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BK Hacken crestBK Hacken
v
Mjallby AIF crestMjallby AIF

Allsvenskan | Fri 11 Sep, 18:00

BK Hacken v Mjallby AIF Stats

Data last updated: Thu 10 Sep 2026, 08:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

BK Hacken hosts Mjallby AIF in an Allsvenskan clash where the home side aims to consolidate their strong league position. BK Hacken has shown solid recent form, collecting 7 points in their last matches with a sturdy defense conceding just 1.2 goals per game. Mjallby AIF, struggling near the relegation zone, has defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 2.8 goals per game. BK Hacken's attacking efficiency and home advantage set the stage for a confident performance, while Mjallby AIF will seek to exploit counter-attacks but face an uphill battle to secure points.

BT4Y best bet

BK Hacken to Win

  • BK Hacken holds a 67.9% to win, indicating strong in the home side.
  • BK Hacken averages 13.4 shots per game with 4.4 on target, outshooting Mjallby AIF significantly.
  • Mjallby AIF concedes 2.8 goals per game, highlighting defensive frailties BK Hacken can exploit.
  • BK Hacken ranks 4th in the league with 32 points, while Mjallby AIF sits 12th with 20 points.
  • BK Hacken's top attackers like G. Wawa provide consistent goal threats and shot volume.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors BK Hacken to win due to their superior recent form, stronger attack, and more robust defense compared to Mjallby AIF. BK Hacken's average of 13.4 shots and 4.4 shots on target per game contrasts with Mjallby AIF's lower offensive output. Defensively, BK Hacken concedes fewer goals, and their higher league standing reflects consistent performance. The model's 67.9% win probability and positive of 6.2% support this selection as a solid choice without price warnings.

Model Win Probability67.9%
Strong positive
Shots per Game (BK Hacken)13.4
Strong positive
Goals Conceded per Game (Mjallby AIF)2.8
Strong positive
League Position Difference4th vs 12th
Positive
Value Edge6.2%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BK Hacken's tactical discipline and attacking depth give them a clear edge over Mjallby AIF, who have struggled defensively this season. The home side's ability to create and convert chances, combined with their solid recent form, makes them the favored winner in this matchup.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“BK Hacken's consistent offensive pressure and defensive solidity create a strong foundation for victory, especially against a Mjallby AIF side that has conceded heavily this season.”

Key Data Signals

BK Hacken to Win evidence

BK Hacken holds a 67.9% to win, indicating strong in the home side.

BK Hacken averages 13.4 shots per game with 4.4 on target, outshooting Mjallby AIF significantly.

Mjallby AIF concedes 2.8 goals per game, highlighting defensive frailties BK Hacken can exploit.

BK Hacken ranks 4th in the league with 32 points, while Mjallby AIF sits 12th with 20 points.

What To Watch In The Data

BK Hacken to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.5, with both teams showing tendencies for open play.
  • BK Hacken's home matches often feature controlled tempo with effective finishing, suggesting a match likely to meet or slightly exceed the 2.5 goals threshold.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

BK Hacken7
Avg corners for
Mjallby AIF5.5
BK Hacken9.75
Avg total corners
Mjallby AIF14.5
BK Hacken1.75
Avg yellow cards
Mjallby AIF2.5
BK Hacken16.5
Avg shots
Mjallby AIF11
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 56% · edge +12.8 pts
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
BK Hacken dominates in shots (13.4 vs 9) and corners (6 vs 2.8), indicating territorial control and sustained pressure. Discipline is balanced with similar yellow card averages, suggesting a competitive but not overly aggressive match environment.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

BK Hacken1
Avg goals scored
Mjallby AIF1
BK Hacken1.2
Avg goals conceded
Mjallby AIF2.8
BK Hacken20%
BTTS rate
Mjallby AIF40%
BK Hacken60%
Over 2.5 goals
Mjallby AIF60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 44% · edge +9.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, but BK Hacken's low BTTS rate of 20% versus Mjallby AIF's 40% indicates a likely scenario where BK Hacken scores while limiting Mjallby AIF's chances, supporting a home win with controlled scoring.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBK Hacken to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 64% · edge +4.2 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BK Hacken Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BK Hacken's reflect a positive value scenario with a 67.9% exceeding the implied 61.7% market probability. This suggests the price offers a favorable risk-reward balance, encouraging a standard stake on the home win.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

BK Hacken

DLWWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
05 Sep 2026A Gais0-0
29 Aug 2026H Vasteras SK FK1-3
21 Aug 2026A Sirius3-0
17 Aug 2026H Halmstad1-0
09 Aug 2026A Hammarby FF0-3

Mjallby AIF

LLLWL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
07 Sep 2026H IFK Goteborg1-4
03 Sep 2026H Djurgardens IF0-2
31 Aug 2026A Djurgardens IF0-4
15 Aug 2026H Sirius4-3
08 Aug 2026H IF Elfsborg0-1
Market aligned with main pickBK Hacken to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 64% · edge +4.2 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
BK Hacken Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
BK Hacken's recent form shows 7 points gained with a strong defensive record conceding just 1.2 goals per game, contrasting with Mjallby AIF's 3 points and 2.8 goals conceded per game. This form disparity underlines BK Hacken's momentum and defensive stability.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4BK Hacken wins
1Draws
5Mjallby AIF wins
17 May 2026Mjallby AIF v BK Hacken0-1
27 Mar 2026BK Hacken v Mjallby AIF2-2
09 Nov 2025Mjallby AIF v BK Hacken1-0
12 Apr 2025BK Hacken v Mjallby AIF0-3
08 Mar 2025Mjallby AIF v BK Hacken0-1
29 May 2024Mjallby AIF v BK Hacken2-1
Market aligned with main pickBK Hacken to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 64% · edge +4.2 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The head-to-head record over 10 matches shows an average of 2.5 goals per game, with BK Hacken generally outperforming Mjallby AIF at home. While past results provide context, current form and squad strength offer stronger indications for this fixture.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

BK Hacken20
Played
Mjallby AIF19
BK Hacken1.7
Avg goals for
Mjallby AIF1.3
BK Hacken1.5
Avg goals against
Mjallby AIF1.7
BK Hacken7
Clean sheets
Mjallby AIF4
Market aligned with main pickBK Hacken to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 64% · edge +4.2 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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BK Hacken Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
BK Hacken's season stats reveal a potent attack averaging 1 goal per game and a solid defense, while Mjallby AIF struggles with a leaky defense conceding nearly 3 goals per match. These profiles align with BK Hacken's favored status to control and win the match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4BK Hacken32208844
12Mjallby AIF2019559-8
BK Hacken's 4th place with 32 points reflects consistent competitiveness and ambition for higher placement, whereas Mjallby AIF's 12th place and 20 points indicate relegation concerns, adding pressure on the visitors and advantage to BK Hacken.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%BK Hacken Over 2.5
60%Mjallby AIF Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.5, with both teams showing tendencies for open play. BK Hacken's home matches often feature controlled tempo with effective finishing, suggesting a match likely to meet or slightly exceed the 2.5 goals threshold.

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Fixture links

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