Football Stats Hub

Bradford crestBradford
v
Burnley crestBurnley

League Cup | Wed 26 Aug, 19:45

Bradford v Burnley Stats

Data last updated: Tue 25 Aug 2026, 07:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bradford faces Burnley in a League Cup tie that pits a lower-league side against a Championship opponent. Bradford arrives with a recent win and a clean defensive record, while Burnley has struggled to find the net and secure points. Bradford's tactical setup emphasizes solid defensive organization and quick transitions, aiming to capitalize on home advantage and Burnley's inconsistent form. The match carries cup competition stakes where Bradford can leverage momentum and defensive resilience to challenge Burnley effectively.

BT4Y best bet

Bradford to Win

  • Bradford has won their last match scoring 2 goals and conceding none.
  • Burnley has scored only 1 goal and conceded 1 in recent form, with 100% BTTS rate.
  • Bradford averages 23 shots and 10 shots on target per game, double Burnley's output.
  • Bradford averages 10 corners per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure.
  • No recent head-to-head data exists, making current form and stats more relevant.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Bradford to win with a 64% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, attacking volume, and defensive solidity. Bradford's high shot and corner counts indicate offensive pressure, while Burnley's lower output and 100% BTTS rate suggest defensive vulnerabilities. The price offers positive value with a 35% edge, supported by Bradford's clean sheet in recent play and ability to control games from midfield. Limited head-to-head data means current season stats and form are key indicators for this pick.

Model chance64%
Strong positive
Recent formBradford 3 points, Burnley 1 point
Positive
Shots and pressureBradford 23 shots/game vs Burnley 12
Strong positive
Defensive recordBradford conceded 0 recently
Positive
Price value edge+35.4%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Bradford's recent defensive solidity combined with their high attacking volume makes them a strong candidate to win this cup tie. Burnley's struggles to create and convert chances, alongside their defensive lapses, give Bradford the tactical and statistical edge to secure victory in this fixture.

Main risk

The level of opposition has not matched what Burnley can offer, but the pattern still matters.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Bradford to Win

“Bradford's ability to generate significantly more shots and corners than Burnley, coupled with their recent clean sheet, highlights a well-balanced team ready to capitalize on this cup opportunity.”

Key Data Signals

Bradford to Win evidence

Bradford has won their last match scoring 2 goals and conceding none.

Burnley has scored only 1 goal and conceded 1 in recent form, with 100% BTTS rate.

Bradford averages 23 shots and 10 shots on target per game, double Burnley's output.

Bradford averages 10 corners per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Bradford to Win notes

  • Over the last five matches, both teams have low Over 2.5 Goals rates, indicating cautious play or defensive solidity.
  • The average goals scored suggest a controlled tempo with limited high-scoring games, aligning with the expectation of a tight contest potentially decided by a single goal.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Bradford10
Avg corners for
Burnley4
Bradford12
Avg total corners
Burnley7
Bradford0
Avg yellow cards
Burnley0
Bradford23
Avg shots
Burnley12
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 51% · edge +1.8 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Bradford's control in corners (10 per game) and shots (23 per game) reflects sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Burnley's lower averages indicate fewer attacking incursions. Both teams have low yellow card averages, suggesting a disciplined game with Bradford likely to maintain control through possession and set-piece opportunities.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

full betting preview for Bradford v Burnleycorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bradford2
Avg goals scored
Burnley1
Bradford0
Avg goals conceded
Burnley1
Bradford0%
BTTS rate
Burnley100%
Bradford0%
Over 2.5 goals
Burnley0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The BTTS No angle fits the match context as Bradford has kept a clean sheet recently while Burnley has a 100% BTTS rate but low goal output overall. The controlled goals scenario suggests Bradford's defensive discipline may limit Burnley's scoring opportunities, leading to a low-scoring game with Bradford likely scoring alone.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBradford to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Bradford Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Bradford to Win is priced attractively at 3.5 with a of 64%, indicating strong value. The substantial positive suggests the market underestimates Bradford's chances, likely due to Burnley's higher league status. This pricing invites confident backing of Bradford given their recent form and attacking metrics.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bradford

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
08 Aug 2026H Rochdale2-0

Burnley

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
08 Aug 2026H Notts County1-1
Market aligned with main pickBradford to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Bradford Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Bradford's recent form shows a 3-point haul with 2 goals scored and none conceded, demonstrating effective offense and defense. Burnley has managed only 1 point with 1 goal scored and conceded, reflecting inconsistency. This form disparity supports Bradford's likelihood to win, especially in a cup setting where momentum is crucial.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Bradford wins
0Draws
0Burnley wins
Market aligned with main pickBradford to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
No previous meetings exist between Bradford and Burnley, so head-to-head data offers no guidance. This absence places greater emphasis on current form, tactical setup, and season statistics to assess the likely outcome.
Season team stats

League Cup

Bradford1
Played
Burnley1
Bradford2
Avg goals for
Burnley2
Bradford0
Avg goals against
Burnley1
Bradford1
Clean sheets
Burnley0
Market aligned with main pickBradford to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Bradford Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Bradford's season stats reveal a strong attacking output with high shots and corners per game, coupled with a solid defensive record. Burnley's stats show less offensive penetration and a tendency to concede, reinforcing Bradford's advantage in controlling the match tempo and creating scoring chances.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Bradford Over 2.5
0%Burnley Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, both teams have low Over 2.5 Goals rates, indicating cautious play or defensive solidity. The average goals scored suggest a controlled tempo with limited high-scoring games, aligning with the expectation of a tight contest potentially decided by a single goal.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Bradford v Burnley prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Cardiff v NorwichLeague Cup · Tue 25 Aug 19:00Doncaster v MiddlesbroughLeague Cup · Tue 25 Aug 19:30Watford v PeterboroughLeague Cup · Tue 25 Aug 19:45Southampton v West HamLeague Cup · Tue 25 Aug 19:45

Competition and hubs

full betting preview for Bradford v Burnleycorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre