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Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen
v
Genk crestGenk

Friendlies Clubs | Wed 29 Jul, 14:00

Bayer Leverkusen v Genk Stats

Data last updated: Wed 29 Jul 2026, 03:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bayer Leverkusen and Genk meet in a pre-season friendly where both sides aim to sharpen attacking rhythms ahead of their competitive campaigns. Leverkusen have shown strong offensive output recently, scoring five goals in their last two matches, while Genk have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game. This match offers an open tempo with Leverkusen's attacking intent likely to test Genk's backline, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter despite the friendly status.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Bayer Leverkusen scored 5 goals in their last two games, showing strong attacking form.
  • Genk concedes an average of 2.2 goals per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Leverkusen have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches, emphasizing goal-scoring consistency.
  • Genk's Over 2.5 Goals rate stands at 80%, suggesting openness in matches involving them.
  • The two previous meetings averaged 2 goals per game, but recent form points to more goals this time.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 75.3% chance to Over 2.5 Goals based on Bayer Leverkusen's potent attack and Genk's leaky defense. Leverkusen's perfect recent Over 2.5 record and Genk's tendency to concede multiple goals create a strong football read for a high-scoring game. The friendly nature may encourage open play and experimentation, further increasing scoring opportunities. No price warnings apply, making this a straightforward value pick supported by current attacking and defensive trends.

Leverkusen recent scoring5 goals in last 2 matches
Strong positive
Genk defensive record2.2 goals conceded per game
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals rate Leverkusen100% recent matches
Strong positive
Over 2.5 Goals rate Genk80% recent matches
Positive
H2H average goals2 goals per game in 2 matches
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect Bayer Leverkusen to leverage their attacking momentum against a Genk defense that has shown susceptibility to conceding multiple goals. The data and tactical outlook suggest a lively match with several scoring chances, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling option for this friendly encounter.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking and defensive dynamics

“Leverkusen's attacking sharpness combined with Genk's defensive frailties creates a clear pathway for goals in this fixture. The friendly setting should encourage open play, increasing the likelihood of a high-scoring game.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Bayer Leverkusen scored 5 goals in their last two games, showing strong attacking form.

Genk concedes an average of 2.2 goals per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Leverkusen have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches, emphasizing goal-scoring consistency.

Genk's Over 2.5 Goals rate stands at 80%, suggesting openness in matches involving them.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored were 2 per game, slightly below the Over 2.5 threshold.
  • However, recent form trends over the last five matches for both teams show a higher scoring tempo, suggesting an increased likelihood of surpassing 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bayer Leverkusen5
Avg goals scored
Genk1.4
Bayer Leverkusen0.5
Avg goals conceded
Genk2.2
Bayer Leverkusen50%
BTTS rate
Genk60%
Bayer Leverkusen100%
Over 2.5 goals
Genk80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 67% · edge +8.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Bayer Leverkusen's recent matches have consistently produced over 2.5 goals, while Genk's games also frequently see multiple goals despite a lower scoring output. The combination of Leverkusen's attack and Genk's defensive concessions suggests a strong likelihood of goals and potential BTTS scenarios.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 67% · edge +8.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Bayer Leverkusen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Bayer Leverkusen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Genk Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Genk to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
The Over 2.5 Goals market is well supported by recent form data, with no price warnings indicating a balanced value proposition. The model's 75.3% probability reflects in a high-scoring game based on attacking and defensive trends from both teams.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bayer Leverkusen

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
25 Jul 2026A Kickers Offenbach3-1
18 Jul 2026A SF Baumberg7-0

Genk

LLWLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 4L
22 Jul 2026A AZ Alkmaar0-4
18 Jul 2026A Falkirk0-1
17 Jul 2026A Motherwell4-3
11 Jul 2026A Fortuna Sittard1-2
08 Jul 2026H SK Beveren2-1
Best odds for this sectionBayer Leverkusen to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 68% · edge +6.4 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Load more odds for this section
Bayer Leverkusen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Genk Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Genk to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Leverkusen's recent form features a perfect Over 2.5 Goals rate with five goals scored in two matches, highlighting attacking efficiency. Genk's form shows defensive vulnerabilities with 2.2 goals conceded per game, reinforcing the expectation of a high-scoring friendly.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Bayer Leverkusen wins
1Draws
0Genk wins
06 Dec 2011Genk v Bayer Leverkusen1-1
28 Sep 2011Bayer Leverkusen v Genk2-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 67% · edge +8.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Bayer Leverkusen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Genk to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
The two previous meetings between Bayer Leverkusen and Genk averaged 2 goals per match, indicating moderately open games historically. While this is slightly below the Over 2.5 benchmark, current attacking form and defensive weaknesses suggest that this friendly could see more goals than past encounters.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Bayer Leverkusen3
Played
Genk9
Bayer Leverkusen4.7
Avg goals for
Genk1.8
Bayer Leverkusen0.3
Avg goals against
Genk2.2
Bayer Leverkusen2
Clean sheets
Genk1
Best odds for this sectionBayer Leverkusen to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 68% · edge +6.4 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Load more odds for this section
Bayer Leverkusen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Genk Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Genk to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Season-long attacking and defensive profiles indicate Bayer Leverkusen's strong offensive output and Genk's susceptibility at the back. These season stats align with recent form, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals selection as a reflection of their typical match patterns.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Bayer Leverkusen Over 2.5
80%Genk Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
In the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored were 2 per game, slightly below the Over 2.5 threshold. However, recent form trends over the last five matches for both teams show a higher scoring tempo, suggesting an increased likelihood of surpassing 2.5 goals in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.