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Sirius crestSirius
v
IFK Goteborg crestIFK Goteborg

Allsvenskan | Sun 26 Jul, 13:00

Sirius v IFK Goteborg Stats

Data last updated: Fri 28 Aug 2026, 02:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sirius face IFK Goteborg in Allsvenskan on Sun 26 Jul, 13:00. Sirius have won 11 of their 13 Allsvenskan matches and remain unbeaten in the league. Sirius lead the Allsvenskan unbeaten with 11 wins and 2 draws, scoring 36 goals and averaging 4.17 goals at home.

BT4Y best bet

Sirius to win and both teams to score

  • At 3/2, Sirius to win and both teams to score implies roughly 40%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 55%.
  • Despite their attacking strength, they have conceded in most home games.
  • Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for IFK Goteborg.
  • Sirius sit 1 in the table, while IFK Goteborg sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 55% for Sirius to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price. Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for IFK Goteborg. Despite their attacking strength, they have conceded in most home games.

Model chance vs price55% model chance against roughly 40% implied
Strong positive
Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points.Visible data support
Positive
Sirius sit 1 in the table, while IFK Goteborg sit.Visible data support
Positive
Despite their attacking strength, they have conceded in most.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sirius Win is the preferred angle because despite their attacking strength, they have conceded in most home games. Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for IFK Goteborg. However, a completely passive approach would carry its own danger.

Main risk

However, a completely passive approach would carry its own danger.

Key Data Signals

Sirius to win and both teams to score evidence

Despite their attacking strength, they have conceded in most home games.

Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for IFK Goteborg.

Sirius have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Sirius Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Sirius sit 1 in the table, while IFK Goteborg sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sirius to win and both teams to score notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Sirius5.8
    Avg corners for
    IFK Goteborg5.8
    Sirius11.2
    Avg total corners
    IFK Goteborg11.6
    Sirius1.4
    Avg yellow cards
    IFK Goteborg2.2
    Sirius15
    Avg shots
    IFK Goteborg18.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 71% · edge -2.4 pts
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Sirius2.8
    Avg goals scored
    IFK Goteborg1.8
    Sirius1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    IFK Goteborg2.4
    Sirius80%
    BTTS rate
    IFK Goteborg80%
    Sirius100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    IFK Goteborg80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 77%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +5 pts
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 77%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Sirius Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Sirius to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Sirius

    WWDWW
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 108W 2D 0L
    19 Jul 2026A IF Elfsborg3-1
    12 Jul 2026A IF Brommapojkarna2-1
    03 Jul 2026H Mjallby AIF4-4
    30 May 2026A AIK Stockholm3-0
    24 May 2026H Gais2-1

    IFK Goteborg

    WLLWD
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 4L
    17 Jul 2026H IF Brommapojkarna2-1
    12 Jul 2026A Malmo FF0-4
    05 Jul 2026H AIK Stockholm1-2
    31 May 2026A Vasteras SK FK5-4
    25 May 2026H Mjallby AIF1-1
    Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +5 pts
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
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    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Sirius Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Sirius wins
    3Draws
    4IFK Goteborg wins
    15 Mar 2026Sirius v IFK Goteborg1-0
    20 Jul 2025Sirius v IFK Goteborg0-1
    06 Jul 2025IFK Goteborg v Sirius3-1
    17 Aug 2024IFK Goteborg v Sirius1-1
    16 May 2024Sirius v IFK Goteborg2-2
    07 Oct 2023IFK Goteborg v Sirius0-1
    Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +5 pts
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 77%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Sirius to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Allsvenskan

    Sirius18
    Played
    IFK Goteborg18
    Sirius2.6
    Avg goals for
    IFK Goteborg1.3
    Sirius1.4
    Avg goals against
    IFK Goteborg2.2
    Sirius5
    Clean sheets
    IFK Goteborg1
    Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +5 pts
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Load more odds for this section
    Sirius Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Season data supports Sirius to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Sirius4218133221
    12IFK Goteborg2018558-16
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Sirius Over 2.5
    80%IFK Goteborg Over 2.5
    2.6H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sirius sit at 100% and IFK Goteborg sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Sirius v IFK Goteborg prediction

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    Next step

    Betting context

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