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Egypt crestEgypt

World Cup | Mon 15 Jun, 20:00

Belgium v Egypt Stats

Data last updated: Fri 10 Jul 2026, 12:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Belgium face Egypt in World Cup on Mon 15 Jun, 20:00. Belgium meet Egypt at Seattle Stadium in Group G, with Belgium’s control, Doku’s threat and Egypt’s defensive resilience shaping a fascinating World Cup opener. Belgium come into this match carrying an impressive thirteen-match unbeaten streak across all competitions.

BT4Y best bet

Is supported by Belgium's recent sequence of consecutive clean sheets alongside an average of 3

  • At 6/1, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 14%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 49%.
  • Egypt's last three away matches generated under 2.5 goals, aligning with their selective buildup and resilient goals-against profile.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 49% for Under that scoring level sits against roughly 14% implied by the current price. Egypt's last three away matches generated under 2.5 goals, aligning with their selective buildup and resilient goals-against profile.

Model chance vs price49% model chance against roughly 14% implied
Strong positive
Egypt's last three away matches generated under 2.5 goals.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +34.9 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because egypt's last three away matches generated under 2.5 goals, aligning with their selective buildup and resilient goals-against profile. Belgium’s numbers point towards a team that does not just want the ball, but knows what to do with it.

Main risk

Belgium’s numbers point towards a team that does not just want the ball, but knows what to do with it.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Egypt's last three away matches generated under 2.5 goals, aligning with their selective buildup and resilient goals-against profile.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Belgium wins
0Draws
1Egypt wins
18 Nov 2022Belgium v Egypt1-2
06 Jun 2018Belgium v Egypt3-0
Best odds for this sectionEgypt to WinBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 17% · edge +23.6 pts
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Belgium to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The head-to-head sample gives context for Egypt to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Belgium

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Belgium yet.

Egypt

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Egypt yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 44% · edge +26.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Egypt Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Egypt to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Belgium to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Belgium Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Belgium-
Avg goals scored
Egypt-
Belgium-
Avg goals conceded
Egypt-
Belgium-
BTTS rate
Egypt-
Belgium-
Over 2.5 goals
Egypt-
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 56% · edge -6.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Under 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionEgypt Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 29% · edge +22.5 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Load more odds for this section
Egypt to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Egypt Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

World Cup

Belgium5
Played
Egypt5
Belgium2.6
Avg goals for
Egypt1.8
Belgium1
Avg goals against
Egypt1.4
Belgium1
Clean sheets
Egypt0
Best odds for this sectionEgypt Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 29% · edge +22.5 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Load more odds for this section
Egypt to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Belgium to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Belgium Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Season data supports Egypt Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Belgium531204
2Egypt531202
World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Belgium Over 2.5
-Egypt Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Egypt's last three away matches generated under 2.5 goals, aligning with their selective buildup and resilient goals-against profile.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Belgium v Egypt prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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