Beşiktaş

Çorum FK

Süper Lig | Mon 31 Aug, 19:30

Beşiktaş v Çorum FK Stats

Data last updated: Sun 30 Aug 2026, 07:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Beşiktaş host newly promoted Çorum FK in a Süper Lig clash marked by both teams' struggles to convert possession into goals. Beşiktaş have dominated territory and shot volume early in the season but have scored just once in two league matches, highlighting finishing issues despite strong attacking intent. Çorum FK, despite high possession and shot counts in recent games, have also failed to find the net consistently, compounded by the suspension of key scorer Alexandros Kyziridis. This tactical battle between territorial control and offensive inefficiency sets the stage for a low-scoring encounter with tight defensive discipline likely to prevail.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

Beşiktaş have taken 33 shots in two league matches but scored only once, showing poor finishing.
Çorum FK held 73% possession and took 16 shots in a recent match but failed to score.
Both teams have recorded multiple clean sheets recently, indicating defensive solidity.
Suspension of Çorum's joint top scorer Kyziridis reduces their attacking threat.
Beşiktaş's attacking rotations and box penetration suggest controlled but measured scoring pace.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Under 2.5 Goals as a strong pick due to both teams' high shot volumes but low conversion rates. Beşiktaş's 33 shots with only one goal and Çorum FK's possession control without scoring highlight inefficiency in front of goal. Defensive resilience is evident with multiple clean sheets for Beşiktaş and limited scoring from Çorum, especially with Kyziridis suspended. The 66% and positive at 1.9 reflect a well-supported low-scoring outcome. No data quality concerns affect this assessment.

Shot Volume vs GoalsHigh shots but low goals for both teams

Strong positive

Defensive RecordsMultiple clean sheets for Beşiktaş, limited goals conceded

Positive

Key SuspensionKyziridis suspension reduces Çorum's scoring potential

Positive

Model Confidence77% confidence with 13.4% value edge

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a logical choice given both teams' demonstrated difficulty in converting possession and shots into goals. Beşiktaş's territorial control contrasts with their finishing struggles, while Çorum FK's attacking options are limited by suspension. The data supports a cautious, low-scoring match where defensive discipline and inefficiency in front of goal are likely to keep totals down.

Main risk

The concern for Besiktas is not a shortage of attacking activity.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Low-scoring tactical battle

“This fixture pits two sides with strong possession stats but clear finishing issues, making a low-scoring game the most plausible outcome. Beşiktaş's control is evident but not yet rewarded on the scoreboard, while Çorum's key scorer absence further limits goal threats.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Beşiktaş have taken 33 shots in two league matches but scored only once, showing poor finishing.

Çorum FK held 73% possession and took 16 shots in a recent match but failed to score.

Both teams have recorded multiple clean sheets recently, indicating defensive solidity.

Suspension of Çorum's joint top scorer Kyziridis reduces their attacking threat.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

Recent trends over the last five matches show Beşiktaş have no games exceeding 2.5 goals, while Çorum FK have a 50% rate.
The average goals in their limited head-to-head history is unavailable, but the trend suggests a generally low-tempo, controlled match with few goals, driven by defensive organization and finishing struggles.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Beşiktaş7.5

Avg corners for

Çorum FK4

Beşiktaş12

Avg total corners

Çorum FK8

Beşiktaş1

Avg yellow cards

Çorum FK0.5

Beşiktaş16.5

Avg shots

Çorum FK12

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 2

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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 73%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Beşiktaş average 7.5 corners and 16.5 shots per game, reflecting territorial control and attacking pressure. Çorum FK average fewer corners and shots but maintain possession. Card averages are low, indicating disciplined play. The combination of sustained pressure and controlled aggression aligns with a match featuring limited goal-scoring opportunities but steady territorial play.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Beşiktaş0.5

