Boreham Wood

Harrogate Town

National League | Sat 19 Sep, 15:00

Boreham Wood v Harrogate Town Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 20:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Boreham Wood and Harrogate Town meet in a National League clash where attacking intent is clear from both sides. Boreham Wood leads the table, boasting strong recent form with 20 points, while Harrogate Town sits fifth with 16 points. Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games, with Boreham Wood scoring 2 goals per match on average and Harrogate Town close behind at 1.8. The tactical setup suggests an open game with offensive pressure from both sides, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

Boreham Wood averages 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season.
Harrogate Town also has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating frequent high-scoring matches.
Boreham Wood has a 100% BTTS rate, showing consistent goal-scoring and conceding.
Recent form shows both teams scoring and conceding regularly, supporting a goal-heavy game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 55.3% chance to Over 3.5 Goals, reflecting the attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities of both teams. Both sides have high Over 2.5 Goals rates (80%), and Boreham Wood's perfect BTTS record underlines the openness of their matches. The at 2.1 offer positive value with a 7.7% edge, making this an attractive pick for those expecting an open, goal-rich encounter. The data quality is solid, with no limitations affecting the reliability of the stats.

Model Chance55.3%

Strong positive

Over 2.5 Goals Rate80% both teams

Strong positive

BTTS Rate100% Boreham Wood, 80% Harrogate Town

Strong positive

Value Edge7.7% positive

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game given Boreham Wood’s league-leading form and Harrogate Town’s solid offensive output. The high scoring rates and consistent goal concessions from both teams suggest Over 3.5 Goals is a sensible choice, reflecting the attacking tempo and defensive openness likely to shape this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Over 3.5 Goals

“This fixture features two sides with strong attacking records and defensive vulnerabilities, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling pick based on their recent scoring patterns and league positions.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Boreham Wood averages 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season.

Harrogate Town also has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating frequent high-scoring matches.

Boreham Wood has a 100% BTTS rate, showing consistent goal-scoring and conceding.

Recent form shows both teams scoring and conceding regularly, supporting a goal-heavy game.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

In the last five matches, both teams have maintained an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating a consistent tempo favoring multiple goals.
The average goals per match in their recent head-to-head meetings is 2.2, supporting the trend towards open play and goal opportunities in this fixture.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Boreham Wood2

Avg goals scored

Harrogate Town1.8

Boreham Wood1.2

Avg goals conceded

Harrogate Town1.4

Boreham Wood100%

BTTS rate

Harrogate Town80%

Boreham Wood80%

Over 2.5 goals

Harrogate Town80%

Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 48% · edge +7.7 pts

2.1

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%

1.5

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%

1.48

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%

1.12

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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 31%

2.6

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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%

2.5

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Both teams have demonstrated strong goal-scoring and conceding patterns, with Boreham Wood’s 100% BTTS rate and Harrogate Town’s 80% BTTS rate highlighting frequent mutual scoring. The combination of high Over 2.5 Goals rates and BTTS trends points to a fixture likely to feature several goals from both sides.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts

1.5

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%

1.48

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Boreham Wood Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 71%

1.4

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Boreham Wood to WinBetMGM guide price · model 62%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Harrogate Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.85

Check odds @ 2.85

Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price

1.28

Check odds @ 1.28

DrawBetfred guide price · model 24%

Check odds @ 4

The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced at 2.1, reflecting a 47.6% implied chance which is notably lower than the model’s 55.3% probability. This positive of 7.7% indicates the market underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game, making the attractive for bettors anticipating an open match with multiple goals.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Boreham Wood

WDWWW

Last 54W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 106W 2D 0L

16 Sep 2026A Scunthorpe2-1

12 Sep 2026A Eastleigh1-1

05 Sep 2026H Carlisle2-1

31 Aug 2026A Worthing3-2

27 Aug 2026H Boston United2-1

Harrogate Town

LWWWL

Last 53W 0D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 105W 1D 2L

15 Sep 2026H AFC Fylde1-2

12 Sep 2026H Tamworth3-1

05 Sep 2026A Scunthorpe2-0

31 Aug 2026H Gateshead2-1

28 Aug 2026A Aldershot Town1-3

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 82% · edge +4 pts

1.22

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Boreham Wood Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 71%

1.4

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Boreham Wood to WinBetMGM guide price · model 62%

1.67

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Harrogate Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.85

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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 47%

2.15

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DrawBetfred guide price · model 24%

Check odds @ 4

Harrogate Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%

4.1

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Recent form data shows Boreham Wood accumulating 13 points with an average of 2 goals scored per match, while Harrogate Town has 9 points and 1.8 goals per game. Both teams maintain an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, reinforcing the expectation of a high-scoring encounter based on current momentum and offensive output.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Boreham Wood wins

1Draws

2Harrogate Town wins

25 Jul 2020Harrogate Town v Boreham Wood1-0

21 Dec 2019Boreham Wood v Harrogate Town2-1

14 Sep 2019Harrogate Town v Boreham Wood0-0

13 Apr 2019Harrogate Town v Boreham Wood0-1

29 Sep 2018Boreham Wood v Harrogate Town2-4

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%

1.48

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Boreham Wood to WinBetMGM guide price · model 62%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

DrawBetfred guide price · model 24%

Check odds @ 4

Harrogate Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

The five recent meetings between Boreham Wood and Harrogate Town have averaged 2.2 goals per game, a moderate scoring rate that suggests competitive but not overly defensive encounters. While this is slightly below the Over 3.5 threshold, the current attacking form and league context point to a potential increase in goal volume for this match.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

National League

Boreham Wood9

Played

Harrogate Town9

Boreham Wood2.6

Avg goals for

Harrogate Town2.2

Boreham Wood1.2

Avg goals against

Harrogate Town1.8

Boreham Wood1

Clean sheets

Harrogate Town1

Best odds for this sectionBoreham Wood Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 71% · edge -0.7 pts

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

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Boreham Wood to WinBetMGM guide price · model 62%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Harrogate Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.85

Check odds @ 2.85

Harrogate Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

Season-long statistics reveal both teams consistently participate in matches with multiple goals, as indicated by their high Over 2.5 Goals percentages. Boreham Wood’s 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, alongside Harrogate Town’s 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded, underline their attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
1	Boreham Wood	23	9	7	2	0	12
5	Harrogate Town	16	9	5	1	3	4

Boreham Wood leads the National League standings, while Harrogate Town holds fifth place, both reflecting strong campaigns. Their positions suggest competitive intent and offensive ambition, which often correlates with open, high-scoring games as teams push for points in a tight league.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Boreham Wood Over 2.5

80%Harrogate Town Over 2.5

2.2H2H avg goals

In the last five matches, both teams have maintained an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating a consistent tempo favoring multiple goals. The average goals per match in their recent head-to-head meetings is 2.2, supporting the trend towards open play and goal opportunities in this fixture.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Boreham Wood v Harrogate Town Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Boreham Wood

Harrogate Town

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Football Stats Hub

Boreham Wood v Harrogate Town Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Boreham Wood

Harrogate Town

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