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Birmingham crestBirmingham
v
QPR crestQPR

Championship | Sat 17 Oct, 15:00

Birmingham v QPR Stats

Data last updated: Sun 08 Nov 2026, 03:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Birmingham face QPR in Championship on Sat 17 Oct, 15:00. Birmingham come in with 10 recent points and 2 goals per match, while QPR have 7 points and 1.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.73, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 73%.
  • Birmingham show a 60% BTTS rate and QPR show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Birmingham average 2 goals scored and QPR average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 73% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Birmingham show a 60% BTTS rate and QPR show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price73% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Strong positive
Birmingham show a 60% BTTS rate and QPR show a.Visible data support
Positive
Birmingham average 2 goals scored and QPR average 1.6, so.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Birmingham show a 60% BTTS rate and QPR show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Birmingham show a 60% BTTS rate and QPR show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Birmingham average 2 goals scored and QPR average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Birmingham2
Avg goals scored
QPR1.6
Birmingham1
Avg goals conceded
QPR1
Birmingham60%
BTTS rate
QPR80%
Birmingham80%
Over 2.5 goals
QPR40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Championship fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Birmingham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Birmingham Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
QPR Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Birmingham

WWDWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 5D 1L
13 Oct 2026H Preston4-0
10 Oct 2026A West Brom1-0
19 Sep 2026H Middlesbrough2-2
12 Sep 2026A Derby2-1
09 Sep 2026A Norwich1-2

QPR

WDDDD
Last 51W 4D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 5D 1L
14 Oct 2026H Derby4-1
09 Oct 2026A West Ham1-1
19 Sep 2026H Preston2-2
12 Sep 2026A West Brom1-1
09 Sep 2026A Charlton0-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 84% vs implied 78% · edge +5.7 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Load more odds for this section
Birmingham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Birmingham Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
QPR Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
QPR to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Birmingham Over 2.5
40%QPR Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Birmingham sit at 80% and QPR sit at 40% with the H2H average at 1.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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