Avg goals scored

Çorum FK1

Beşiktaş0.5

Avg goals conceded

Çorum FK1.5

Beşiktaş0%

BTTS rate

Çorum FK50%

Beşiktaş0%

Over 2.5 goals

Çorum FK50%

Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +14.7 pts

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%

Check odds @ 2

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Both teams have struggled to score despite high possession and shot volumes, with Beşiktaş scoring once and Çorum FK also limited by suspension. The low goals scored and multiple clean sheets suggest a low likelihood of both teams scoring, supporting a BTTS No and Under 3.5 Goals context for this match.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +8.8 pts

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

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Çorum FK Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 40%

Check odds @ 4

Çorum FK to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%

6.25

Check odds @ 6.25

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%

Check odds @ 2

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%

Check odds @ 5

Beşiktaş Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%

1.23

Check odds @ 1.23

Beşiktaş to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.9 with an implied probability of 52.6%, while the model estimates a 66% chance, indicating positive value. This price reflects the market's recognition of both teams' scoring struggles but remains attractive given the statistical evidence of low conversion rates and defensive solidity.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Beşiktaş

Last 51W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 1L

23 Aug 2026A Alanyaspor0-1

16 Aug 2026H Eyüpspor1-0

Çorum FK

Last 50W 1D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 1D 1L

22 Aug 2026H Kasımpaşa0-1

14 Aug 2026A Galatasaray2-2

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

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Çorum FK Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 40%

Check odds @ 4

Çorum FK to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%

6.25

Check odds @ 6.25

Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 80%

1.12

Check odds @ 1.12

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%

Check odds @ 5

Beşiktaş Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%

1.23

Check odds @ 1.23

Beşiktaş to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Recent form data shows Beşiktaş scoring 0.5 goals per game with no matches over 2.5 goals, while Çorum FK average 1 goal per game with a 50% rate of matches over 2.5 goals. However, both teams have low BTTS rates, indicating matches often feature one or no goals. This form supports a low-scoring match with limited goal exchanges expected.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Beşiktaş wins

0Draws

0Çorum FK wins

Best odds for this sectionÇorum FK to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 31% vs implied 16% · edge +15 pts

6.25

Check odds @ 6.25

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%

Check odds @ 2

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%

Check odds @ 5

Beşiktaş to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

No prior head-to-head matches exist between Beşiktaş and Çorum FK, limiting direct historical insights. Therefore, current form, tactical setups, and player availability provide the primary guidance for expectations in this fixture.

Season team stats

Süper Lig

Beşiktaş2

Played

Çorum FK2

Beşiktaş0.5

Avg goals for

Çorum FK1

Beşiktaş0.5

Avg goals against

Çorum FK1.5

Beşiktaş1

Clean sheets

Çorum FK0

Best odds for this sectionÇorum FK Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 4

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Çorum FK to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%

6.25

Check odds @ 6.25

Beşiktaş Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%

1.23

Check odds @ 1.23

Beşiktaş to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Season-long statistics reveal Beşiktaş's strong defensive record with four clean sheets in five matches and low goals conceded (0.5 per game). Their attacking output remains modest despite high shot volumes. Çorum FK show higher goals conceded (1.5 per game) but limited scoring ability. These profiles underpin a match likely to stay under 2.5 goals due to defensive resilience and finishing inefficiency.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
13	Beşiktaş	3	2	1	0	1	0
15	Çorum FK	1	2	0	1	1	-1

Beşiktaş and Çorum FK sit mid-to-lower table early in the Süper Lig season, with 3 and 1 points respectively. While standings are not decisive, the pressure to secure points may encourage cautious play. The competition context suggests both teams will prioritize defensive solidity, supporting a low-scoring outcome.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Beşiktaş Over 2.5

50%Çorum FK Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Recent trends over the last five matches show Beşiktaş have no games exceeding 2.5 goals, while Çorum FK have a 50% rate. The average goals in their limited head-to-head history is unavailable, but the trend suggests a generally low-tempo, controlled match with few goals, driven by defensive organization and finishing struggles.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Beşiktaş v Çorum FK Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Beşiktaş

Çorum FK

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Football Stats Hub

Beşiktaş v Çorum FK Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Beşiktaş

Çorum FK

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