Football Stats Hub

Brentford crestBrentford
v
Chelsea crestChelsea

Premier League | Fri 18 Sep, 20:00

Brentford v Chelsea Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 18:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brentford face Chelsea in Premier League on Fri 18 Sep, 20:00. Chelsea have scored 10 goals and conceded nine in four Premier League matches, a 19-goal total that captures just how open their start has been. Brentford's unbeaten run comes with a catch Chelsea's away form and Brentford's unbeaten streak shape the match .

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 2/5, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 71%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • Chelsea's defensive frailty and Brentford's consistent scoring create strong conditions for both teams to score.
  • Brentford show a 75% BTTS rate and Chelsea show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Brentford average 1.75 goals scored and Chelsea average 2.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 71% implied by the current price. Brentford show a 75% BTTS rate and Chelsea show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Chelsea's defensive frailty and Brentford's consistent scoring create strong conditions for both teams to score.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 71% implied
Neutral
Brentford show a 75% BTTS rate and Chelsea show a.Visible data support
Positive
Brentford average 1.75 goals scored and Chelsea average 2.5, so.Visible data support
Positive
Chelsea's defensive frailty and Brentford's consistent scoring create strong.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because chelsea's defensive frailty and Brentford's consistent scoring create strong conditions for both teams to score. Brentford show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Chelsea show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. This is an attack capable of applying considerable pressure, but the defensive record leaves opponents with encouragement.

Main risk

This is an attack capable of applying considerable pressure, but the defensive record leaves opponents with encouragement.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Chelsea's defensive frailty and Brentford's consistent scoring create strong conditions for both teams to score.

Brentford show a 75% BTTS rate and Chelsea show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Brentford average 1.75 goals scored and Chelsea average 2.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Brentford1.75
Avg goals scored
Chelsea2.5
Brentford1
Avg goals conceded
Chelsea2.25
Brentford75%
BTTS rate
Chelsea100%
Brentford50%
Over 2.5 goals
Chelsea100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 71% · edge +4.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 75% for Brentford and 100% for Chelsea, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 71% · edge +4.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Chelsea Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Chelsea to WinBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Brentford to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Brentford Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Premier League hubfull betting preview for Brentford v Chelseacorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Brentford

DDDW
Last 51W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 0L
12 Sep 2026A Bournemouth2-2
05 Sep 2026H Sunderland1-1
30 Aug 2026A Leeds1-1
22 Aug 2026H Tottenham3-0

Chelsea

DLWW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
12 Sep 2026H Hull City2-2
06 Sep 2026A Arsenal1-2
30 Aug 2026H Brighton4-3
24 Aug 2026A Fulham3-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 71% · edge +2.1 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Chelsea Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Chelsea to WinBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Brentford to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Brentford Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Brentford Over 2.5
100%Chelsea Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Brentford sit at 50% and Chelsea sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Loading deeper match data…