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Boca Juniorsv
CruzeiroCONMEBOL Libertadores | Wed 20 May, 01:30
Boca Juniors v Cruzeiro Stats
BT4Y best bet
Over 3.5 Cards
- At 1.8, Over 3.5 Cards is priced at roughly 56% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 75%, so the current line is showing a +19.4-point value edge.
- The disciplinary read shows average yellow-card figures of 3 for Boca Juniors and 3.25 for Cruzeiro in detailed recent samples.
- The card data supports the Over 3.5 Cards angle: Boca Juniors have taken 2 wins from their last 4 matches, averaging 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded.
- The card data supports the Over 3.5 Cards angle: Cruzeiro have taken 2 wins from their last 4 matches, with BTTS landing in 25% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 1.8, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 56% · edge +19.4 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
50%Boca Juniors Over 2.5
25%Cruzeiro Over 2.5
1.67H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Boca Juniors
LLWW
Last 52W 0D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 102W 0D 2L
06 May 2026A Barcelona SC0-1
29 Apr 2026A Cruzeiro0-1
15 Apr 2026H Barcelona SC3-0
08 Apr 2026A U. Catolica2-1
Cruzeiro
DWLW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 recordLast 102W 1D 1L
07 May 2026A U. Catolica0-0
29 Apr 2026H Boca Juniors1-0
15 Apr 2026H U. Catolica1-2
08 Apr 2026A Barcelona SC1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 37% · edge +15.7 pts
2.68
Bet HERE @ 2.68Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Boca Juniors1.25
Avg goals scoredCruzeiro0.75
Boca Juniors0.75
Avg goals concededCruzeiro0.5
Boca Juniors25%
BTTS rateCruzeiro25%
Boca Juniors50%
Over 2.5 goalsCruzeiro25%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 65% · edge +0.6 pts
1.53
Bet HERE @ 1.53Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
1Boca Juniors wins
0Draws
2Cruzeiro wins
29 Apr 2026Cruzeiro v Boca Juniors1-0
23 Aug 2024Cruzeiro v Boca Juniors2-1
16 Aug 2024Boca Juniors v Cruzeiro1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 24% · edge +18.9 pts
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Boca Juniors3
Avg corners forCruzeiro2.75
Boca Juniors7.25
Avg total cornersCruzeiro6.5
Boca Juniors3
Avg yellow cardsCruzeiro3.25
Boca Juniors9
Avg shotsCruzeiro11
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 56% · edge +19.4 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
Ander HerreraBoca Juniors · Midfielder
Goal threat99/100
Shots /902.5
SOT /902.5
Matheus PereiraCruzeiro · Midfielder
Goal threat53/100
Shots /902.25
SOT /901.25
S. AscacíbarBoca Juniors · Midfielder
Goal threat48/100
Shots /902.29
SOT /901.71
A. VelascoBoca Juniors · Midfielder
Goal threat17/100
Shots /902.37
SOT /900
A. BareiroBoca Juniors · Attacker
Goal threat36/100
Shots /901.3
SOT /900.87
Matheus HenriqueCruzeiro · Midfielder
Goal threat5/100
Shots /900.84
SOT /900
Season team stats
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Boca Juniors4
PlayedCruzeiro4
Boca Juniors1.3
Avg goals forCruzeiro0.8
Boca Juniors0.8
Avg goals againstCruzeiro0.5
Boca Juniors1
Clean sheetsCruzeiro3
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 37% · edge +15.7 pts
2.68
Bet HERE @ 2.68Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
