Football Stats Hub

Blackpool crestBlackpool
v
Plymouth crestPlymouth

League One | Sat 19 Sep, 15:00

Blackpool v Plymouth Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Blackpool hosts Plymouth Argyle in a League One clash marked by contrasting recent trajectories. Blackpool's early defensive solidity has given way to vulnerability, conceding seven goals in their last three matches amid key defensive absences. Despite this, Blackpool have scored in every league game this season, showcasing attacking consistency. Plymouth arrive on the back of consecutive wins, demonstrating improved attacking efficiency and defensive discipline, including a clean sheet in their recent 3-0 victory over Barnsley. Historical encounters favor Plymouth defensively, having held Blackpool scoreless in their last two meetings, setting the stage for a tactical battle focused on defensive resilience and controlled attacking opportunities.

BT4Y lean · price warning

BTTS No

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 42%, above the 31% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Blackpool have scored in all six league matches this season, totaling 11 goals.
  • Plymouth have kept three clean sheets in their last six league games, including a recent 3-0 win.
  • Blackpool conceded seven goals in their last three matches, affected by defensive absences.
  • Plymouth held Blackpool scoreless in their last two head-to-head meetings.
Price warning

BTTS No is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 42% while the model sits nearer 31% (-11.3 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Plymouth to Win shows a +15 pts edge at 2.5.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The selection of BTTS No is grounded in Plymouth's recent defensive solidity and their success in shutting out Blackpool in recent meetings. Blackpool's defensive struggles, compounded by key absences, contrast with Plymouth's ability to maintain clean sheets and capitalize on early scoring opportunities. Although Blackpool's consistent scoring record poses a challenge, the tactical context and historical data support a scenario where at least one side fails to score. The current market price is short relative to the , advising reduced stakes or waiting for better to enhance value.

Blackpool's Defensive VulnerabilityConceded 7 goals in last 3 matches with key defenders absent
Strong positive
Plymouth's Defensive Discipline3 clean sheets in last 6 matches, including recent 3-0 win
Strong positive
Historical Defensive EdgePlymouth held Blackpool scoreless in last two meetings
Positive
Blackpool's Scoring ConsistencyScored in all 6 league matches this season
Negative
Market Price vs Model ChancePrice implies 39.2% chance vs model 30.7%, negative value edge
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The tactical setup suggests Plymouth's disciplined defense can stifle Blackpool's attack, especially given Blackpool's defensive absences. Data shows Plymouth's recent clean sheets and historical success in keeping Blackpool scoreless, reinforcing the likelihood that both teams will not score. This bet aligns with the defensive strengths and recent form of Plymouth against Blackpool's current vulnerabilities.

Main risk

That record does not decide what happens next, but it strengthens the sense that Blackpool need to change the direction of more than one trend.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive solidity and tactical matchup

“Plymouth's recent defensive performances and their ability to neutralize Blackpool's attack in prior meetings make BTTS No a compelling tactical choice despite Blackpool's scoring consistency.”

Key Data Signals

BTTS No evidence

Blackpool have scored in all six league matches this season, totaling 11 goals.

Plymouth have kept three clean sheets in their last six league games, including a recent 3-0 win.

Blackpool conceded seven goals in their last three matches, affected by defensive absences.

Plymouth held Blackpool scoreless in their last two head-to-head meetings.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • Analysis of the last ten head-to-head matches shows an average of 2.7 goals per game, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Plymouth's recent defensive success against Blackpool, including two clean sheets, suggests a trend towards lower scoring encounters in this fixture.
  • The trend panel highlights that while Over 2.5 goals is possible, the recent defensive performances and tactical setups favor a more controlled, lower-scoring game.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Blackpool2
Avg goals scored
Plymouth1.8
Blackpool1.6
Avg goals conceded
Plymouth1
Blackpool80%
BTTS rate
Plymouth40%
Blackpool100%
Over 2.5 goals
Plymouth40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 31% vs implied 42% · edge -11.3 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Recent form shows Blackpool scoring in every match but conceding frequently, while Plymouth has improved defensively with three clean sheets in six games. Historical data reveals Plymouth held Blackpool scoreless in their last two meetings, supporting a low likelihood of both teams scoring. The goal-scoring trends and defensive solidity point towards a match with limited goal exchanges, favoring BTTS No and under 3.5 goals.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 65% · edge +7.9 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Plymouth to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Plymouth Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Blackpool Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The BTTS No market is priced at 2.55 with an implied probability of 39.2%, which is higher than the model's 30.7% chance, indicating a short price. This suggests caution on value grounds, recommending reduced stakes or waiting for to drift. The football context, including Plymouth's defensive form and historical clean sheets against Blackpool, supports the selection despite the price sensitivity.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

