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Belgium crestBelgium
v
Iran crestIran

World Cup | Sun 21 Jun, 20:00

Belgium v Iran Stats

Data last updated: Sun 12 Jul 2026, 22:19 UK time
BT4Y best bet

A specific outcome: a home win, an away win, or a draw at full-time

  • At 15/2, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 12%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • Yes, the Both Teams to Score market allows backing both sides to find the net.
  • Belgium show a 100% BTTS rate and Iran show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Belgium average 1 goals scored and Iran average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 12% implied by the current price. Belgium show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Iran show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Yes, the Both Teams to Score market allows backing both sides to find the net.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 12% implied
Strong positive
Belgium show a 100% BTTS rate and Iran show a.Visible data support
Positive
Belgium average 1 goals scored and Iran average 2, so.Visible data support
Positive
Yes, the Both Teams to Score market allows backing.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because yes, the Both Teams to Score market allows backing both sides to find the net. Belgium show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Iran show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. It was not a disaster, but it was not exactly a statement either.

Main risk

It was not a disaster, but it was not exactly a statement either.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Yes, the Both Teams to Score market allows backing both sides to find the net.

Belgium show a 100% BTTS rate and Iran show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Belgium average 1 goals scored and Iran average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Belgium1
Avg goals scored
Iran2
Belgium1
Avg goals conceded
Iran2
Belgium100%
BTTS rate
Iran100%
Belgium0%
Over 2.5 goals
Iran100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 48% · edge +28.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 48% · edge +28.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Iran Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Iran to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
8
Check odds @ 8
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Belgium2
Avg corners for
Iran4
Belgium9
Avg total corners
Iran5
Belgium2
Avg yellow cards
Iran1
Belgium15
Avg shots
Iran17
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 46% · edge +12 pts
2.2
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Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.5
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Belgium

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
15 Jun 2026H Egypt1-1

Iran

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
16 Jun 2026H New Zealand2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 36% · edge +36.3 pts
2.75
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Iran Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Iran to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Belgium Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Belgium to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Belgium wins
0Draws
0Iran wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 48% · edge +28.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Iran to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Belgium to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

World Cup

Belgium6
Played
Iran3
Belgium2.3
Avg goals for
Iran1
Belgium1.2
Avg goals against
Iran1
Belgium1
Clean sheets
Iran1
Best odds for this sectionIran Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 23% · edge +31 pts
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
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Iran to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
8
Check odds @ 8
Belgium Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Belgium to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Season data supports Iran Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Belgium531204
3Iran330300
9Iran330300
World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Belgium Over 2.5
100%Iran Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Belgium sit at 0% and Iran sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Belgium v Iran prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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