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Friendlies Clubs | Sat 25 Jul, 15:00

Bolton v Everton Stats

Data last updated: Fri 24 Jul 2026, 05:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bolton Wanderers host Everton in a pre-season friendly that pits Championship newcomers against Premier League quality. Bolton arrive with strong momentum after a 4-1 play-off final win and a 3-1 pre-season victory, led by in-form striker Ruben Rodrigues. Everton, fresh from a 4-0 win over Dundee, field a squad blending attacking options like Thierno Barry and wide threats Tyrique George and Tyler Dibling, supported by a midfield trio aiming to control possession and tempo. Defensive absences for Everton create openings for Bolton’s sharp attack, setting the stage for a competitive encounter with goals likely at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Everton to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Everton started pre-season with a 4-0 win featuring four different goalscorers.
  • Ruben Rodrigues leads Bolton’s attack with three goals in two pre-season games.
  • Everton’s defense is reshuffled due to injuries to Jarrad Branthwaite and James Garner.
  • Bolton’s recent 3-1 win shows their attacking threat against strong opposition.
  • Midfield control and squad depth give Everton an edge in possession and tempo.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The selection reflects Everton’s superior Premier League quality and squad depth combined with Bolton’s sharp attacking form, especially through Ruben Rodrigues. Everton’s midfield trio is expected to dominate possession and disrupt Bolton’s transitions, while Bolton’s momentum and Rodrigues’s movement between midfield and defense increase the likelihood of both teams scoring. However, the current are slightly short compared to the model’s chance, suggesting a cautious approach with reduced stakes or waiting for better pricing. The absence of key Everton defenders adds tactical intrigue and scoring opportunities for Bolton.

Everton’s Premier League quality and squad depthstrong positive
Strong positive
Bolton’s attacking momentum and Rodrigues’s formpositive
Positive
Everton’s midfield control and possession controlstrong positive
Strong positive
Current odds imply a higher chance than model estimatesnegative
Negative
Defensive absences for Everton increase scoring chancespositive
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Everton’s squad depth and midfield control should secure a win, while Bolton’s attacking sharpness, led by Ruben Rodrigues, ensures they will pose a real threat. The combination of Everton’s quality and Bolton’s momentum makes a competitive match with goals at both ends highly probable.

Main risk

Both clubs are preparing for significant domestic campaigns, but they arrive at this stage of pre-season with different immediate priorities.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and player impact analysis

“Bolton’s in-form Rodrigues offers a key attacking outlet capable of exploiting Everton’s defensive reshuffles, while Everton’s midfield trio will look to dominate possession and dictate the game’s tempo.”

Key Data Signals

Everton to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Everton started pre-season with a 4-0 win featuring four different goalscorers.

Ruben Rodrigues leads Bolton’s attack with three goals in two pre-season games.

Everton’s defense is reshuffled due to injuries to Jarrad Branthwaite and James Garner.

Bolton’s recent 3-1 win shows their attacking threat against strong opposition.

What To Watch In The Data

Everton to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Recent pre-season matches for both teams have featured over 2.5 goals, with Bolton scoring multiple goals in each game and Everton netting four in their opener.
  • The average goals in their last six meetings stand at 2, indicating a trend toward open, attacking games with scoring chances for both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bolton2
Avg goals scored
Everton4
Bolton1.5
Avg goals conceded
Everton0
Bolton100%
BTTS rate
Everton0%
Bolton100%
Over 2.5 goals
Everton100%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 64% · edge +14.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Both teams have demonstrated scoring ability in pre-season, with Everton netting four goals against Dundee and Bolton scoring three against Oldham. Ruben Rodrigues’s movement between midfield and attack increases Bolton’s chances, while Everton’s attacking variety supports goals at both ends, making BTTS a plausible outcome.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickEverton to WinBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 55% · edge +9.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Everton Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The market price for Everton to Win & Both Teams to Score is slightly short compared to the model’s 40.4% chance, with an implied probability of 47.6%. This suggests a price-sensitive selection rather than clear value. the football read remains strong due to Everton’s Premier League quality and Bolton’s attacking threat, but improved or confirmation of line-ups would enhance .
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bolton

WL
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
21 Jul 2026A Oldham3-1
17 Jul 2026A Dunajska Streda1-2

Everton

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
18 Jul 2026A Dundee4-0
Market aligned with main pickEverton to WinBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 55% · edge +9.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Everton Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Pre-season form shows Everton’s attacking sharpness with a 4-0 win and multiple goalscorers, while Bolton’s recent 3-1 victory highlights their scoring capability. Both teams have scored in all recent matches, supporting the likelihood of goals at both ends and a competitive contest despite Everton’s defensive reshuffles.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Bolton wins
2Draws
2Everton wins
25 Jul 2023Bolton v Everton0-0
26 Jan 2013Bolton v Everton1-2
04 Jan 2012Everton v Bolton1-2
26 Nov 2011Bolton v Everton0-2
13 Feb 2011Bolton v Everton2-0
10 Nov 2010Everton v Bolton1-1
Market aligned with main pickEverton to WinBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 55% · edge +9.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The six previous meetings between Bolton and Everton have averaged two goals per game, suggesting moderately open contests. While historical results provide some background, current pre-season form and squad changes offer more relevant insights for this fixture’s expected outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Bolton2
Played
Everton1
Bolton2
Avg goals for
Everton4
Bolton1.5
Avg goals against
Everton0
Bolton0
Clean sheets
Everton1
Market aligned with main pickEverton to WinBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 55% · edge +9.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Everton Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Bolton’s promotion-winning momentum and Rodrigues’s goal-scoring form underline their attacking threat, while Everton’s Premier League experience and squad depth provide superior quality. Everton’s midfield control and possession statistics suggest they will dominate tempo, but Bolton’s sharper pre-season progress may yield scoring opportunities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Bolton Over 2.5
100%Everton Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Recent pre-season matches for both teams have featured over 2.5 goals, with Bolton scoring multiple goals in each game and Everton netting four in their opener. The average goals in their last six meetings stand at 2, indicating a trend toward open, attacking games with scoring chances for both sides.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Bolton v Everton prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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