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Parma crestParma
v
Arezzo crestArezzo

Friendlies Clubs | Thu 30 Jul, 16:00

Parma v Arezzo Stats

Data last updated: Wed 29 Jul 2026, 03:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Parma face Arezzo in Friendlies Clubs on Thu 30 Jul, 16:00. Parma come in with 2 recent points and 0.5 goals per match, while Arezzo have 4 points and 1.75 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Under 2.5 Goals is rated around 66% by the current BT4Y model.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Parma and 75% for Arezzo, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Arezzo are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.75 goals per match, with Parma at 0.5.
  • BTTS rates of 50% for Parma and 100% for Arezzo show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Under 2.5 Goals around 66% on the latest available numbers. The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Parma and 75% for Arezzo, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Parma and 75%.Visible data support
Positive
Arezzo are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.75.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Arezzo are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.75 goals per match, with Parma at 0.5. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Arezzo are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.75 goals per match, with Parma at 0.5.

BTTS rates of 50% for Parma and 100% for Arezzo show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Parma0.5
Avg goals scored
Arezzo1.75
Parma0.5
Avg goals conceded
Arezzo2
Parma50%
BTTS rate
Arezzo100%
Parma0%
Over 2.5 goals
Arezzo75%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Parma

DD
Last 50W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 0L
25 Jul 2026A Sassuolo0-0
25 Jul 2026A Trento1-1

Arezzo

LLDW
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
29 Jul 2026H Albinoleffe1-3
26 Jul 2026A Atalanta2-3
25 Jul 2026H Folgore Caratese1-1
22 Jul 2026A Napoli3-1

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Parma wins
0Draws
0Arezzo wins

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Parma3
Played
Arezzo5
Parma1
Avg goals for
Arezzo1.6
Parma1
Avg goals against
Arezzo1.8
Parma1
Clean sheets
Arezzo0

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Parma Over 2.5
75%Arezzo Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Parma sit at 0% and Arezzo sit at 75%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.