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Bristol City crestBristol City
v
Blackburn crestBlackburn

Championship | Tue 13 Oct, 19:45

Bristol City v Blackburn Stats

Data last updated: Mon 12 Oct 2026, 11:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bristol City and Blackburn meet in a Championship clash where attacking intent is expected to shape the contest. Both teams have shown fluctuating defensive solidity but maintain offensive threat, with Blackburn notably averaging 1.8 goals per game recently. Bristol City sits mid-table with a balanced points tally, while Blackburn is close behind, making this fixture pivotal for momentum. The tactical setup suggests open play with chances for both sides, as both teams seek to climb the standings and capitalize on scoring opportunities in this competitive encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Blackburn has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches, indicating high-scoring potential.
  • Bristol City averages 16.8 shots per game, showing offensive activity.
  • The head-to-head average goals over the last 10 meetings is 2.8, supporting a goal-rich game.
  • Both teams have BTTS rates of 60% (Bristol City) and 100% (Blackburn), suggesting both sides score regularly.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 2.5 Goals as a strong value bet with a 68.4% chance, well above the implied market chance of 52.4%. Blackburn's perfect recent Over 2.5 record and Bristol City's solid attacking numbers underpin this view. The fixture's average 2.8 goals in recent meetings and both teams' tendency to score reinforce the likelihood of a high-scoring match. No data limitations affect , making this a robust selection for goal bettors.

Model Chance67.4% model chance vs 52.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Blackburn Over 2.5 Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Bristol City Shots per Game16.8 average
Positive
Head-to-Head Goals Average2.8 goals last 10 matches
Positive
Main risk

They’ve scored four goals in the last 180 minutes, but over the season their finishing has been a let-down.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal scoring potential

“Blackburn's consistent goal-scoring and Bristol City's active shooting profile set the stage for a lively, high-scoring Championship encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Bristol City averages 16.8 shots per game, showing offensive activity.

The head-to-head average goals over the last 10 meetings is 2.8, supporting a goal-rich game.

Both teams have BTTS rates of 60% (Bristol City) and 100% (Blackburn), suggesting both sides score regularly.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals per match is 2.8, with a trend towards open play and goal opportunities for both sides.
  • This sample suggests a tempo and style conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, supported by recent form and attacking statistics from both teams.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bristol City1
Avg goals scored
Blackburn1.8
Bristol City1.4
Avg goals conceded
Blackburn1.6
Bristol City60%
BTTS rate
Blackburn100%
Bristol City40%
Over 2.5 goals
Blackburn100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams show strong tendencies to score, with Blackburn's 100% BTTS rate and Bristol City's 60%. The last ten head-to-head matches averaged 2.8 goals, indicating a history of open games. These factors combine to suggest a high likelihood of goals from both sides, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals angle.

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Useful next reads

Championship hubBristol City v Blackburn predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Blackburn Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Blackburn to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
DrawBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The 67.4% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 52.4% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Bristol City and 100% for Blackburn, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Bristol City create a higher volume of chances, while Blackburn have been more conservative in their home matches recently.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bristol City

DWLLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 3L
10 Oct 2026A Charlton1-1
18 Sep 2026H Watford1-0
15 Sep 2026H Lincoln0-1
12 Sep 2026A Southampton1-4
05 Sep 2026A Burnley2-1

Blackburn

WDWLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 3L
10 Oct 2026H Cardiff2-1
19 Sep 2026A Portsmouth2-2
12 Sep 2026H Millwall3-1
08 Sep 2026H Sheffield Utd1-2
05 Sep 2026A Preston1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Blackburn Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Blackburn to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
DrawBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Bristol City to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
2
Check odds @ 2
Bristol City Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Blackburn's recent form shows a perfect 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, underlining their offensive potency. Bristol City has a more modest 40% rate but maintains a 60% BTTS rate, indicating they often concede and score. Both teams have earned 7 points recently, suggesting competitive momentum that could translate into an open, high-scoring game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Bristol City Over 2.5
100%Blackburn Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals per match is 2.8, with a trend towards open play and goal opportunities for both sides. This sample suggests a tempo and style conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, supported by recent form and attacking statistics from both teams.

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