League One fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Blackpool3
Avg corners for
Plymouth5.8
Blackpool12.5
Avg total corners
Plymouth12
Blackpool1.5
Avg yellow cards
Plymouth1.4
Blackpool13
Avg shots
Plymouth12.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 64% · edge +5.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Blackpool averages 3 corners per game compared to Plymouth's 5.8, indicating Plymouth may exert more wide pressure and set-piece opportunities. Both teams have similar shot volumes and shots on target, suggesting balanced attacking intent. Discipline is comparable with average yellow cards around 1.4-1.5 per game, implying a moderately physical contest without excessive fouling. The data suggests a controlled match with moderate attacking threat and set-piece involvement.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Blackpool

DLLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 2L
12 Sep 2026H Bromley2-2
05 Sep 2026A Reading1-3
02 Sep 2026A Barnsley1-2
29 Aug 2026H Peterborough4-0
22 Aug 2026A Stockport County2-1

Plymouth

WWLWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 2L
12 Sep 2026H Barnsley3-0
05 Sep 2026A Doncaster3-2
01 Sep 2026A Leicester0-2
29 Aug 2026H Bradford2-0
22 Aug 2026A Wycombe1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 81% vs implied 69% · edge +11.3 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Plymouth to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Plymouth Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Blackpool Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Blackpool to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Blackpool's recent form shows a decline defensively with seven goals conceded in three matches, despite maintaining scoring consistency. Plymouth's form is on the rise, with consecutive wins and improved attacking output, scoring six goals in two matches. Plymouth's defensive discipline, including a clean sheet in the last game, contrasts with Blackpool's struggles, suggesting momentum favors Plymouth's defensive resilience in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Blackpool wins
3Draws
4Plymouth wins
14 Feb 2026Blackpool v Plymouth0-4
23 Aug 2025Plymouth v Blackpool1-0
27 Mar 2021Blackpool v Plymouth2-2
12 Sep 2020Plymouth v Blackpool1-0
30 Mar 2019Blackpool v Plymouth2-2
15 Sep 2018Plymouth v Blackpool0-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 65% · edge +7.9 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Plymouth to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Blackpool to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
The last two meetings between these teams saw Plymouth keep clean sheets, including a 4-0 win at Bloomfield Road and a 1-0 victory at Home Park. This recent history strongly supports Plymouth's defensive capability against Blackpool. While the sample is limited, these outcomes provide a meaningful background that Plymouth can replicate defensive success in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League One

Blackpool6
Played
Plymouth6
Blackpool1.8
Avg goals for
Plymouth1.7
Blackpool1.5
Avg goals against
Plymouth1.3
Blackpool1
Clean sheets
Plymouth2
Best odds for this sectionPlymouth to WinBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Plymouth Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Blackpool Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Blackpool to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over the season, Blackpool has scored 11 goals in six matches but conceded nine, reflecting an attacking team with defensive vulnerabilities. Plymouth has scored 10 goals and conceded eight, showing a more balanced profile with slightly better defensive numbers. Blackpool's 80% BTTS rate contrasts with Plymouth's 40%, reinforcing the likelihood that Plymouth's defense can prevent both teams from scoring. These season stats underpin the BTTS No selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Plymouth1063122
12Blackpool862222
Both teams are closely matched in League One standings with a narrow points gap, but Plymouth's recent consecutive victories have given them momentum. The table position provides background context but is less decisive than form and tactical factors in this early-season fixture. The standings suggest a competitive match where defensive solidity and recent form will be more influential than league rank.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Blackpool Over 2.5
40%Plymouth Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Analysis of the last ten head-to-head matches shows an average of 2.7 goals per game, indicating moderate scoring. Plymouth's recent defensive success against Blackpool, including two clean sheets, suggests a trend towards lower scoring encounters in this fixture. The trend panel highlights that while Over 2.5 goals is possible, the recent defensive performances and tactical setups favor a more controlled, lower-scoring game.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Blackpool v Plymouth prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Barnsley v LeicesterLeague One · Sat 19 Sep 12:30Burton Albion v Mansfield TownLeague One · Sat 19 Sep 12:30Reading v Notts CountyLeague One · Sat 19 Sep 15:00Wigan v WycombeLeague One · Sat 19 Sep 15:00

Competition and hubs

League One hubLeague One fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre