Football Stats Hub

Bristol City crestBristol City
v
Lincoln crestLincoln

Championship | Tue 15 Sep, 19:45

Bristol City v Lincoln Stats

Data last updated: Mon 14 Sep 2026, 07:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bristol City and Lincoln meet in a Championship clash where both sides have shown contrasting attacking and defensive patterns. Bristol City has scored in every recent match, demonstrating offensive intent, while Lincoln has been more cautious but still capable of finding the net. Bristol City's solid home form and Lincoln's resilience set up a contest where both teams are likely to create scoring opportunities. Tactical setups suggest open play with chances at both ends, making a goals exchange scenario plausible in this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Bristol City has scored in 100% of recent matches, Lincoln in 40%.
  • Bristol City concedes 1.8 goals per game; Lincoln concedes 0.8.
  • Lincoln averages 17.33 shots per game, Bristol City 14.75.
  • Both teams have mixed defensive records, supporting BTTS chances.
  • Recent head-to-head featured 4 goals, indicating potential for goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at a 76% chance, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 57.8%, indicating strong value. Bristol City's consistent scoring and Lincoln's offensive efforts, led by players like M. Ogbene, underpin this . Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest goals at each end. The model at 88% reflects robust data support without concerns over limited sample sizes.

Model Chance76%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance57.8%
Strong positive
Bristol City BTTS Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Lincoln Offensive Output0.8 goals per game
Positive
Defensive ConcessionBristol City 1.8, Lincoln 0.8 goals against
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown the ability to score, with Bristol City’s attacking midfielders and Lincoln’s forwards creating chances. Bristol City’s higher goal concession rate combined with Lincoln’s attacking threats makes Both Teams to Score a tactically sound pick supported by recent form and player involvement.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Bristol City's offensive consistency paired with Lincoln's key attackers like Ladefoged and Ogbene creates a compelling case for goals at both ends in this Championship fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Bristol City has scored in 100% of recent matches, Lincoln in 40%.

Bristol City concedes 1.8 goals per game; Lincoln concedes 0.8.

Lincoln averages 17.33 shots per game, Bristol City 14.75.

Both teams have mixed defensive records, supporting BTTS chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last match between these teams, four goals were scored, highlighting a potential for open play and goal exchanges.
  • Bristol City’s 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches contrasts with Lincoln’s 20%, suggesting Bristol City’s attacking tempo could drive the game’s goal count higher, supporting an Over 2.5 goals trend alongside BTTS.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bristol City2
Avg goals scored
Lincoln0.8
Bristol City1.8
Avg goals conceded
Lincoln0.8
Bristol City100%
BTTS rate
Lincoln40%
Bristol City100%
Over 2.5 goals
Lincoln20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 83%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Bristol City has scored in every recent game and concedes frequently, while Lincoln scores less often but maintains an active shot profile. The recent head-to-head match featured four goals, indicating potential for goals from both sides. These patterns support a BTTS outcome through offensive pressure and defensive lapses.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Bristol City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Bristol City Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Lincoln Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively with implying a 57.8% chance, while the model estimates a 76% probability, suggesting clear value. The price reflects some market caution due to Lincoln's lower scoring rate, but Bristol City's consistent goal-scoring and defensive openness justify backing BTTS here.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Championship hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Bristol City4.2
Avg corners for
Lincoln4.4
Bristol City10
Avg total corners
Lincoln13.6
Bristol City1.2
Avg yellow cards
Lincoln2.2
Bristol City14.2
Avg shots
Lincoln13.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 65% · edge +3.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams generate a healthy number of shots and corners, with Lincoln averaging 17.33 shots and 5.67 corners per game, and Bristol City 14.75 shots and 4.75 corners. The fouling rates and card counts suggest a competitive, physical match that could lead to set-piece opportunities and sustained pressure, increasing scoring chances.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bristol City

LWWWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 2L
12 Sep 2026A Southampton1-4
05 Sep 2026A Burnley2-1
01 Sep 2026A Preston3-1
29 Aug 2026H Portsmouth2-1
22 Aug 2026A Birmingham2-2

Lincoln

WDDWL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 2L
12 Sep 2026A Preston1-0
05 Sep 2026H Southampton1-1
01 Sep 2026H Blackburn0-0
29 Aug 2026A Bolton1-0
22 Aug 2026H Portsmouth1-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 82% vs implied 78% · edge +3.5 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Load more odds for this section
Bristol City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Bristol City Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Lincoln Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Lincoln to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Bristol City’s recent form shows strong attacking output with goals in all recent matches and a 100% BTTS rate, while Lincoln has scored less frequently but remains competitive. Both teams’ recent points totals and goal patterns indicate a match where both sides are likely to find the net, supporting the BTTS pick.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Bristol City wins
0Draws
1Lincoln wins
08 Nov 2022Bristol City v Lincoln1-3
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Bristol City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Lincoln to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The single recent head-to-head meeting featured four goals, indicating a relatively open contest historically between these sides. While the sample is limited, this match suggests both teams have the capacity to score against each other, lending support to the Both Teams to Score selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Championship

Bristol City6
Played
Lincoln6
Bristol City1.7
Avg goals for
Lincoln0.8
Bristol City1.8
Avg goals against
Lincoln1
Bristol City0
Clean sheets
Lincoln3
Best odds for this sectionBristol City to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 51% · edge +4.1 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Bristol City Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Lincoln Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Lincoln to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over the season, Bristol City scores and concedes more goals per game than Lincoln, reflecting an open style of play. Lincoln’s lower goals conceded suggests defensive organization but their offensive stats, including shots and key players’ involvement, maintain a realistic chance of scoring, reinforcing the BTTS scenario.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Bristol City106312-1
16Lincoln86222-1
Bristol City sits mid-table with 10 points, showing solid form, while Lincoln is slightly lower with 8 points. The standings indicate both teams have incentive to push for points, likely encouraging attacking play and goal-scoring efforts from both sides in this Championship fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Bristol City Over 2.5
20%Lincoln Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
In the last match between these teams, four goals were scored, highlighting a potential for open play and goal exchanges. Bristol City’s 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches contrasts with Lincoln’s 20%, suggesting Bristol City’s attacking tempo could drive the game’s goal count higher, supporting an Over 2.5 goals trend alongside BTTS.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Middlesbrough v MillwallChampionship · Tue 15 Sep 19:45

Competition and hubs

Championship hubChampionship hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre