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Bodo/Glimt crestBodo/Glimt

Eliteserien | Sun 20 Sep, 18:15

Brann v Bodo/Glimt Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 18:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Eliteserien clash features Brann hosting league leaders Bodo/Glimt, who have been prolific scorers this season. Bodo/Glimt's attacking prowess is evident with 3 goals per game on average, while Brann also contribute offensively but with a more modest 1.4 goals per match. Both teams have shown tendencies for open play, with Bodo/Glimt's high pressing and Brann's willingness to attack at home. The fixture carries significance as Bodo/Glimt aim to maintain their lead, while Brann seek to close the gap, setting up a potentially high-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Bodo/Glimt average 3 goals per game this season, leading the league in scoring.
  • Brann have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, showing openness in games.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 4.2 goals per game, indicating high-scoring clashes.
  • Bodo/Glimt have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently, underscoring attacking form.
  • Both teams average high shot volumes, with Bodo/Glimt at 20.75 and Brann at 18.6 shots per match.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a strong pick with a 58% chance, supported by Bodo/Glimt's exceptional scoring rate and Brann's openness in defense. The high average goals in head-to-head matches and recent form data reinforce the likelihood of a goal-rich game. Both teams' attacking metrics, including shots and shots on target, align with an expectation of multiple goals. No data limitations affect , making this a well-supported selection with a positive .

Bodo/Glimt scoring rate3 goals per game
Strong positive
Brann over 2.5 goals rate60% matches
Positive
Head-to-head average goals4.2 goals per match
Strong positive
Shot volumesHigh for both teams
Positive
Data qualityComplete data sets for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively encounter with Bodo/Glimt's potent attack facing Brann's moderate defense. The attacking talent and recent scoring trends suggest a match likely to exceed 3.5 goals, driven by open play and offensive intent from both sides.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“Bodo/Glimt's attacking efficiency combined with Brann's tendency to concede goals sets the stage for a high-scoring game. The statistical indicators strongly favor Over 3.5 Goals in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Bodo/Glimt average 3 goals per game this season, leading the league in scoring.

Brann have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, showing openness in games.

Head-to-head meetings average 4.2 goals per game, indicating high-scoring clashes.

Bodo/Glimt have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently, underscoring attacking form.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4.2, well above typical totals.
  • This sample suggests a trend toward open, high-tempo games with both teams contributing offensively.
  • The trend supports expectations for Over 2.5 Goals, indicating a sustained pattern of goal-rich encounters in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Brann7.6
Avg corners for
Bodo/Glimt9
Brann13
Avg total corners
Bodo/Glimt11.33
Brann2.2
Avg yellow cards
Bodo/Glimt0.67
Brann18.6
Avg shots
Bodo/Glimt22.67
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 75% · edge -6.2 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
High shot volumes from both sides, with Bodo/Glimt averaging 20.75 shots and Brann 18.6, indicate sustained attacking pressure. Corner averages are also elevated, reflecting territorial control and repeated wide attacks. Disciplinary data shows Brann collect more yellows, which could influence game tempo and set-piece opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Brann1.4
Avg goals scored
Bodo/Glimt3
Brann1.2
Avg goals conceded
Bodo/Glimt1.2
Brann40%
BTTS rate
Bodo/Glimt80%
Brann60%
Over 2.5 goals
Bodo/Glimt100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 58% · edge +0.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Both teams have shown strong attacking output, with Bodo/Glimt scoring 3 goals per game and Brann contributing 1.4. The 80% BTTS rate for Bodo/Glimt and 40% for Brann suggest a good chance of both teams scoring, while the high average goals in head-to-head matches reinforce the likelihood of multiple goals.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Bodo/Glimt to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Brann Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Brann to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 1.8 with a of 58%, indicating a small positive . The reflect in a high-scoring game, supported by strong attacking stats and recent form, making this a compelling price to consider.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Brann

LLDWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
13 Sep 2026A Start0-2
05 Sep 2026H Lillestrom1-2
30 Aug 2026A Sandefjord0-0
16 Aug 2026H Ham-Kam3-0
02 Aug 2026H Rosenborg3-2

Bodo/Glimt

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 109W 1D 0L
14 Sep 2026H Sandefjord3-2
04 Sep 2026A Fredrikstad2-1
30 Aug 2026H Rosenborg4-2
08 Aug 2026A Valerenga2-1
31 Jul 2026H Lillestrom4-0
Best odds for this sectionBodo/Glimt to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 64% · edge +6.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Brann Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3
Check odds @ 3
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Brann to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Recent form data shows Bodo/Glimt with a perfect 100% over 2.5 goals rate, reflecting their offensive control. Brann also have a 60% rate, indicating openness in matches. Both teams have scored and conceded at least one goal per game recently, supporting expectations for a high-scoring fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Brann wins
3Draws
5Bodo/Glimt wins
24 May 2026Bodo/Glimt v Brann3-1
09 May 2026Bodo/Glimt v Brann2-2
29 Oct 2025Brann v Bodo/Glimt1-2
21 Jun 2025Bodo/Glimt v Brann3-0
22 Sep 2024Brann v Bodo/Glimt4-1
07 Jul 2024Bodo/Glimt v Brann5-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Bodo/Glimt to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Brann to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
The 10 previous meetings between Brann and Bodo/Glimt have averaged 4.2 goals per game, reflecting a history of high-scoring matches. This strong historical trend supports the likelihood of a goal-laden contest, with both teams historically contributing to the scoreline.
Season team stats

Eliteserien

Brann21
Played
Bodo/Glimt21
Brann1.9
Avg goals for
Bodo/Glimt2.5
Brann1.5
Avg goals against
Bodo/Glimt0.9
Brann3
Clean sheets
Bodo/Glimt10
Best odds for this sectionBodo/Glimt to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 64% · edge +6.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Brann Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3
Check odds @ 3
Brann to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Season-long statistics highlight Bodo/Glimt's prolific attack averaging 3 goals per match, while Brann's 1.4 goals per game and 1.2 goals conceded suggest a balanced but open style. The combined offensive and defensive profiles align with a match likely to produce more than 3.5 goals.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Bodo/Glimt5021162334
7Brann292192107
Bodo/Glimt lead the league with 50 points, emphasizing their strong form and attacking consistency. Brann sit mid-table with 26 points, under pressure to close the gap. The standings underline Bodo/Glimt's motivation to maintain control, potentially pushing for an aggressive approach that favors goal scoring.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Brann Over 2.5
100%Bodo/Glimt Over 2.5
4.2H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4.2, well above typical totals. This sample suggests a trend toward open, high-tempo games with both teams contributing offensively. The trend supports expectations for Over 2.5 Goals, indicating a sustained pattern of goal-rich encounters in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.