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Bologna crestBologna
v
Torino crestTorino

Serie A | Sat 19 Sep, 14:00

Bologna v Torino Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bologna face Torino in Serie A on Sat 19 Sep, 14:00. Torino have conceded a league-high 42 goals this season, showing significant defensive vulnerability. Both teams are desperate for a result following poor runs of form.

BT4Y match pick

Draw

  • At 3.5, Draw implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Defensive Comparison: Goals Conceded
  • Bologna have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Torino.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 27% for Draw sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. Bologna have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Torino. Defensive Comparison: Goals Conceded

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Neutral
Bologna have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points.Visible data support
Positive
Defensive Comparison: Goals ConcededArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Draw is the preferred angle because defensive Comparison: Goals Conceded Bologna have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Torino. Torino have developed a habit of letting leads slip but have also shown the resilience to fight back late in games, as evidenced by their recent stoppage-time equaliser.

Main risk

Torino have developed a habit of letting leads slip but have also shown the resilience to fight back late in games, as evidenced by their recent stoppage-time equaliser.

Key Data Signals

Draw evidence

Defensive Comparison: Goals Conceded

Bologna have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Torino.

What To Watch In The Data

Draw notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickDrawBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 29% · edge -1.7 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Bologna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Bologna to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Torino to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Torino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Draw is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Bologna0.5
    Avg goals scored
    Torino-
    Bologna1.25
    Avg goals conceded
    Torino-
    Bologna25%
    BTTS rate
    Torino-
    Bologna25%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Torino-
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 56% · edge +10.4 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Bologna

    LDLL
    Last 50W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 3L
    13 Sep 2026A Napoli0-1
    06 Sep 2026H Sassuolo2-2
    31 Aug 2026A Atalanta0-1
    24 Aug 2026H Lazio0-1

    Torino

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Torino yet.

    Market aligned with main pickDrawBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 29% · edge -1.7 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Bologna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Bologna to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Torino to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Torino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Bologna2
    Avg corners for
    Torino-
    Bologna3
    Avg total corners
    Torino-
    Bologna0
    Avg yellow cards
    Torino-
    Bologna16
    Avg shots
    Torino-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 38% vs implied 55% · edge -16.6 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Bologna wins
    0Draws
    0Torino wins
    Market aligned with main pickDrawBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 29% · edge -1.7 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Bologna to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Torino to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Draw, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    25%Bologna Over 2.5
    -Torino Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    Defensive Comparison: Goals Conceded

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Bologna v Torino prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre