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Baltika crestBaltika
v
Volga Ulyanovsk crestVolga Ulyanovsk

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 26 Jun, 09:00

Baltika v Volga Ulyanovsk Stats

Data last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026, 05:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Baltika and Volga Ulyanovsk meet in a friendly fixture where both sides have shown contrasting attacking patterns recently. Volga Ulyanovsk have been more prolific, averaging 1.8 goals per game and featuring in 80% of matches with over 2.5 goals, while Baltika have been more conservative with 1.2 goals per game and a 40% over 2.5 rate. The two previous encounters between these teams have averaged three goals per game, suggesting an open game with scoring opportunities. This friendly offers a platform for both teams to test attacking options, likely leading to a lively contest with goal chances at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Volga Ulyanovsk have an 80% over 2.5 goals rate recently, indicating frequent high-scoring games.
  • Baltika's recent matches show a more cautious approach with a 40% over 2.5 rate, but combined with Volga's attack, goals are likely.
  • The last two head-to-head games averaged 3 goals, supporting a trend for multiple goals.
  • Both teams have similar recent points totals, suggesting competitive balance and potential for open play.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 61.5% chance of over 2.5 goals, supported by Volga Ulyanovsk's strong recent scoring form and the historical average of 3 goals in their head-to-head matches. Baltika's lower scoring rate is offset by Volga's attacking potency, suggesting a match with several goal-scoring opportunities. No price warnings apply, and the standard stake guidance fits the balanced level. The limited data quality is sufficient to support this goal-focused outlook without major reservations.

Volga Ulyanovsk Over 2.5 Rate80% recent matches
Strong positive
Baltika Over 2.5 Rate40% recent matches
Neutral
Head-to-Head Average Goals3 goals per game in 2 matches
Positive
Model Probability61.5% chance over 2.5 goals
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with Volga Ulyanovsk's attacking strength likely to push the total goals above 2.5. Baltika's recent form is less prolific but the head-to-head history and Volga's scoring consistency suggest multiple goals will be scored in this friendly encounter.

Main risk

The main risk is Baltika's more cautious scoring trend which could limit total goals if Volga Ulyanovsk's attack is contained or if defensive adjustments reduce open chances.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal scoring potential

“Volga Ulyanovsk's recent offensive output combined with the historical goal average against Baltika points to a lively match with several scoring opportunities. This fixture looks set for over 2.5 goals given the attacking tendencies and open nature of friendlies.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Volga Ulyanovsk have an 80% over 2.5 goals rate recently, indicating frequent high-scoring games.

Baltika's recent matches show a more cautious approach with a 40% over 2.5 rate, but combined with Volga's attack, goals are likely.

The last two head-to-head games averaged 3 goals, supporting a trend for multiple goals.

Both teams have similar recent points totals, suggesting competitive balance and potential for open play.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last two meetings between these teams have averaged 3 goals, indicating a trend towards open, goal-rich encounters.
  • This recent sample suggests a tempo and tactical openness conducive to over 2.5 goals, especially in a friendly setting where defensive caution is often reduced.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Baltika1.2
Avg goals scored
Volga Ulyanovsk1.8
Baltika0.6
Avg goals conceded
Volga Ulyanovsk1
Baltika40%
BTTS rate
Volga Ulyanovsk80%
Baltika40%
Over 2.5 goals
Volga Ulyanovsk80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 54% · edge +7.2 pts
1.84
Check odds @ 1.84
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.81
Check odds @ 1.81
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.94
Check odds @ 2.94
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.93
Check odds @ 1.93
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 34%
1.87
Check odds @ 1.87
Volga Ulyanovsk's recent matches show a high frequency of over 2.5 goals and BTTS outcomes, reflecting an open attacking style. Baltika's lower scoring rate tempers this slightly, but the combined data and head-to-head average of 3 goals support an expectation of multiple goals and likely both teams scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 54% · edge +7.2 pts
1.84
Check odds @ 1.84
Load more odds for this section
Volga Ulyanovsk Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 58%
3.14
Check odds @ 3.14
Volga Ulyanovsk to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
5.05
Check odds @ 5.05
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.81
Check odds @ 1.81
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.92
Check odds @ 3.92
Baltika to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Baltika Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
The over 2.5 goals market is priced without clear data but the model's 61.5% probability suggests a reasonable chance for multiple goals. Without visible , this is a watch-only angle, relying on the attacking form and historical goal averages rather than value pricing.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Baltika

WDWWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 1L
22 Feb 2026A Krylia Sovetov1-0
18 Feb 2026H Akhmat2-2
18 Feb 2026H Kaisar2-1
12 Feb 2026H Fakel1-0
05 Feb 2026H Ordabasy0-0

Volga Ulyanovsk

LWWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 3L
22 Jun 2026A Torpedo Moskva0-1
17 Jun 2026A Arsenal Tula2-1
18 Feb 2026A Rotor Volgograd3-1
12 Feb 2026H Novosibirsk2-1
07 Feb 2026H Altay2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 45% · edge +30.6 pts
2.22
Check odds @ 2.22
Load more odds for this section
Volga Ulyanovsk Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 58%
3.14
Check odds @ 3.14
Volga Ulyanovsk to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
5.05
Check odds @ 5.05
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.92
Check odds @ 3.92
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Baltika to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Baltika Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Recent form data shows Volga Ulyanovsk with a stronger offensive output and a high over 2.5 goals rate, while Baltika has been more defensive. This contrast indicates a game where Volga's attack could dominate, pushing the total goals above 2.5, especially given the friendly match context encouraging open play.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Baltika wins
1Draws
0Volga Ulyanovsk wins
13 May 2023Volga Ulyanovsk v Baltika0-2
23 Oct 2022Baltika v Volga Ulyanovsk2-2
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 54% · edge +7.2 pts
1.84
Check odds @ 1.84
Load more odds for this section
Volga Ulyanovsk to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
5.05
Check odds @ 5.05
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.81
Check odds @ 1.81
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.92
Check odds @ 3.92
Baltika to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The head-to-head sample is small with only two matches, but the average of 3 goals per game supports a tendency for this fixture to produce multiple goals. While limited, this data aligns well with the attacking form of Volga Ulyanovsk and the expected open play in friendlies.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Baltika9
Played
Volga Ulyanovsk9
Baltika1.6
Avg goals for
Volga Ulyanovsk1.3
Baltika0.7
Avg goals against
Volga Ulyanovsk1.4
Baltika6
Clean sheets
Volga Ulyanovsk0
Best odds for this sectionVolga Ulyanovsk Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 32% · edge +25.7 pts
3.14
Check odds @ 3.14
Load more odds for this section
Volga Ulyanovsk to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
5.05
Check odds @ 5.05
Baltika to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Baltika Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Season-long statistics reinforce Volga Ulyanovsk's attacking potency with 1.8 goals per game, contrasting with Baltika's 1.2. Defensive concessions are moderate for both, suggesting neither side has a particularly tight defense, which aligns with the expectation of a higher-scoring game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Baltika Over 2.5
80%Volga Ulyanovsk Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The last two meetings between these teams have averaged 3 goals, indicating a trend towards open, goal-rich encounters. This recent sample suggests a tempo and tactical openness conducive to over 2.5 goals, especially in a friendly setting where defensive caution is often reduced.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.