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Bologna crestBologna
v
Sassuolo crestSassuolo

Serie A | Sun 06 Sep, 17:00

Bologna v Sassuolo Stats

Data last updated: Sat 05 Sep 2026, 08:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie A regional derby between Sassuolo and Bologna carries high stakes as both sides are separated by just one point in the league standings. Sassuolo, playing at home, have won four of their last six matches and thrive on quick transitions led by their potent front three of Berardi, Pinamonti, and Laurienté. Bologna, under Vincenzo Italiano, approach the game with a possession-based style, aiming to control tempo and territory despite juggling Europa League commitments. The tactical contrast between Bologna's ball control and Sassuolo's counter-attacking threat sets the stage for an open, high-tempo encounter with goals likely at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Sassuolo's last six Serie A matches all featured both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals.
  • Bologna have scored in 18 consecutive league meetings against Sassuolo, showing consistent attacking threat.
  • Sassuolo's front three have combined for 18 league goals, highlighting their offensive potency.
  • Bologna dominate possession (55.3%) and average 13.3 shots per game, indicating sustained pressure.
  • Sassuolo's defensive vulnerabilities and Bologna's aerial strength suggest goals from set pieces are possible.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick is supported by Sassuolo's recent run of matches where both sides have scored, combined with Bologna's consistent scoring record against Sassuolo stretching back 18 league meetings. Sassuolo's attacking trio offers multiple goal threats, while Bologna's possession control and shot volume create ample scoring opportunities. The model assigns a 66.7% chance to BTTS, exceeding the implied market chance of 57.1%, indicating positive value. The tactical contrast and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides underpin the likelihood of goals at both ends.

Sassuolo BTTS Rate100% in last 6 matches
Strong positive
Bologna Scoring Streak vs Sassuolo18 consecutive matches
Strong positive
Model Chance vs Implied Chance66.7% vs 57.1%
Positive
Sassuolo Defensive Record38 goals conceded in 28 games
Positive
Bologna Possession and Shots55.3% possession, 13.3 shots per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The Both Teams to Score bet aligns well with the tactical and form context of this derby. Sassuolo's transition-based attack combined with Bologna's possession control and consistent scoring record against Sassuolo make goals at both ends highly probable. The match's high stakes and contrasting styles suggest an open game where both sides find the net.

Main risk

The mood is lively on both sides, but not identical.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This derby promises a tactical clash where Sassuolo's sharp counter-attacks meet Bologna's ball control and aerial threat, making goals from both sides a compelling expectation.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Sassuolo's last six Serie A matches all featured both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals.

Bologna have scored in 18 consecutive league meetings against Sassuolo, showing consistent attacking threat.

Sassuolo's front three have combined for 18 league goals, highlighting their offensive potency.

Bologna dominate possession (55.3%) and average 13.3 shots per game, indicating sustained pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last six matches, Sassuolo has consistently produced games with over 2.5 goals, emphasizing their open style and defensive frailties.
  • The average goals per game in the last ten head-to-head meetings is 3.2, indicating a trend towards high-scoring encounters.
  • This trend suggests a fast tempo and attacking openness likely to continue in this derby.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bologna0
Avg goals scored
Sassuolo1.5
Bologna1
Avg goals conceded
Sassuolo1.5
Bologna0%
BTTS rate
Sassuolo100%
Bologna0%
Over 2.5 goals
Sassuolo100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Sassuolo's last six Serie A matches have all featured both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals, highlighting their open, attacking style. Bologna's scoring in 18 consecutive league meetings against Sassuolo reinforces the expectation of goals at both ends. The tactical contrast between Sassuolo's counter-attacks and Bologna's possession game supports a high-event match with multiple goals.

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Serie A hubrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Sassuolo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Sassuolo to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 41%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.75 (3/4), reflecting a 57.1% implied chance. The model's 66.7% probability indicates positive value, supported by recent high-scoring matches and consistent scoring from both teams. The price is attractive without warning flags, making this a solid value bet in the current market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Bologna5
Avg corners for
Sassuolo4
Bologna8.5
Avg total corners
Sassuolo7.5
Bologna2
Avg yellow cards
Sassuolo1.5
Bologna15
Avg shots
Sassuolo20.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 55% · edge +6.2 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 41%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Bologna average 15 shots and 5 corners per game, reflecting their territorial control and sustained pressure. Sassuolo average 20.5 shots and 4 corners, indicating active attacking play despite less possession. Both teams have moderate yellow card averages, suggesting a competitive but not overly aggressive match environment conducive to open play and goal opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bologna

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
31 Aug 2026A Atalanta0-1
24 Aug 2026H Lazio0-1

Sassuolo

WL
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
29 Aug 2026H Torino2-1
23 Aug 2026A Atalanta1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Sassuolo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Sassuolo to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Bologna Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Bologna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Sassuolo have scored 1.5 goals per game and conceded 1.5 in their recent matches, maintaining a 100% BTTS rate in the last six games. Bologna have struggled to score recently but maintain a strong away record with five wins in six matches. The recent form data supports an expectation of goals from both sides, especially given Sassuolo's attacking rhythm and Bologna's consistent scoring history against them.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Bologna wins
4Draws
2Sassuolo wins
15 Mar 2026Sassuolo v Bologna0-1
28 Dec 2025Bologna v Sassuolo1-1
03 Feb 2024Bologna v Sassuolo4-2
28 Oct 2023Sassuolo v Bologna1-1
08 May 2023Sassuolo v Bologna1-1
12 Nov 2022Bologna v Sassuolo3-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Sassuolo to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Bologna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
The last ten meetings between Sassuolo and Bologna have averaged 3.2 goals per game, with Bologna scoring in every league meeting for nearly two decades. This historical data strongly supports the Both Teams to Score selection, confirming a pattern of open, goal-rich matches between these regional rivals.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Bologna2
Played
Sassuolo2
Bologna0
Avg goals for
Sassuolo1.5
Bologna1
Avg goals against
Sassuolo1.5
Bologna0
Clean sheets
Sassuolo0
Best odds for this sectionSassuolo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Sassuolo to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Bologna Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Bologna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Sassuolo ranks ninth in Serie A with 35 goals scored but has conceded 38, reflecting defensive vulnerabilities. Bologna sits slightly lower but boasts the eighth-best scoring record with 37 goals. Bologna's higher possession and shot volume contrast with Sassuolo's efficient finishing and transition threat, reinforcing the likelihood of goals from both teams in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Sassuolo321010
17Bologna02002-2
With Bologna 15th and Sassuolo 11th, separated by just a point, this match has immediate implications for mid-table positioning and European qualification hopes. The close standings add intensity and urgency, encouraging both sides to attack and avoid dropping points, which supports the expectation of goals at both ends.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Bologna Over 2.5
100%Sassuolo Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
Over the last six matches, Sassuolo has consistently produced games with over 2.5 goals, emphasizing their open style and defensive frailties. The average goals per game in the last ten head-to-head meetings is 3.2, indicating a trend towards high-scoring encounters. This trend suggests a fast tempo and attacking openness likely to continue in this derby.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Bologna v Sassuolo prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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