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Benfica crestBenfica
v
FC ST. Gallen crestFC ST. Gallen

UEFA Europa League | Thu 30 Jul, 20:00

Benfica v FC ST. Gallen Stats

Data last updated: Fri 31 Jul 2026, 05:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Gallen hosts Benfica in a high-stakes Europa League qualifier where contrasting styles and recent form set the stage for an open contest. Gallen's impressive 72-goal domestic campaign and cup triumph showcase their attacking prowess but defensive lapses in recent friendlies raise questions about their solidity. Benfica, under new manager Marco Silva, bring a potent attack led by in-form Vangelis Pavlidis, despite squad disruptions. Both teams' offensive strengths and defensive vulnerabilities suggest a dynamic match with scoring opportunities at both ends, promising an intense European night at Kybunpark.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Gallen scored 72 league goals last season, showing strong attacking capability.
  • Benfica scored 74 goals in an unbeaten domestic campaign, led by Pavlidis' summer form.
  • Gallen conceded 9 goals in their last two warm-up matches, indicating defensive issues.
  • Both teams have a 100% BTTS rate in recent matches, supporting mutual scoring likelihood.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 76% chance, reflecting the attacking firepower and defensive vulnerabilities of both sides. Gallen's high goal tally and recent matches with multiple goals align with Benfica's prolific scoring and offensive depth. The price offers strong value with a 46.6% edge, making BTTS a compelling selection despite Benfica's new coach and squad changes. The balanced offensive threat and defensive risks on both sides underpin the likelihood of goals from each team in this fixture.

St. Gallen's attacking output72 league goals last season
Strong positive
Benfica's scoring record74 league goals, unbeaten season
Strong positive
Recent defensive formSt. Gallen conceded 9 goals in last 2 friendlies
Positive
Model chance vs odds76% chance vs 29.4% implied odds
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams possess strong attacking credentials and recent form data supports a match where both sides find the net. Gallen's offensive threat combined with Benfica's sharp frontline under a new coach creates a scenario ripe for goals at both ends. This BTTS pick captures the tactical and statistical likelihood of mutual scoring in a competitive European qualifier.

Main risk

Their continental record, however, offers a reminder of the scale of the challenge.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“This fixture's attacking talents and defensive frailties on both sides make Both Teams to Score a logical and football-sensible choice. The balance of offensive quality and recent defensive lapses suggests goals will come from each team in a lively contest.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Gallen scored 72 league goals last season, showing strong attacking capability.

Benfica scored 74 goals in an unbeaten domestic campaign, led by Pavlidis' summer form.

Gallen conceded 9 goals in their last two warm-up matches, indicating defensive issues.

Both teams have a 100% BTTS rate in recent matches, supporting mutual scoring likelihood.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last six competitive matches, five featured three or more goals, reflecting a trend toward high-scoring games for these teams.
  • The single previous meeting averaged 3 goals, reinforcing the expectation of a fast-paced match with multiple scoring opportunities and a strong chance of both teams finding the net.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Benfica1
Avg goals scored
FC ST. Gallen2
Benfica2
Avg goals conceded
FC ST. Gallen1
Benfica100%
BTTS rate
FC ST. Gallen100%
Benfica100%
Over 2.5 goals
FC ST. Gallen100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Both teams have demonstrated prolific scoring recently, with St. Gallen netting 72 league goals and Benfica 74 in an unbeaten season. Both sides have a 100% BTTS rate in recent matches, and St. Gallen's defensive struggles in friendlies suggest goals conceded, supporting the expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
FC ST. Gallen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
FC ST. Gallen to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Benfica Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 35%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 3.4, reflecting an implied chance of 29.4%, while the model estimates a 76% probability. This significant indicates the market underestimates the likelihood of both sides scoring, making the selection a strong value bet without price warnings.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Benfica0
Avg corners for
FC ST. Gallen0
Benfica0
Avg total corners
FC ST. Gallen0
Benfica1
Avg yellow cards
FC ST. Gallen3
Benfica0
Avg shots
FC ST. Gallen0
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 29%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 35%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
While specific corner and shot data is limited, the attacking styles of both teams imply sustained pressure and chances. Gallen's wing-backs advancing may leave spaces exploited by Benfica's forwards, increasing shot volume. The higher average yellow cards for St. Gallen indicate a competitive, physical match likely to feature fouls and set-piece opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Benfica

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
23 Jul 2026A FC ST. Gallen1-2

FC ST. Gallen

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
23 Jul 2026H Benfica2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 18% · edge +15 pts
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
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FC ST. Gallen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
FC ST. Gallen to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Benfica Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.01
Check odds @ 1.01
Benfica to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Recent form data shows both teams scoring consistently, with St. Gallen netting 2 goals and Benfica 1 in their latest matches. Both have a 100% rate for BTTS and Over 2.5 goals in recent fixtures, indicating offensive momentum and defensive vulnerabilities that favor a match with goals from both sides.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Benfica wins
0Draws
1FC ST. Gallen wins
23 Jul 2026FC ST. Gallen v Benfica2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
FC ST. Gallen to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Benfica to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
The head-to-head sample is limited to one match, which featured an average of 3 goals, indicating an open game with scoring from both sides. While the sample is small, it aligns with the attacking profiles and recent form of both teams, providing moderate support for the BTTS selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

Benfica2
Played
FC ST. Gallen1
Benfica3
Avg goals for
FC ST. Gallen2
Benfica1
Avg goals against
FC ST. Gallen1
Benfica1
Clean sheets
FC ST. Gallen0
Best odds for this sectionFC ST. Gallen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 14% · edge +15 pts
7
Check odds @ 7
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FC ST. Gallen to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
Benfica Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Benfica to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Season-long statistics reveal St. Gallen's potent attack with 72 goals and Benfica's even higher output of 74 goals in an unbeaten campaign. Defensive records contrast, with St. Gallen's recent concessions highlighting potential vulnerabilities, while Benfica maintain a strong defensive record, suggesting a dynamic match with scoring chances for both teams.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Benfica Over 2.5
100%FC ST. Gallen Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last six competitive matches, five featured three or more goals, reflecting a trend toward high-scoring games for these teams. The single previous meeting averaged 3 goals, reinforcing the expectation of a fast-paced match with multiple scoring opportunities and a strong chance of both teams finding the net.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.