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Botev Plovdiv crestBotev Plovdiv
v
Arda Kardzhali crestArda Kardzhali

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 26 Jun, 08:00

Botev Plovdiv v Arda Kardzhali Stats

Data last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026, 05:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Botev Plovdiv faces Arda Kardzhali in a friendly encounter that offers both teams a chance to sharpen their squads ahead of the competitive season. Botev Plovdiv has demonstrated strong defensive resilience recently, conceding just 0.2 goals per game, while maintaining a potent attack averaging 2.6 goals. Arda Kardzhali, meanwhile, has shown a more moderate scoring rate but a higher tendency for open games, with a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals and BTTS occurrences. The tactical battle will likely hinge on Botev Plovdiv's ability to control the game tempo and exploit defensive gaps in Arda Kardzhali’s setup.

BT4Y best bet

Botev Plovdiv to Win

  • Botev Plovdiv boasts a high recent points tally with 15 points compared to Arda Kardzhali's 11.
  • Botev Plovdiv averages 2.6 goals scored per game, indicating strong attacking form.
  • Defensively, Botev Plovdiv concedes only 0.2 goals on average, showing solidity at the back.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting attacking openness.
  • Arda Kardzhali has a 60% BTTS rate, but Botev Plovdiv's defensive record suggests they can keep a clean sheet.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Botev Plovdiv to win based on their superior recent form and defensive strength, conceding just 0.2 goals per game while maintaining a high scoring average of 2.6. This combination of attacking potency and defensive solidity creates a strong chance of victory. The match context suggests Botev Plovdiv can control the tempo and limit Arda Kardzhali's opportunities, making the home win a confident selection. No price warnings apply, and the data quality is solid, supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Recent Form PointsBotev Plovdiv 15 vs Arda Kardzhali 11
Strong positive
Goals Scored per GameBotev Plovdiv 2.6, Arda Kardzhali 1.8
Strong positive
Goals Conceded per GameBotev Plovdiv 0.2, Arda Kardzhali 0.8
Strong positive
Over 2.5 Goals RateBoth teams 60%
Neutral
BTTS RateBotev Plovdiv 20%, Arda Kardzhali 60%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Botev Plovdiv's recent form and defensive record provide a solid foundation for a home win in this friendly. Their ability to score freely while conceding very few goals gives them a tactical edge over Arda Kardzhali, who have been less consistent. This combination of form and defensive discipline makes Botev Plovdiv the logical choice for victory.

Main risk

The main risk lies in the friendly nature of the match, which can lead to experimental line-ups and unpredictable intensity levels that may affect the usual performance patterns.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Botev Plovdiv’s blend of attacking efficiency and defensive resilience positions them well to control this friendly and secure a win, especially given Arda Kardzhali’s vulnerability at the back.”

Key Data Signals

Botev Plovdiv to Win evidence

Botev Plovdiv boasts a high recent points tally with 15 points compared to Arda Kardzhali's 11.

Botev Plovdiv averages 2.6 goals scored per game, indicating strong attacking form.

Defensively, Botev Plovdiv concedes only 0.2 goals on average, showing solidity at the back.

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting attacking openness.

What To Watch In The Data

Botev Plovdiv to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.1 per game, indicating moderately open matches.
  • Both teams’ recent 60% over 2.5 goals rate suggests a likelihood of multiple goals, driven by attacking tempo and transitional play in this friendly encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Botev Plovdiv2.6
Avg goals scored
Arda Kardzhali1.8
Botev Plovdiv0.2
Avg goals conceded
Arda Kardzhali0.8
Botev Plovdiv20%
BTTS rate
Arda Kardzhali60%
Botev Plovdiv60%
Over 2.5 goals
Arda Kardzhali60%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 51% · edge +2.8 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 36%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for open games. However, Botev Plovdiv’s low BTTS rate of 20% contrasts with Arda Kardzhali’s 60%, suggesting Botev Plovdiv’s defense often limits opponent scoring, which may temper the goal count despite attacking intent.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBotev Plovdiv to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 47% · edge +22.4 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Botev Plovdiv Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
The market for Botev Plovdiv to win appears well aligned with their strong recent form and defensive solidity. While exact are unavailable, the model’s 68.9% win probability suggests a confident backing without significant price sensitivity or value concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Botev Plovdiv

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 0D 0L
23 Jun 2026H Spartak Pleven4-0
27 Mar 2026H Lokomotiv Sofia3-1
31 Jan 2026H Sevlievo4-0
28 Jan 2026H Spartak Varna1-0
21 Jan 2026H Drenica Skënderaj1-0

Arda Kardzhali

WWDDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 0L
29 Jan 2026H Neftchi1-0
26 Jan 2026H FC UFA2-1
23 Jan 2026A Wieczysta Kraków2-2
20 Jan 2026A Kudrivka1-1
15 Jan 2026H Levski Karlovo3-0
Market aligned with main pickBotev Plovdiv to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 47% · edge +22.4 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Botev Plovdiv Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Botev Plovdiv’s recent form is superior, accumulating 15 points compared to Arda Kardzhali’s 11. Their higher goals scored and lower goals conceded per game reflect a balanced and effective team performance, reinforcing in a home win outcome.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Botev Plovdiv wins
2Draws
6Arda Kardzhali wins
12 May 2026Botev Plovdiv v Arda Kardzhali1-2
26 Apr 2026Arda Kardzhali v Botev Plovdiv0-2
02 Dec 2025Arda Kardzhali v Botev Plovdiv0-0
04 Aug 2025Botev Plovdiv v Arda Kardzhali0-5
09 Mar 2025Botev Plovdiv v Arda Kardzhali1-1
23 Sep 2024Arda Kardzhali v Botev Plovdiv1-0
Market aligned with main pickBotev Plovdiv to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 47% · edge +22.4 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 2.1 goals per game, reflecting moderately balanced encounters. While this supports a competitive fixture, it does not strongly favor either side, making current form and defensive strength more decisive for the outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Botev Plovdiv7
Played
Arda Kardzhali6
Botev Plovdiv2.4
Avg goals for
Arda Kardzhali1.7
Botev Plovdiv0.3
Avg goals against
Arda Kardzhali1
Botev Plovdiv5
Clean sheets
Arda Kardzhali2
Market aligned with main pickBotev Plovdiv to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 47% · edge +22.4 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Botev Plovdiv Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Season-long statistics show Botev Plovdiv as a high-scoring and defensively robust team, averaging 2.6 goals for and only 0.2 against per game. This profile supports their ability to dominate matches and secure victories, especially against teams with weaker defensive records like Arda Kardzhali.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Botev Plovdiv Over 2.5
60%Arda Kardzhali Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.1 per game, indicating moderately open matches. Both teams’ recent 60% over 2.5 goals rate suggests a likelihood of multiple goals, driven by attacking tempo and transitional play in this friendly encounter.

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