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BK Hacken crestBK Hacken
v
AIK Stockholm crestAIK Stockholm

Allsvenskan | Mon 27 Jul, 18:00

BK Hacken v AIK Stockholm Stats

Data last updated: Sun 26 Jul 2026, 04:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

BK Hacken and AIK Stockholm meet in an Allsvenskan clash where both sides have shown attacking intent this season. BK Hacken ranks 4th with 23 points, while AIK Stockholm sits 6th with 21 points, making this a competitive fixture with both teams eager to push for higher positions. BK Hacken's recent form includes scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game but conceding the same, indicating open matches. AIK Stockholm has a tighter defense, conceding 1.2 goals per game, but their attacking output remains solid at 1.6 goals per game. The tactical setup suggests a lively encounter with chances at both ends, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring game.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • BK Hacken averages 2.2 goals scored and conceded per game, highlighting open play.
  • AIK Stockholm has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, showing frequent high-scoring matches.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 3.8 over the last 10 meetings, supporting goal potential.
  • Both teams maintain strong shot volumes, with BK Hacken averaging 15.6 shots and AIK 13 per game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at a 68.9% chance, reflecting both teams' offensive tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities. BK Hacken's high goals for and against averages, combined with AIK Stockholm's strong Over 2.5 rate and solid shot creation, suggest a match prone to multiple goals. The head-to-head average of 3.8 goals per game further supports this outlook. No price warning is indicated, making this a standard pick based on attacking metrics and recent form. The data quality is solid, with no limitations affecting the analysis.

BK Hacken scoring and conceding rate2.2 goals per game for and against
Strong positive
AIK Stockholm Over 2.5 Goals rate80% matches over 2.5 goals
Strong positive
Head-to-head average goals3.8 goals per match in last 10
Positive
Shot volumesBK Hacken 15.6, AIK 13 shots per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both BK Hacken and AIK Stockholm have shown strong offensive capabilities this season. BK Hacken's tendency to concede goals combined with AIK's frequent high-scoring matches makes Over 2.5 Goals a logical choice. The teams' recent form and head-to-head history suggest a lively encounter with multiple goals.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal scoring potential

“This fixture features two teams with attacking firepower and defensive frailties, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling prospect. The consistent shot volumes and past meetings underline the likelihood of goals flowing in this match.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

BK Hacken averages 2.2 goals scored and conceded per game, highlighting open play.

AIK Stockholm has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, showing frequent high-scoring matches.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 3.8 over the last 10 meetings, supporting goal potential.

Both teams maintain strong shot volumes, with BK Hacken averaging 15.6 shots and AIK 13 per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 3.8 per match, indicating a history of high-scoring games between these teams.
  • Recent trends show both sides frequently involved in matches exceeding 2.5 goals, driven by attacking tempo and defensive gaps, reinforcing the likelihood of a goal-rich fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

BK Hacken2.2
Avg goals scored
AIK Stockholm1.6
BK Hacken2.2
Avg goals conceded
AIK Stockholm1.2
BK Hacken80%
BTTS rate
AIK Stockholm60%
BK Hacken60%
Over 2.5 goals
AIK Stockholm80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 65% · edge +3.5 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 87%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams have strong attacking records and concede goals regularly, with BK Hacken scoring and conceding 2.2 goals per game and AIK Stockholm maintaining an 80% Over 2.5 rate. The head-to-head average of 3.8 goals per match further supports a high-scoring game with goals expected from both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 65% · edge +3.5 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
AIK Stockholm Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
AIK Stockholm to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
DrawBetUK guide price · model 23%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BK Hacken Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced without a clear but aligns well with the model's 68.9% probability, indicating a fair price. The absence of a price warning suggests this is a standard pick rather than a value bet, with room for improved to enhance value.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

BK Hacken7
Avg corners for
AIK Stockholm6.67
BK Hacken12.5
Avg total corners
AIK Stockholm12.67
BK Hacken2.25
Avg yellow cards
AIK Stockholm2
BK Hacken16.75
Avg shots
AIK Stockholm15
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 67% · edge +2.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BK Hacken averages 6.2 corners and AIK Stockholm 5.5, reflecting sustained attacking pressure. Both teams generate significant shot volumes—15.6 and 13 respectively—with BK Hacken averaging 5.4 shots on target per game. Discipline is moderate, with yellow cards averaging around 1.5 to 1.8 per team, indicating a competitive but not overly aggressive match environment.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

BK Hacken

WLLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
19 Jul 2026A Halmstad2-0
11 Jul 2026A Orgryte IS3-4
06 Jul 2026H Djurgardens IF2-4
31 May 2026H Hammarby FF3-2
25 May 2026A IF Elfsborg1-1

AIK Stockholm

WWWLW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
18 Jul 2026H Gais2-0
11 Jul 2026A Mjallby AIF2-1
05 Jul 2026A IFK Goteborg2-1
30 May 2026H Sirius0-3
24 May 2026A Hammarby FF2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
AIK Stockholm Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
AIK Stockholm to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBetUK guide price · model 23%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BK Hacken Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
BK Hacken to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Recent form data shows BK Hacken scoring 2.2 goals per game but also conceding 2.2, indicating open matches prone to goals. AIK Stockholm's form includes a strong 80% Over 2.5 rate and a solid defensive record conceding 1.2 goals per game, suggesting they can both score and allow goals, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals pick.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6BK Hacken wins
2Draws
2AIK Stockholm wins
09 Mar 2026AIK Stockholm v BK Hacken4-0
26 Oct 2025AIK Stockholm v BK Hacken2-2
14 May 2025BK Hacken v AIK Stockholm3-3
06 Oct 2024AIK Stockholm v BK Hacken0-2
02 Jun 2024BK Hacken v AIK Stockholm4-1
01 Oct 2023BK Hacken v AIK Stockholm2-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 65% · edge +3.5 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
AIK Stockholm to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBetUK guide price · model 23%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BK Hacken to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The head-to-head record over the last ten matches shows an average of 3.8 goals per game, strongly supporting the Over 2.5 Goals pick. This historical data reflects open contests with both teams contributing to the scoreline, making it a relevant and meaningful sample for this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Allsvenskan

BK Hacken13
Played
AIK Stockholm13
BK Hacken2.1
Avg goals for
AIK Stockholm1.4
BK Hacken1.7
Avg goals against
AIK Stockholm1.4
BK Hacken3
Clean sheets
AIK Stockholm2
Best odds for this sectionAIK Stockholm Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
AIK Stockholm to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
BK Hacken Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BK Hacken to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Season-long statistics reveal BK Hacken's attack and defense both average 2.2 goals per game, reflecting high-scoring encounters. AIK Stockholm's defense is tighter at 1.2 goals conceded per game, but their attack remains potent at 1.6 goals per game. These profiles suggest a match with multiple goals, consistent with the Over 2.5 Goals market.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4BK Hacken23136525
6AIK Stockholm21136340
BK Hacken sits 4th and AIK Stockholm 6th in the Allsvenskan, both within striking distance of higher table positions. This competitive context likely encourages offensive play to secure vital points, increasing the probability of goals. The standings add motivation for an open game rather than defensive caution.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%BK Hacken Over 2.5
80%AIK Stockholm Over 2.5
3.8H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 3.8 per match, indicating a history of high-scoring games between these teams. Recent trends show both sides frequently involved in matches exceeding 2.5 goals, driven by attacking tempo and defensive gaps, reinforcing the likelihood of a goal-rich fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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