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Bradford crestBradford
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Preston crestPreston

Friendlies Clubs | Wed 29 Jul, 19:30

Bradford v Preston Stats

Data last updated: Tue 28 Jul 2026, 05:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bradford and Preston meet in a friendly fixture that offers both teams a chance to sharpen their squads ahead of the competitive season. Bradford enters with stronger recent form, having secured more points and conceded fewer goals, suggesting a more solid defensive setup. Preston has struggled defensively, conceding twice as many goals on average, which could be exploited by Bradford's attack. The match will test Bradford's ability to maintain momentum and Preston's resilience under pressure, with tactical adjustments likely as both sides seek to assess their readiness.

BT4Y best bet

Bradford to Win

  • Bradford has earned 9 points recently compared to Preston's 3, indicating better form.
  • Bradford concedes only 0.75 goals per game, half of Preston's 2 goals conceded.
  • Both teams have a 75% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting attacking intent.
  • Bradford's BTTS rate is 50%, matching Preston's, indicating balanced defensive and offensive play.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Bradford to win based on their superior recent form and defensive solidity, conceding significantly fewer goals than Preston. Bradford's ability to limit opponents' scoring chances combined with their higher points tally creates a strong football read for victory. Although data coverage is moderate, the consistent defensive and offensive indicators support in Bradford's chances. The price is not flagged as short, making this a straightforward selection based on current team performance and defensive metrics.

Recent form advantageBradford's 9 points vs Preston's 3
Strong positive
Defensive strengthBradford concedes 0.75 goals per game vs Preston's 2
Strong positive
Goal tempo75% Over 2.5 goals matches for both teams
Neutral
BTTS balanceBoth teams have 50% BTTS rate
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Bradford's recent defensive resilience and superior form provide a solid foundation for a home win in this friendly. Preston's defensive vulnerabilities and lower points tally suggest they may struggle to contain Bradford's attack. The tactical setup and momentum favor Bradford to secure victory in this preparatory fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Bradford's defensive discipline and recent points accumulation make them the logical choice to prevail, especially as Preston looks to find stability at the back.”

Key Data Signals

Bradford to Win evidence

Bradford has earned 9 points recently compared to Preston's 3, indicating better form.

Bradford concedes only 0.75 goals per game, half of Preston's 2 goals conceded.

Both teams have a 75% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting attacking intent.

Bradford's BTTS rate is 50%, matching Preston's, indicating balanced defensive and offensive play.

What To Watch In The Data

Bradford to Win notes

  • The last five matches for both teams show a 75% occurrence of over 2.5 goals, highlighting a trend towards open, attacking games.
  • This suggests the match could feature multiple scoring opportunities and a lively tempo, consistent with friendly match dynamics.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bradford3
Avg goals scored
Preston1.5
Bradford0.75
Avg goals conceded
Preston2
Bradford50%
BTTS rate
Preston50%
Bradford75%
Over 2.5 goals
Preston75%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 88% vs implied 81% · edge +6.7 pts
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 33%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have a 75% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating open games with attacking intent. However, their balanced 50% BTTS rates suggest that while goals are frequent, clean sheets are also possible, making goal markets moderately attractive but not definitive.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBradford to WinBetUK guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Bradford Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
The pricing for Bradford to win aligns well with the model's 74% chance, reflecting in their recent form and defensive record. Without major price warnings, this market appears fairly valued, offering a clear football rationale for backing Bradford based on current data.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bradford

WLWW
Last 53W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 1L
24 Jul 2026A Gmunden4-0
17 Jul 2026A Accrington ST0-1
11 Jul 2026A FC Halifax Town6-1
04 Jul 2026A United of Manchester2-1

Preston

LLLW
Last 51W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 3L
25 Jul 2026A Marine0-3
24 Jul 2026H Cambridge United0-1
18 Jul 2026A Sheffield Wednesday2-3
14 Jul 2026H Bamber Bridge4-1
Market aligned with main pickBradford to WinBetUK guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Bradford Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Bradford's recent form is notably superior, with 9 points earned compared to Preston's 3. This reflects consistent performance and effective game management, particularly in defense, which is crucial in friendlies where teams test tactical setups and player combinations.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Bradford wins
2Draws
2Preston wins
13 Aug 2019Bradford v Preston0-4
06 Apr 2015Bradford v Preston0-3
15 Nov 2014Preston v Bradford1-2
28 Jan 2014Bradford v Preston0-0
22 Oct 2013Preston v Bradford2-2
Market aligned with main pickBradford to WinBetUK guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The five previous meetings between Bradford and Preston have averaged 2.8 goals per game, indicating moderately high-scoring encounters. While this supports the possibility of goals, the sample is limited and should be considered alongside current form and defensive data.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Bradford5
Played
Preston5
Bradford3
Avg goals for
Preston1.6
Bradford1
Avg goals against
Preston2.2
Bradford1
Clean sheets
Preston0
Market aligned with main pickBradford to WinBetUK guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Load more odds for this section
Bradford Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Season-long defensive statistics favor Bradford, who concede fewer goals on average, supporting their likelihood to win. Preston's higher goals against average signals defensive vulnerabilities that Bradford can exploit, reinforcing the selection based on season trends.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Bradford Over 2.5
75%Preston Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
The last five matches for both teams show a 75% occurrence of over 2.5 goals, highlighting a trend towards open, attacking games. This suggests the match could feature multiple scoring opportunities and a lively tempo, consistent with friendly match dynamics.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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