22 Aug 2026H Cambridge United1-1
15 Aug 2026A Barnsley1-0

AFC Wimbledon

LWDL
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
02 Sep 2026A Burton Albion1-4
30 Aug 2026H Wigan1-0
22 Aug 2026H Reading0-0
15 Aug 2026A Huddersfield0-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.2 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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AFC Wimbledon to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
AFC Wimbledon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Bromley Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Bromley to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Bromley Over 2.5
50%AFC Wimbledon Over 2.5
2.25H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bromley sit at 50% and AFC Wimbledon sit at 50% with the H2H average at 2.25 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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