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Famalicao crestFamalicao
v
Tondela crestTondela

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 25 Jul, 09:00

Famalicao v Tondela Stats

Data last updated: Fri 24 Jul 2026, 05:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Famalicao face Tondela in Friendlies Clubs on Sat 25 Jul, 09:00. Famalicao come in with 8 recent points and 1.5 goals per match, while Tondela have 7 points and 1.33 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Under 2.5 Goals is rated around 66% by the current BT4Y model.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 25% for Famalicao and 33% for Tondela, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Famalicao are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.5 goals per match, with Tondela at 1.33.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for Famalicao and 67% for Tondela show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Under 2.5 Goals around 66% on the latest available numbers. The Over 2.5 trend is 25% for Famalicao and 33% for Tondela, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

The Over 2.5 trend is 25% for Famalicao and 33%.Visible data support
Positive
Famalicao are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.5.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Famalicao are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.5 goals per match, with Tondela at 1.33. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Famalicao are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.5 goals per match, with Tondela at 1.33.

BTTS rates of 0% for Famalicao and 67% for Tondela show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Famalicao1.5
Avg goals scored
Tondela1.33
Famalicao0
Avg goals conceded
Tondela0.67
Famalicao0%
BTTS rate
Tondela67%
Famalicao25%
Over 2.5 goals
Tondela33%

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Famalicao

DDWW
Last 52W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 0L
22 Jul 2026H Arouca0-0
18 Jul 2026H Penafiel0-0
15 Jul 2026H Lusitânia Lourosa1-0
11 Jul 2026H Famalicão U235-0

Tondela

WDW
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
22 Jul 2026H Academica2-1
19 Jul 2026H Nacional1-1
15 Jul 2026H Varzim1-0

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Famalicao wins
2Draws
3Tondela wins
25 Jan 2026Famalicao v Tondela3-0
16 Aug 2025Tondela v Famalicao0-1
09 Dec 2022Famalicao v Tondela0-0
26 Feb 2022Famalicao v Tondela2-1
25 Sep 2021Tondela v Famalicao3-2
26 Apr 2021Famalicao v Tondela2-2

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Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Famalicao4
Played
Tondela3
Famalicao1.5
Avg goals for
Tondela1.3
Famalicao0
Avg goals against
Tondela0.7
Famalicao4
Clean sheets
Tondela1

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

25%Famalicao Over 2.5
33%Tondela Over 2.5
2.56H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Famalicao sit at 25% and Tondela sit at 33% with the H2H average at 2.56 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.