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Bologna crestBologna
v
Sassuolo crestSassuolo

Serie A | Sun 06 Sep, 17:00

Bologna v Sassuolo Stats

Data last updated: Wed 07 Oct 2026, 17:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bologna face Sassuolo in Serie A on Sun 06 Sep, 17:00. Sassuolo have scored in all four competitive matches this season, a sharp contrast with Bologna’s seven shots on target and no league goals. Sassuolo look stronger on recent form, while Bologna remain vulnerable after weaker results.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 3/4, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 57%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Backing both teams to score reflects Sassuolo’s consistent scoring and attacking pressure against a Bologna side desperate to break their goal drought at home.
  • Bologna show a 0% BTTS rate and Sassuolo show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Bologna average 0 goals scored and Sassuolo average 1.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 57% implied by the current price. Bologna show a 0% BTTS rate and Sassuolo show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Backing both teams to score reflects Sassuolo’s consistent scoring and attacking pressure against a Bologna side desperate to break their goal drought at home.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 57% implied
Positive
Bologna show a 0% BTTS rate and Sassuolo show a.Visible data support
Positive
Bologna average 0 goals scored and Sassuolo average 1.5, so.Visible data support
Positive
Backing both teams to score reflects Sassuolo’s consistent scoring.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because backing both teams to score reflects Sassuolo’s consistent scoring and attacking pressure against a Bologna side desperate to break their goal drought at home. Bologna show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Sassuolo show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Although Bologna lost Riccardo Orsolini to injury and saw Jonathan Rowe depart, their urgency to respond against a Sassuolo defence that conceded to Torino keeps them active.

Main risk

Although Bologna lost Riccardo Orsolini to injury and saw Jonathan Rowe depart, their urgency to respond against a Sassuolo defence that conceded to Torino keeps them active.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Backing both teams to score reflects Sassuolo’s consistent scoring and attacking pressure against a Bologna side desperate.

Bologna show a 0% BTTS rate and Sassuolo show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Bologna average 0 goals scored and Sassuolo average 1.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bologna0
Avg goals scored
Sassuolo1.5
Bologna1
Avg goals conceded
Sassuolo1.5
Bologna0%
BTTS rate
Sassuolo100%
Bologna0%
Over 2.5 goals
Sassuolo100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
Sassuolo to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Sassuolo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Bologna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bologna

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
31 Aug 2026A Atalanta0-1
24 Aug 2026H Lazio0-1

Sassuolo

WL
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
29 Aug 2026H Torino2-1
23 Aug 2026A Atalanta1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 58% · edge +3.6 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Sassuolo to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Sassuolo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Bologna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Bologna Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 47%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Bologna Over 2.5
100%Sassuolo Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bologna sit at 0% and Sassuolo sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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