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FC Midtjylland crestFC Midtjylland

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 06 Aug, 19:45

Bohemians v FC Midtjylland Stats

Data last updated: Wed 05 Aug 2026, 03:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bohemians host FC Midtjylland in the UEFA Europa Conference League first leg, bringing contrasting recent form into this encounter. Bohemians have shown resilience and attacking intent with 7 points from recent matches and an average of 1.5 goals scored per game, while Midtjylland's recent data is limited, adding uncertainty to their offensive threat. The home side's tactical discipline and momentum in early season fixtures position them as strong contenders, though Midtjylland's squad quality and European experience could challenge the hosts. This fixture promises a competitive battle with Bohemians aiming to capitalize on home advantage and recent positive momentum.

BT4Y best bet

Bohemians to Win

  • Bohemians have earned 7 points recently, showing solid form.
  • Midtjylland's recent performance data is limited, increasing uncertainty.
  • Bohemians average 1.5 goals per game, indicating attacking capability.
  • Bohemians have a 50% rate of matches over 2.5 goals, suggesting openness.
  • Player data highlights key Bohemians attackers with strong goal threat metrics.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Bohemians to win with a 74% chance based on their recent form and attacking output, including a 1.5 goals per game average and a balanced defensive record conceding 1 goal per match. Despite limited data on Midtjylland, Bohemians' momentum and home advantage provide a strong football read. The model is solid, though the thinner sample for Midtjylland means line-up and tactical adjustments could influence the outcome. The price is not flagged as short, supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Recent FormBohemians have 7 points recently, Midtjylland data limited
Positive
Goal ScoringBohemians average 1.5 goals per game
Positive
Defensive RecordBohemians concede 1 goal per game
Positive
Data QualityLimited Midtjylland data increases uncertainty
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Bohemians' recent form and home advantage make them a strong candidate for victory in this European tie. Their attacking balance and defensive solidity contrast with Midtjylland's limited recent data, suggesting Bohemians can capitalize on momentum and familiarity with the venue to secure a positive result.

Main risk

Alan Reynolds’s side have already survived two rounds to reach this point, but Midtjylland represent a clear rise in difficulty.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and team form

“Bohemians have built early-season momentum and show a balanced attacking and defensive profile that suits European competition. Their home form and key players' goal threat give them an edge over a Midtjylland side with less visible recent form data.”

Key Data Signals

Bohemians to Win evidence

Bohemians have earned 7 points recently, showing solid form.

Midtjylland's recent performance data is limited, increasing uncertainty.

Bohemians average 1.5 goals per game, indicating attacking capability.

Bohemians have a 50% rate of matches over 2.5 goals, suggesting openness.

What To Watch In The Data

Bohemians to Win notes

  • Over the last five matches, Bohemians have a 50% rate of games finishing with over 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for open, attacking play.
  • This trend suggests the fixture could feature multiple goals, driven by Bohemians' offensive approach and Midtjylland's uncertain defensive form.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBohemians to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
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Bohemians Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The market for Bohemians to win reflects in their recent form and home advantage, though without clear data the price sensitivity is unknown. The model's 74% chance suggests this is a strong football pick, but bettors should watch for any drift or team news that could affect value.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bohemians1.5
Avg goals scored
FC Midtjylland-
Bohemians1
Avg goals conceded
FC Midtjylland-
Bohemians50%
BTTS rate
FC Midtjylland-
Bohemians50%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Midtjylland-
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 44% · edge +9.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Bohemians have a 50% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and a similar rate for both teams to score, indicating a balanced attacking approach that can produce goals. Midtjylland's limited data prevents firm conclusions, but Bohemians' offensive output suggests this fixture could see multiple goals and goal-scoring from both sides.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bohemians

LWDW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
30 Jul 2026A Ballkani2-3
22 Jul 2026H Ballkani2-1
16 Jul 2026A St Joseph S Fc0-0
09 Jul 2026H St Joseph S Fc2-0

FC Midtjylland

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for FC Midtjylland yet.

Market aligned with main pickBohemians to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Bohemians Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Bohemians have accumulated 7 points recently with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, demonstrating solid form and balance. Midtjylland's recent form data is sparse, limiting insight but increasing the value of Bohemians' momentum and home advantage in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Bohemians wins
0Draws
0FC Midtjylland wins
Market aligned with main pickBohemians to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
There are no previous head-to-head meetings between Bohemians and Midtjylland, so historical data offers no direct insight. This lack of precedent increases the importance of current form, tactical analysis, and player performance in predicting the match outcome.
Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Bohemians4
Played
FC Midtjylland0
Bohemians1.8
Avg goals for
FC Midtjylland0
Bohemians1
Avg goals against
FC Midtjylland0
Bohemians2
Clean sheets
FC Midtjylland0
Market aligned with main pickBohemians to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Load more odds for this section
Bohemians Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Bohemians' season stats show a balanced attack and defense with 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, supporting their capability to win at home. Midtjylland's thinner data sample limits season-long analysis, but Bohemians' consistent output provides a reliable base for the win prediction.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Bohemians Over 2.5
-FC Midtjylland Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Bohemians have a 50% rate of games finishing with over 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for open, attacking play. This trend suggests the fixture could feature multiple goals, driven by Bohemians' offensive approach and Midtjylland's uncertain defensive form.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.